PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Incarnate Word vs Lamar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 72-60
0-0 37-22 0-0 35-38
Position#287
Record11-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Position#286
Record12-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Incarnate Word v Lamar
09 Jan 2027
INCA v LAMA
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
INCA72
LAMA60
24 Feb 2025
INCA73
LAMA61
12 Feb 2024
INCA76
LAMA67
09 Feb 2023
INCA59
LAMA68
24 Feb 2021
INCA45
LAMA67
22 Jan 2020
INCA77
LAMA89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lamar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H24/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A28/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
93-106
93
106
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A07/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A10/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H14/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H17/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A24/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
22-37
0-0
49-42
0-0
41-31
0-0
34-50
0-0
42-44
0-0
51-62
0-0
32-26
0-0
39-43
0-0
30-30
0-0
34-51
0-0
26-40
0-0
36-34
0-0
30-46
0-0
53-45
0-0
28-39
0-0
36-39
0-0
43-39
0-0
39-34
0-0
23-18
0-0
26-36
150.0Avg total
71.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.674.1148.7+0.438%
Season at home (14)83.973.8157.7+10.164%
Season away (15)65.874.4140.2-8.613%
Last 10 (10)71.478.6150.0-7.220%
Last 5 (5)68.074.0142.0-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.578.6147.1-10.218%
vs Similar ◀ (6)69.777.3147.0-7.70%
vs Weaker (13)81.668.8150.4+12.869%
This opponent (Lamar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LamarUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H24/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H28/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H01/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H03/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A07/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A14/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A17/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H24/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-43
0-0
40-45
0-0
35-33
0-0
47-28
0-0
23-31
0-0
40-33
0-0
31-26
0-0
42-28
0-0
34-46
0-0
40-38
0-0
33-37
0-0
35-33
0-0
22-38
0-0
41-38
0-0
30-32
0-0
35-38
0-0
29-32
0-0
42-45
0-0
23-20
0-0
29-33
138.9Avg total
69.2Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.868.8139.7+2.041%
Season at home (16)71.064.8135.8+6.244%
Season away (13)70.673.8144.5-3.238%
Last 10 (10)69.269.7138.9-0.520%
Last 5 (5)63.869.2133.0-5.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)66.175.8141.9-9.70%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.272.6143.9-1.438%
vs Weaker (10)72.159.8131.9+12.380%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
Incarnate WordLamar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H24/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A28/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A07/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A10/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H14/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H17/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
23-18
23
18
+5
A24/02
NCAA
66.7Avg total
31.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.434.467.8-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.935.473.3+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)29.433.663.0-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)31.735.066.7-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)30.036.466.4-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.135.865.9-5.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)27.235.562.7-8.30%-
vs Weaker (13)39.032.871.8+6.277%-
This opponent (Lamar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LamarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H24/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H28/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H01/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H03/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H10/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A14/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A17/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
23-20
23
20
+3
H24/02
NCAA
63.9Avg total
30.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.933.065.8-0.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.530.462.9+2.144%-
Last 30 away (14)33.335.969.1-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)30.133.863.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)27.431.859.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.138.470.5-6.39%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)30.931.262.1-0.450%-
vs Weaker (10)32.830.263.0+2.650%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Incarnate Word wins
6
Lamar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/26ANorthwestern St.49-54
21/02/26AEast Texas A&M82-73
17/02/26HNew Orleans64-78
14/02/26HNicholls State83-91
10/02/26ASE Louisiana62-74
07/02/26AMcNeese State64-81
03/02/26ATexas A&M-CC71-69
31/01/26HUTRGV93-106
28/01/26AHouston Christian75-81
24/01/26HTexas A&M-CC71-79
Lamarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/26HNicholls State52-53
22/02/26HNew Orleans71-77
17/02/26AUTRGV65-70
14/02/26ATexas A&M-CC63-76
10/02/26HNorthwestern St.68-70
07/02/26AStephen F. Austin74-84
03/02/26HSE Louisiana73-54
01/02/26HMcNeese State63-64
28/01/26HEast Texas A&M82-61
24/01/26HStephen F. Austin81-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLLLLL64%
AwayWLLWL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %38%64%13%
Points / game74.683.965.8
Allowed / game74.173.874.4
Point differential+0.4+10.1-8.6
Avg total148.7157.7140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lamar
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeLWLLL44%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %41%44%38%
Points / game70.871.070.6
Allowed / game68.864.873.8
Point differential+2.0+6.2-3.2
Avg total139.7135.8144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin3026487%77.565.8+11.7
2 McNeese State2924583%80.766.4+14.3
3 UTRGV27151256%75.669.6+6.0
4 Texas A&M-CC29151452%72.668.4+4.2
5 New Orleans30151550%76.678.5-1.8
6 Nicholls State30131743%73.175.4-2.3
7 Lamar29121741%70.868.8+2.0
8 Incarnate Word29111838%74.674.1+0.4
9 Houston Christian30111937%67.172.8-5.7
10 Northwestern St.29101934%69.672.8-3.2
11 SE Louisiana3082227%64.570.2-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Incarnate Word03703572
Lamar02203860
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.