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La Rochelle vs Nanterre Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-98
17-22 25-19 20-29 15-28
Position#16
Record1-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#13
Record2-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game89.8
FranceLNBRound 9· Salle Gaston Neveur
Domestic2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nanterre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#3
W
72-67 OT
72
67
+5
82avg 84
A06/06
Pro B
Nancy
#9
L
56-64
56
64
-8
70avg 84
A21/09
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
64-78
64
78
-14
72avg 84
H27/09
LNB
Paris
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
82avg 84
A06/10
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
62-82
62
82
-20
60avg 84
A12/10
LNB
Angers
#22
W
81-78
81
78
+3
83avg 84
A15/10
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#10
L
57-94
57
94
-37
59avg 84
H19/10
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
107avg 84
A26/10
LNB
Le Portel
#15
L
62-83
62
83
-21
71avg 84
A01/11
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
90avg 84
H09/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
17-10
12-21
15-16
18-16
10-17
18-14
10-17
9-17
18-20
20-24
17-17
21-23
20-23
14-17
20-21
11-20
14-22
23-15
14-25
16-37
29-18
25-16
11-7
10-28
15-23
16-16
16-27
32-26
19-19
21-25
23-18
16-23
17-21
16-17
13-22
20-22
20-30
17-19
21-15
150.6Avg total
70.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.682.4151.0-13.812%
Season at home (3)66.386.0152.3-19.70%
Season away (5)70.080.2150.2-10.220%
Last 10 (10)70.280.4150.6-10.230%
Last 5 (5)74.685.8160.4-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.081.8152.8-10.825%
vs Similar (2)74.578.5153.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (20)72.866.2139.1+6.670%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNanterre
Date
Competition
Igokea
#33
L
80-86
80
86
-6
67avg 94
A02/10
Champions League
JL Bourg
#6
L
61-86
61
86
-25
72avg 94
H05/10
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
76-70
76
70
+6
69avg 94
A08/10
Champions League
Le Mans
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
102avg 94
A12/10
LNB
Paris
#1
L
86-102
86
102
-16
98avg 94
A20/10
LNB
Wurzburg
#19
L
83-88
83
88
-5
79avg 94
H23/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
91-70
91
70
+21
104avg 94
H27/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#10
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
116avg 94
H02/11
LNB
Wurzburg
#19
W
96-88
96
88
+8
96avg 94
A06/11
Champions League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
103-109
103
109
-6
116avg 94
A10/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
27-20
19-29
19-18
16-23
19-23
18-17
8-23
24-20
11-14
21-15
20-21
28-18
9-21
18-28
32-27
19-30
15-22
21-27
31-23
19-26
23-21
26-19
15-22
20-24
21-17
30-16
20-13
24-15
25-25
21-20
16-26
26-20
32-19
19-24
19-25
13-37
22-15
35-24
33-33
175.3Avg total
85.8Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.589.8175.2-4.225%
Season at home (4)80.280.8161.0-0.550%
Season away (4)90.898.8189.5-8.00%
Last 10 (10)85.889.5175.3-3.730%
Last 5 (5)93.691.4185.0+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)84.892.9177.8-8.131%
vs Similar (12)87.585.8173.3+1.742%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.886.2176.0+3.550%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
La RochelleNanterre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#3
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A06/06
Pro B
Nancy
#9
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A21/09
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H27/09
LNB
Paris
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A06/10
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A12/10
LNB
Angers
#22
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A15/10
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#10
L
25-51
25
51
-26
H19/10
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A26/10
LNB
Le Portel
#15
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A01/11
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H09/11
LNB
77.6Avg total
34.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.835.773.5+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.235.374.5+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)36.536.172.6+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)34.842.877.6-8.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.849.488.2-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.245.180.4-9.912%-
vs Similar (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (20)38.531.469.9+7.180%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#33
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A02/10
Champions League
JL Bourg
#6
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H05/10
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A08/10
Champions League
Le Mans
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/10
LNB
Paris
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/10
LNB
Wurzburg
#19
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H23/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H02/11
LNB
Wurzburg
#19
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A06/11
Champions League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A10/11
LNB
83.7Avg total
40.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.187.2-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (11)44.945.590.4-0.536%-
Last 30 away (19)42.143.385.4-1.342%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.983.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.888.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.447.387.7-6.923%-
vs Similar (12)46.440.887.2+5.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.245.089.2-0.825%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.8
55.3%
54.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.65.3
23.5%
35.3%15.9
🏀 Free throws21.715.9
73.3%
74.9%15.9
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.5
52.2%
54.3%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.1
36.2%
35.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.415.3
78.9%
74.9%15.3
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Rochelle
LLWLWLLLLW
Nanterre
LWLWLLLWLL
#16
League position
#13
-14.0
Net rating
-8.5
93.6
Offensive rating
111.0
107.6
Defensive rating
119.5
47.3%
Effective FG%
52.9%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.1%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.4%
17.3%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
23.5%
3-point %
36.2%
71.8%
Assist %
66.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 111.0Defence107.6 · 119.5Shooting47.3% · 52.9%3-point %23.5% · 36.2%Ball care18.4% · 17.4%Off. rebounds17.3% · 32.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ La Rochelle   ■ Nanterre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
La Rochelle wins
0
Nanterre wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HJL Bourg78-86
01/11/24ALe Portel62-83
26/10/24ADijon95-88
19/10/24HSaint Quentin57-94
15/10/24AAngers81-78
12/10/24AMonaco62-82
06/10/24AParis75-84
27/09/24HCholet64-78
21/09/24ANancy56-64
06/06/24ABoulazac72-67 OT
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24ALyon-Villeurbanne103-109
06/11/24AWurzburg96-88
02/11/24HSaint Quentin95-102 OT
27/10/24HChalon/Saone91-70
23/10/24HWurzburg83-88
20/10/24AParis86-102
12/10/24ALe Mans87-94
08/10/24AHapoel Holon76-70
05/10/24HJL Bourg61-86
02/10/24AIgokea80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Rochelle
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %12%0%20%
Points / game68.666.370.0
Allowed / game82.486.080.2
Point differential-13.8-19.7-10.2
Avg total151.0152.3150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nanterre
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game85.580.290.8
Allowed / game89.880.898.8
Point differential-4.2-0.5-8.0
Avg total175.2161.0189.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cholet76186%86.374.6+11.7
2 Paris86275%95.284.0+11.2
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne86275%91.983.8+8.1
4 Monaco86275%80.272.5+7.8
5 JL Bourg85362%85.678.8+6.9
6 Saint Quentin85362%79.879.9-0.1
7 Strasbourg84450%85.682.6+3.0
8 Le Mans84450%84.883.5+1.2
9 Limoges84450%78.580.9-2.4
10 Gravelines-Dunkerque84450%75.679.2-3.6
11 Nancy83538%83.888.6-4.9
12 Le Portel83538%73.279.1-5.9
13 Dijon72529%81.989.3-7.4
14 Nanterre82625%85.589.8-4.2
15 Chalon/Saone82625%83.490.5-7.1
16 La Rochelle81712%68.682.4-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
La Rochelle1725201577
Nanterre2219292898
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