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Lublin vs Lancut Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 99-83
19-20 26-23 31-20 23-20
Position#7
Record2-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game79.0
Lublin 🏆
Poland
vs
Lancut
Poland
Position#16
Record0-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game86.5
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 3· Globus
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lublin v Lancut
08 Oct 2023
LUB99
LANC83
04 Nov 2022
LUB74
LANC83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lancut winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Szczecin
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
A07/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
no box
A11/04
ENBL
Szczecin
#5
W
86-62
86
62
+24
no box
H12/04
ENBL
Czarni Slupsk
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
H15/04
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#15
W
93-80
93
80
+13
no box
A22/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#12
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
H28/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
W
106-99
106
99
+7
no box
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
W
102-85
102
85
+17
103avg 82
H22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
82avg 82
A29/09
Energa Basket Liga
Juventus
#2
L
73-103
73
103
-30
61avg 82
H04/10
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
22-23
12-19
18-20
12-22
22-17
21-22
19-25
25-15
17-21
23-4
21-22
24-19
17-21
18-27
21-24
16-29
28-17
25-23
24-11
22-25
18-23
22-23
29-18
25-21
24-21
27-29
30-28
23-18
33-26
24-19
22-22
20-16
16-21
24-18
22-18
20-28
23-25
20-23
10-27
171.9Avg total
86.5Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.079.0171.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)102.085.0187.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)82.073.0155.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.585.4171.9+1.160%
Last 5 (5)90.889.8180.6+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.489.2168.6-9.817%
vs Similar (13)86.180.2166.2+5.977%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.574.0163.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#16
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A18/03
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#14
L
86-87
86
87
-1
no box
A23/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#8
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H01/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#11
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
A06/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
no box
A15/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#7
W
86-74
86
74
+12
no box
H20/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
H27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 61
A24/09
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
64-88
64
88
-24
55avg 61
H30/09
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
8-25
16-18
26-23
19-28
23-20
25-18
19-21
18-16
20-17
14-27
29-14
17-18
21-27
21-21
22-18
23-28
21-17
17-19
14-23
24-16
22-17
22-20
18-21
20-18
18-21
20-28
21-16
25-27
14-20
22-16
15-12
25-21
24-25
20-21
10-18
18-25
18-28
14-20
14-15
160.9Avg total
78.5Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.586.5158.0-15.00%
Season at home (1)64.088.0152.0-24.00%
Season away (1)79.085.0164.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)78.582.4160.9-3.930%
Last 5 (5)76.881.0157.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.681.7157.3-6.133%
vs Similar (12)77.977.7155.6+0.242%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
LublinLancut
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szczecin
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A07/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A11/04
ENBL
Szczecin
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H12/04
ENBL
Czarni Slupsk
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H15/04
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A22/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/09
Energa Basket Liga
Juventus
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H04/10
ENBL
86.5Avg total
43.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.584.2+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.441.583.8+0.965%-
Last 30 away (13)43.041.684.6+1.454%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.286.5+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.889.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.844.387.1-1.642%-
vs Similar (13)42.240.682.8+1.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.837.881.5+6.0100%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#16
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A18/03
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#14
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A23/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H01/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A06/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A15/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H20/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A24/09
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H30/09
Energa Basket Liga
84.1Avg total
40.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.439.778.1-1.341%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.236.573.7+0.846%-
Last 30 away (16)39.442.481.8-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.584.1-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.685.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.841.080.8-1.247%-
vs Similar (12)36.537.974.4-1.433%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.1 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.6
53.5%
53.6%39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.1
36.3%
34.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws14.19.4
66.9%
73.2%9.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀30%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.518.0
45.6%
53.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.54.5
22.0%
34.7%13.5
🏀 Free throws26.021.0
80.8%
73.2%21.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/2 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin
LWWWWWLWLL
Lancut
LLWLWLLWLL
#7
League position
#16
-11.4
Net rating
-19.6
99.4
Offensive rating
92.1
110.8
Defensive rating
111.7
53.9%
Effective FG%
41.2%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
21.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.43
36.3%
3-point %
22.0%
64.0%
Assist %
64.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 92.1Defence110.8 · 111.7Shooting53.9% · 41.2%3-point %36.3% · 22.0%Ball care21.4% · 16.5%Off. rebounds24.4% · 20.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Lublin   ■ Lancut
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lublin wins
2
Lancut wins
DateGameScore
11/03/23Lancut v Lublin74-72
04/11/22Lublin v Lancut74-83
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23HJuventus73-103
29/09/23ATrefl Sopot82-73
22/09/23HTorun102-85
03/05/23ASpojnia Stargard106-99
28/04/23HDabrowa Gornicza91-89
22/04/23ATorun93-80
15/04/23HCzarni Slupsk80-91
12/04/23HSzczecin86-62
11/04/23AOstrow Wielkopolski74-86
07/04/23ASzczecin78-86
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23HAnwil Wloclawek64-88
24/09/23ASzczecin79-85
03/05/23ASlask Wroclaw76-75
27/04/23HSpojnia Stargard79-83
20/04/23HZielona Gora86-74
15/04/23AOstrow Wielkopolski75-87
06/04/23AGdynia81-84
01/04/23HTrefl Sopot81-74
23/03/23AGTK Gliwice86-87
18/03/23ABydgoszcz78-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.0102.082.0
Allowed / game79.085.073.0
Point differential+13.0+17.0+9.0
Avg total171.0187.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lancut
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.564.079.0
Allowed / game86.588.085.0
Point differential-15.0-24.0-6.0
Avg total158.0152.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek220100%89.573.5+16.0
2 Dziki Warszawa220100%83.068.5+14.5
3 Lublin220100%92.079.0+13.0
4 Spojnia Stargard330100%80.769.7+11.0
5 Dabrowa Gornicza220100%92.590.5+2.0
6 Szczecin32167%99.389.3+10.0
7 Legia21150%85.077.0+8.0
8 Slask Wroclaw21150%80.078.5+1.5
9 Gdynia21150%85.084.5+0.5
10 Ostrow Wielkopolski31233%77.776.0+1.7
11 Trefl Sopot31233%84.386.0-1.7
12 Torun31233%80.785.3-4.7
13 Czarni Slupsk31233%73.389.0-15.7
14 Zielona Gora3030%77.090.7-13.7
15 GTK Gliwice3030%78.092.0-14.0
16 Lancut2020%71.586.5-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin1926312399
Lancut2023202083
← all games of the day
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