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Lancut vs Czarni Slupsk Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 88-74
9-13 21-19 24-26 34-16
Position#16
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game90.8
vs
Position#11
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game86.2
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 6· MOSiR Lancut
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lancut v Czarni Slupsk
28 Oct 2023
LANC88
CSL74
15 Oct 2022
LANC69
CSL83
02 May 2021
LANC76
CSL81
01 May 2021
LANC89
CSL87
06 Mar 2021
LANC86
CSL77
15 Feb 2020
LANC73
CSL79
18 May 2019
LANC65
CSL82
16 Feb 2019
LANC92
CSL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Czarni Slupsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Gdynia
#11
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
A06/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
no box
A15/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#7
W
86-74
86
74
+12
no box
H20/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
H27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 68
A24/09
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
64-88
64
88
-24
55avg 68
H30/09
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
83-99
83
99
-16
80avg 68
A08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
no box
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
no box
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-27
21-21
22-18
23-28
21-17
17-19
14-23
24-16
22-17
22-20
18-21
20-18
18-21
20-28
21-16
25-27
14-20
22-16
15-12
25-21
24-25
20-21
10-18
18-25
18-28
14-20
14-15
20-19
23-26
20-31
20-23
16-28
26-16
18-18
21-19
19-19
22-17
19-18
14-20
165.3Avg total
79.6Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.890.8170.6-11.00%
Season at home (2)76.088.5164.5-12.50%
Season away (3)82.392.3174.7-10.00%
Last 10 (10)79.685.7165.3-6.120%
Last 5 (5)79.890.8170.6-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)76.982.7159.6-5.833%
vs Similar (12)80.279.1159.3+1.242%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Czarni Slupsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Czarni SlupskPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlupsk
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#14
L
64-84
64
84
-20
no box
A29/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#8
W
83-60
83
60
+23
no box
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
85-95
85
95
-10
no box
A07/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
63-70
63
70
-7
no box
A09/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
H12/05
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
61-81
61
81
-20
47avg 69
H22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
77-106
77
106
-29
66avg 69
A29/09
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 69
H06/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
75avg 69
A15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
81avg 69
A21/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-32
21-10
13-21
12-21
28-20
16-16
18-13
21-11
27-26
19-26
18-20
21-23
17-12
10-18
18-24
18-16
11-19
13-12
18-24
28-22
12-23
21-18
16-14
12-26
20-27
11-23
21-33
25-23
18-18
30-28
17-18
17-16
27-16
20-11
16-24
19-32
18-18
30-21
20-24
22-18
157.4Avg total
75.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.486.2164.6-7.840%
Season at home (2)71.580.5152.0-9.050%
Season away (3)83.090.0173.0-7.033%
Last 10 (10)75.781.7157.4-6.030%
Last 5 (5)78.486.2164.6-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.089.0172.0-6.067%
vs Similar (15)74.475.1149.5-0.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.473.2154.6+8.267%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
LancutCzarni Slupsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdynia
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A06/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A15/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H20/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A24/09
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H30/09
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
84.9Avg total
41.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.279.3-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.837.174.8+0.746%-
Last 30 away (17)40.142.682.7-2.641%-
Last 10 (10)41.643.384.9-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.887.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.341.281.5-0.950%-
vs Similar (12)37.238.876.0-1.533%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Czarni Slupsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Czarni SlupskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#14
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A29/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A07/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A09/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H12/05
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A29/09
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H06/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A21/10
Energa Basket Liga
78.1Avg total
38.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.776.6-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.936.972.8-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.040.580.5-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.478.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.682.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.345.087.3-2.767%-
vs Similar (15)36.738.575.1-1.847%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.437.475.8+1.042%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.3 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.7
51.7%
53.6%41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.04.3
20.6%
34.7%13.0
🏀 Free throws25.319.7
77.6%
73.2%19.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Czarni Slupsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Czarni Slupsk: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.0
47.7%
53.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.6
34.2%
34.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.016.4
78.1%
73.2%16.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/5 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
LLLLLWLWLL
Czarni Slupsk
WLWLLLLLWL
#16
League position
#11
-20.5
Net rating
-11.3
94.6
Offensive rating
106.4
115.1
Defensive rating
117.7
44.5%
Effective FG%
49.0%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.34
20.6%
3-point %
34.2%
68.0%
Assist %
48.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 106.4Defence115.1 · 117.7Shooting44.5% · 49.0%3-point %20.6% · 34.2%Ball care18.0% · 18.4%Off. rebounds21.9% · 32.8%Free throws0.42 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Lancut   ■ Czarni Slupsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lancut wins
8
Czarni Slupsk wins
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/23ADziki Warszawa85-93 OT
15/10/23HZielona Gora88-89 OT
08/10/23ALublin83-99
30/09/23HAnwil Wloclawek64-88
24/09/23ASzczecin79-85
03/05/23ASlask Wroclaw76-75
27/04/23HSpojnia Stargard79-83
20/04/23HZielona Gora86-74
15/04/23AOstrow Wielkopolski75-87
06/04/23AGdynia81-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23ATrefl Sopot90-81
15/10/23ATorun82-83
06/10/23HLegia82-80
29/09/23AOstrow Wielkopolski77-106
22/09/23HSpojnia Stargard61-81
12/05/23HOstrow Wielkopolski70-77
09/05/23AOstrow Wielkopolski63-70
07/05/23AOstrow Wielkopolski85-95
03/05/23HTrefl Sopot83-60
29/04/23AGTK Gliwice64-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.876.082.3
Allowed / game90.888.592.3
Point differential-11.0-12.5-10.0
Avg total170.6164.5174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %40%50%33%
Czarni Slupsk
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game78.471.583.0
Allowed / game86.280.590.0
Point differential-7.8-9.0-7.0
Avg total164.6152.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek660100%89.580.2+9.3
2 Dabrowa Gornicza65183%100.790.2+10.5
3 Lublin65183%95.388.5+6.8
4 Szczecin64267%96.084.2+11.8
5 Spojnia Stargard64267%79.375.5+3.8
6 Dziki Warszawa64267%81.582.5-1.0
7 Ostrow Wielkopolski53260%78.672.0+6.6
8 Torun53260%81.882.2-0.4
9 Legia63350%76.372.5+3.8
10 Czarni Slupsk52340%78.486.2-7.8
11 Trefl Sopot62433%83.885.5-1.7
12 Slask Wroclaw62433%77.883.5-5.7
13 Zielona Gora62433%84.291.7-7.5
14 Gdynia61517%79.889.3-9.5
15 GTK Gliwice6060%82.392.7-10.3
16 Lancut5050%79.890.8-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lancut921243488
Czarni Slupsk1319261674
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