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Lakeside Lightning vs Perth Redbacks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 May 2025
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 74-89
12-25 24-21 18-26 20-17
Position#10
Record2-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game96.9
vs
Position#13
Record2-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game94.3
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2025
Meetings · Lakeside Lightning v Perth Redbacks
16 May 2025
LAKE74
PERT89
07 Jun 2024
LAKE109
PERT87
24 Jun 2023
LAKE89
PERT86
30 Apr 2022
LAKE77
PERT85
07 Aug 2021
LAKE112
PERT96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lakeside Lightning winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth Redbacks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lakeside LightningAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joondalup Wolves
#2
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H13/07
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A19/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
A04/04
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
79-117
79
117
-38
H05/04
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
L
82-101
82
101
-19
H11/04
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
100-84
100
84
+16
A17/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H26/04
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A02/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
103-91
103
91
+12
H03/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
73-107
73
107
-34
A10/05
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
21-27
31-19
19-26
24-34
20-14
27-16
21-21
11-17
18-25
18-16
34-23
24-37
21-32
19-27
15-21
25-27
16-21
19-29
22-24
22-23
23-27
32-23
23-11
22-24
10-26
27-21
20-19
17-24
25-31
17-22
31-20
25-20
33-15
19-28
26-28
23-24
17-32
16-20
17-31
182.9Avg total
87.9Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.696.9183.5-10.225%
Season at home (4)85.899.8185.5-14.025%
Season away (4)87.594.0181.5-6.525%
Last 10 (10)87.995.0182.9-7.140%
Last 5 (5)89.093.8182.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)87.898.9186.6-11.119%
vs Similar (4)82.593.0175.5-10.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)94.086.4180.4+7.670%
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth RedbacksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H06/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
L
92-102
92
102
-10
H13/07
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
76-107
76
107
-31
H20/07
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H04/04
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
69-107
69
107
-38
A12/04
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A17/04
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
83-119
83
119
-36
A26/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
H27/04
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
H03/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
78-102
78
102
-24
A10/05
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
13-23
14-19
31-26
29-28
18-25
22-24
23-25
20-30
19-28
12-23
25-26
27-26
15-22
17-20
26-15
16-34
12-27
16-25
25-21
19-18
21-13
15-15
24-21
18-25
20-28
20-31
25-35
29-24
21-21
18-24
14-23
18-22
17-19
19-21
24-16
26-30
20-30
17-15
15-27
177.2Avg total
82.0Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.494.3174.7-13.929%
Season at home (3)84.788.3173.0-3.733%
Season away (4)77.298.8176.0-21.525%
Last 10 (10)82.095.2177.2-13.230%
Last 5 (5)81.894.0175.8-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)83.899.5183.3-15.617%
vs Similar (6)87.787.0174.7+0.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lakeside Lightning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
Lakeside LightningPerth Redbacks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lakeside LightningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joondalup Wolves
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H13/07
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A19/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A04/04
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
45-69
45
69
-24
H05/04
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H11/04
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A17/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H26/04
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A02/05
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H03/05
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A10/05
NBL1 West
91.8Avg total
42.0Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.448.091.4-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.646.791.3-2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)42.249.391.5-7.120%-
Last 10 (10)42.049.891.8-7.810%-
Last 5 (5)43.449.292.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)42.051.893.8-9.812%-
vs Similar (4)43.245.288.5-2.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.743.088.7+2.750%-
This opponent (Perth Redbacks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth RedbacksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H06/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#9
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H13/07
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H20/07
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/04
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
28-61
28
61
-33
A12/04
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A17/04
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A26/04
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H27/04
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/05
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A10/05
NBL1 West
89.7Avg total
40.9Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.750.992.6-9.227%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.348.991.1-6.636%-
Last 30 away (16)41.152.793.8-11.619%-
Last 10 (10)40.948.889.7-7.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.846.087.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)42.753.295.9-10.525%-
vs Similar (6)37.541.879.3-4.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lakeside Lightning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25AWilletton Tigers73-107
03/05/25HSouth West Slammers103-91
02/05/25AJoondalup Wolves90-97
26/04/25HGoldfields Giants79-90
17/04/25ASouth West Slammers100-84
11/04/25HMandurah Magic82-101
05/04/25HWarwick Senators79-117
04/04/25APerry Lakes Hawks87-88 OT
19/07/24AWarwick Senators92-85
13/07/24HJoondalup Wolves94-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25ARockingham Flames78-102
03/05/25HBeeliar Boodjar87-90 OT
27/04/25HGoldfields Giants82-92
26/04/25AWarwick Senators83-119
17/04/25APerry Lakes Hawks79-67
12/04/25AGeraldton Buccaneers69-107
04/04/25HJoondalup Wolves85-83
20/07/24HGeraldton Buccaneers76-107
13/07/24HPerry Lakes Hawks92-102
06/07/24HLakeside Lightning89-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lakeside Lightning
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL25%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game86.685.887.5
Allowed / game96.999.894.0
Point differential-10.2-14.0-6.5
Avg total183.5185.5181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Perth Redbacks
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game80.484.777.2
Allowed / game94.388.398.8
Point differential-13.9-3.7-21.5
Avg total174.7173.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Warwick Senators770100%110.787.9+22.9
2 Rockingham Flames87188%106.494.6+11.8
3 Willetton Tigers75271%97.388.3+9.0
4 Goldfields Giants64267%100.590.3+10.2
5 Joondalup Wolves96367%100.193.8+6.3
6 Mandurah Magic85362%98.998.0+0.9
7 Geraldton Buccaneers74357%97.384.4+12.9
8 Perry Lakes Hawks73443%80.185.9-5.7
9 Kalamunda Eastern Suns83538%78.082.1-4.1
10 East Perth Eagles62433%91.7102.0-10.3
11 Perth Redbacks72529%80.494.3-13.9
12 Lakeside Lightning82625%86.696.9-10.2
13 Beeliar Boodjar71614%81.698.4-16.9
14 South West Slammers7070%85.9100.1-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lakeside Lightning1224182074
Perth Redbacks2521261789
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