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Lamar vs Rice Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Projected 82-67
Projected total 149.7
Scheduled
Position#144
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game67.3
Vs
91%
■ LAMA 91%■ RICE 9%
Pythia win probability
Position#207
Record2-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lamar v Rice
22 Nov 2026
LAMA v RICE
upcoming
07 Dec 2019
LAMA73
RICE60
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Lamar host Rice in the NCAA. Pythia makes Lamar the favourite at 91% and projects 82-67, about 150 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. Lamar are 2-1 this season (109.0 scored, 67.3 allowed a game), form LLWLW; Rice are 2-2 this season (81.2 scored, 74.0 allowed a game), form WWLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lamar win
90.6%fair 1.10
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rice win
9.4%fair 10.63
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LamarUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#331
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A14/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A17/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H24/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A03/03
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#521
W
124-62
124
62
+62
H03/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#293
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A07/11
NCAA
Centenary Louisiana
#526
W
122-57
122
57
+65
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
35-33
22-38
41-38
30-32
35-38
29-32
42-45
23-20
29-33
22-37
38-35
24-29
29-46
67-30
57-32
31-39
50-44
65-26
57-31
145.4Avg total
75.9Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)109.067.3176.3+41.767%
Season at home (2)123.059.5182.5+63.5100%
Season away (1)81.083.0164.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)75.969.5145.4+6.420%
Last 5 (5)88.069.8157.8+18.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.677.0144.6-9.40%
vs Similar (8)70.273.8144.0-3.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)68.363.7132.0+4.660%
This opponent (Rice) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#310
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A22/02
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
56-75
56
75
-19
H26/02
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A01/03
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A05/03
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H08/03
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#469
W
100-55
100
55
+45
H02/11
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#142
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H06/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A10/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#89
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-38
41-47
33-36
42-45
31-39
25-36
35-36
45-38
33-23
25-39
45-32
35-39
47-14
53-41
32-37
39-35
29-45
44-46
39-30
33-42
149.3Avg total
74.9Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.274.0155.2+7.250%
Season at home (2)85.563.5149.0+22.050%
Season away (2)77.084.5161.5-7.550%
Last 10 (10)74.974.4149.3+0.540%
Last 5 (5)81.073.4154.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.277.7148.9-6.545%
vs Similar (11)72.877.0149.8-4.227%
vs Weaker (8)81.870.5152.2+11.262%
This opponent (Lamar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 144
Over 144
63.9%
Under 144
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 149
Over 149
51.6%
Under 149
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 154
Over 154
39.1%
Under 154
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Lamar total 79.5
Over 79.5
61.8%
Under 79.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamar total 83.5
Over 83.5
45.8%
Under 83.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lamar total 87.5
Over 87.5
30.5%
Under 87.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rice total 61.5
Over 61.5
71.5%
Under 61.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rice total 65.5
Over 65.5
56.6%
Under 65.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rice total 69.5
Over 69.5
40.8%
Under 69.5
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Lamar -3
LAMA -3
87.0%
RICE +3
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
LAMA
No market prices yet.
RICE
No market prices yet.
Spread Lamar 0
LAMA 0
90.6%
RICE 0
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
LAMA
No market prices yet.
RICE
No market prices yet.
Spread Lamar +3
LAMA +3
93.8%
RICE -3
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
LAMA
No market prices yet.
RICE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -2.6-2.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -2.6-2.6
LamarRice
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LamarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#331
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H10/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A14/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A17/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
23-20
23
20
+3
H24/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A28/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A03/03
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#521
W
67-30
67
30
+37
H03/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#293
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A07/11
NCAA
Centenary Louisiana
#526
W
65-26
65
26
+39
H12/11
NCAA
66.6Avg total
34.6Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.933.567.4+0.533%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.630.466.1+5.247%-
Last 30 away (13)31.737.569.2-5.815%-
Last 10 (10)34.632.066.6+2.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.832.274.0+9.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.738.970.6-7.211%-
vs Similar (8)30.833.264.0-2.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)29.731.761.4-2.030%-
This opponent (Rice) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#310
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A22/02
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H26/02
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A01/03
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A05/03
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H08/03
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#469
W
47-14
47
14
+33
H02/11
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#142
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H06/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A10/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#89
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A14/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
35.8Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.933.368.2+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.432.969.3+3.650%-
Last 30 away (14)33.233.766.9-0.543%-
Last 10 (10)35.833.068.8+2.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.431.670.0+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.834.467.2-1.545%-
vs Similar (11)33.533.266.6+0.345%-
vs Weaker (8)39.931.971.8+8.050%-
This opponent (Lamar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lamar wins
0
Rice wins
DateGameScore
07/12/19Lamar v Rice73-60
Lamarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HCentenary Louisiana122-57
07/11/26AAbilene Christian81-83
03/11/26HSchreiner Mountaineers124-62
03/03/26AHouston Christian53-75
28/02/26AIncarnate Word60-72
24/02/26HNicholls State52-53
22/02/26HNew Orleans71-77
17/02/26AUTRGV65-70
14/02/26ATexas A&M-CC63-76
10/02/26HNorthwestern St.68-70
Ricelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AStephen F. Austin81-78 OT
10/11/26AStanford73-91
06/11/26HEast Texas A&M71-72
02/11/26HDallas Christian100-55
08/03/26HUTSA Roadrunners80-71
05/03/26ANorth Texas58-62
01/03/26ATemple80-74
26/02/26HSouth Florida56-75
22/02/26ATulane75-81
14/02/26HEast Carolina75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lamar
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game109.0123.081.0
Allowed / game67.359.583.0
Point differential+41.7+63.5-2.0
Avg total176.3182.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rice
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.285.577.0
Allowed / game74.063.584.5
Point differential+7.2+22.0-7.5
Avg total155.2149.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Christian440100%94.265.2+29.0
2 Stephen F. Austin43175%90.861.2+29.5
3 Lamar32167%109.067.3+41.7
4 McNeese State32167%100.380.7+19.7
5 New Orleans32167%81.782.3-0.7
6 Nicholls State42250%76.867.8+9.0
7 UTRGV42250%72.867.8+5.0
8 Texas A&M-CC42250%71.067.2+3.8
9 SE Louisiana31233%64.387.3-23.0
10 Northwestern St.51420%68.079.0-11.0
11 Incarnate Word4040%60.879.2-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa330100%90.765.3+25.3
2 North Texas43175%84.064.5+19.5
3 Wichita State43175%88.570.0+18.5
4 East Carolina43175%75.565.8+9.8
5 Florida Atlantic43175%79.577.5+2.0
6 UTSA Roadrunners32167%76.774.0+2.7
7 Memphis32167%83.389.7-6.3
8 South Florida42250%82.874.8+8.0
9 Rice42250%81.274.0+7.2
10 Tulane42250%81.278.2+3.0
11 UAB42250%77.074.2+2.8
12 Charlotte42250%69.267.8+1.5
13 Temple31233%67.375.3-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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