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La Rochelle vs Strasbourg Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-78
20-17 16-26 17-11 18-24
Position#16
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#12
Record5-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game85.1
FranceLNBRound 12· Salle Gaston Neveur
Domestic2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Strasbourg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
L
62-82
62
82
-20
60avg 83
A12/10
LNB
Angers
#22
W
81-78
81
78
+3
83avg 83
A15/10
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#10
L
57-94
57
94
-37
59avg 83
H19/10
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
107avg 83
A26/10
LNB
Le Portel
#15
L
62-83
62
83
-21
71avg 83
A01/11
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
90avg 83
H09/11
LNB
Nanterre
#13
L
77-98
77
98
-21
89avg 83
H15/11
LNB
Roanne
#5
L
75-93
75
93
-18
70avg 83
A26/11
French Cup
Limoges
#14
L
62-83
62
83
-21
72avg 83
A30/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
76-88
76
88
-12
90avg 83
H08/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
14-22
23-15
14-25
16-37
29-18
25-16
11-7
10-28
15-23
16-16
16-27
32-26
19-19
21-25
23-18
16-23
17-21
16-17
13-22
20-22
20-30
17-19
21-15
17-22
25-19
20-29
15-28
17-22
26-18
22-24
10-29
16-25
19-19
18-18
9-21
16-31
24-19
13-18
23-20
159.8Avg total
72.5Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)69.584.4153.8-14.99%
Season at home (5)70.488.8159.2-18.40%
Season away (6)68.780.7149.3-12.017%
Last 10 (10)72.587.3159.8-14.820%
Last 5 (5)73.689.6163.2-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.584.7156.2-13.217%
vs Similar (2)74.578.5153.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (16)71.166.0137.1+5.169%
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StrasbourgFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStrasbourg
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
72-78
72
78
-6
81avg 88
A13/10
LNB
Nancy
#62
W
106-66
106
66
+40
107avg 88
H16/10
French Cup
Nancy
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
114avg 88
H19/10
LNB
Limoges
#14
W
110-90
110
90
+20
128avg 88
H25/10
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
W
96-89
96
89
+7
113avg 88
A02/11
LNB
Le Portel
#15
L
75-76 OT
75
76
-1
88avg 88
H08/11
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
86-94 OT
86
94
-8
84avg 88
A12/11
French Cup
Paris
#1
L
74-106
74
106
-32
85avg 88
A17/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
77-75
77
75
+2
94avg 88
H01/12
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
83-94
83
94
-11
94avg 88
H07/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
15-15
22-19
14-21
22-16
33-16
25-19
26-15
26-19
23-15
23-17
24-25
26-19
25-17
22-22
37-32
17-16
27-29
24-20
28-24
13-15
26-18
15-18
18-21
16-30
19-16
24-15
15-13
16-22
16-31
21-24
21-29
24-19
22-13
16-19
15-24
17-13
21-28
20-30
25-23
171.9Avg total
87.5Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.585.1168.6-1.545%
Season at home (7)87.483.7171.1+3.757%
Season away (4)76.887.5164.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)87.584.4171.9+3.150%
Last 5 (5)79.089.0168.0-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.786.2164.9-7.536%
vs Similar (11)82.380.0162.3+2.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)91.284.2175.5+7.050%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.5-8.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.5-8.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
La RochelleStrasbourg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A12/10
LNB
Angers
#22
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A15/10
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#10
L
25-51
25
51
-26
H19/10
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A26/10
LNB
Le Portel
#15
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A01/11
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H09/11
LNB
Nanterre
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H15/11
LNB
Roanne
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/11
French Cup
Limoges
#14
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A30/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H08/12
LNB
84.3Avg total
37.9Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.437.174.5+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.537.075.5+1.564%-
Last 30 away (16)36.437.273.6-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)37.946.484.3-8.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.045.485.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.844.781.5-7.825%-
vs Similar (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (16)37.430.968.3+6.481%-
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StrasbourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A13/10
LNB
Nancy
#62
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H16/10
French Cup
Nancy
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H19/10
LNB
Limoges
#14
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H25/10
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A02/11
LNB
Le Portel
#15
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H08/11
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A12/11
French Cup
Paris
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A17/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H01/12
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H07/12
LNB
81.5Avg total
42.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.281.3+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.537.881.4+5.771%-
Last 30 away (13)37.943.481.3-5.515%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.081.5+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.079.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.242.181.3-2.936%-
vs Similar (11)41.538.079.5+3.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.242.085.2+1.250%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.3
54.8%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.7
28.5%
35.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws20.715.0
72.5%
74.9%15.0
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Strasbourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Strasbourg: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.8
56.7%
54.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.9
37.6%
35.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.314.4
74.6%
74.9%14.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Rochelle
LLLLLLWLWL
Strasbourg
LWLLLWWWWL
#16
League position
#12
-20.1
Net rating
+4.6
97.4
Offensive rating
113.3
117.5
Defensive rating
108.7
49.8%
Effective FG%
56.6%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.1%
18.0%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.5%
3-point %
37.6%
76.4%
Assist %
69.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 113.3Defence117.5 · 108.7Shooting49.8% · 56.6%3-point %28.5% · 37.6%Ball care18.0% · 19.1%Off. rebounds18.0% · 29.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ La Rochelle   ■ Strasbourg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
La Rochelle wins
0
Strasbourg wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HGravelines-Dunkerque76-88
30/11/24ALimoges62-83
26/11/24ARoanne75-93
15/11/24HNanterre77-98
09/11/24HJL Bourg78-86
01/11/24ALe Portel62-83
26/10/24ADijon95-88
19/10/24HSaint Quentin57-94
15/10/24AAngers81-78
12/10/24AMonaco62-82
Strasbourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HCholet83-94
01/12/24HLyon-Villeurbanne77-75
17/11/24AParis74-106
12/11/24APau-Orthez86-94 OT
08/11/24HLe Portel75-76 OT
02/11/24AJL Bourg96-89
25/10/24HLimoges110-90
19/10/24HNancy96-76
16/10/24HNancy106-66
13/10/24AGravelines-Dunkerque72-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Rochelle
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %9%0%17%
Points / game69.570.468.7
Allowed / game84.488.880.7
Point differential-14.9-18.4-12.0
Avg total153.8159.2149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Strasbourg
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %45%57%25%
Points / game83.587.476.8
Allowed / game85.183.787.5
Point differential-1.5+3.7-10.8
Avg total168.6171.1164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %9%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cholet109190%86.674.4+12.2
2 Paris119282%96.984.4+12.5
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne118373%88.679.6+9.0
4 Monaco117464%84.579.2+5.3
5 JL Bourg117464%87.882.9+4.9
6 Saint Quentin116555%79.581.9-2.4
7 Gravelines-Dunkerque116555%76.379.5-3.2
8 Le Mans115645%85.184.7+0.4
9 Limoges115645%78.780.3-1.5
10 Strasbourg115645%83.585.1-1.5
11 Nancy115645%84.688.8-4.2
12 Dijon104640%82.186.2-4.1
13 Nanterre114736%86.586.1+0.4
14 Chalon/Saone113827%83.588.0-4.5
15 Le Portel113827%73.080.5-7.5
16 La Rochelle111109%69.584.4-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
La Rochelle2016171871
Strasbourg1726112478
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