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Lancut vs MKKS Koszalin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-79
14-18 27-12 20-24 23-25
Position#3
Record14-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#15
Record12-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game84.6
Poland1 LigaRound 28· MOSiR Lancut
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lancut v MKKS Koszalin
04 Mar 2025
LANC84
MKKS79
08 Jan 2022
LANC96
MKKS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MKKS Koszalin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
76-71
76
71
+5
76avg 76
H05/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
71-95
71
95
-24
62avg 76
A11/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 76
H15/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
101-96
101
96
+5
101avg 76
A18/01
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
90-50
90
50
+40
89avg 76
H25/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
94-85
94
85
+9
85avg 76
A31/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
82-64
82
64
+18
78avg 76
H05/02
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
110-118 OT
110
118
-8
109avg 76
A11/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
64avg 76
H15/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
52-77
52
77
-25
37avg 76
A26/02
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
12-19
23-19
18-17
16-31
20-19
21-21
14-24
25-20
30-30
14-22
15-20
30-30
22-20
19-16
30-30
25-16
23-16
15-14
27-4
35-14
11-21
25-23
23-27
26-28
19-9
21-14
16-13
26-24
28-23
17-32
25-17
19-17
17-26
19-17
20-20
16-18
12-23
10-25
14-11
166.3Avg total
83.5Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.282.9167.1+1.352%
Season at home (13)82.777.2159.8+5.554%
Season away (14)85.688.2173.8-2.650%
Last 10 (10)83.582.8166.3+0.750%
Last 5 (5)82.684.8167.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.084.5159.5-9.517%
vs Similar (13)84.486.0170.4-1.646%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.882.5170.3+5.464%
This opponent (MKKS Koszalin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MKKS KoszalinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKoszalin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
99-104
99
104
-5
89avg 71
A04/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 71
H11/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
82avg 71
A15/01
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
87-83
87
83
+4
82avg 71
H19/01
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
68-86
68
86
-18
53avg 71
A26/01
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
83-75
83
75
+8
73avg 71
H02/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
70-69
70
69
+1
71avg 71
A05/02
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
66-74
66
74
-8
57avg 71
H08/02
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
85-93
85
93
-8
70avg 71
A15/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
105-94 OT
105
94
+11
58avg 71
H26/02
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
31-23
20-27
28-27
13-26
25-13
18-25
22-22
25-18
19-26
20-19
16-17
20-21
22-14
23-21
22-27
19-28
16-24
18-12
15-22
18-20
28-16
18-13
19-26
11-17
16-19
19-22
24-11
17-24
19-20
14-14
16-16
25-31
20-21
19-24
21-17
18-28
23-22
17-15
20-13
167.9Avg total
82.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.784.6165.3-3.844%
Season at home (15)79.983.2163.1-3.340%
Season away (12)81.886.2168.0-4.550%
Last 10 (10)82.985.0167.9-2.150%
Last 5 (5)81.881.0162.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.084.0167.0-1.044%
vs Similar (20)79.585.8165.4-6.340%
vs Weaker (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
This opponent (Lancut) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
LancutMKKS Koszalin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H05/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A11/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H15/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A18/01
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H25/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A31/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H05/02
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A11/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H15/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A26/02
1 Liga
85.5Avg total
43.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.483.7-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.638.780.4+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)41.145.686.7-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.085.5+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.682.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.341.579.8-3.233%-
vs Similar (13)41.743.585.2-1.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.641.584.1+1.255%-
This opponent (MKKS Koszalin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MKKS KoszalinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A04/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H11/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A15/01
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H19/01
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A26/01
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H02/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A05/02
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H08/02
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A15/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H26/02
1 Liga
84.3Avg total
40.5Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.984.0-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.943.683.5-3.635%-
Last 30 away (13)40.344.284.5-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)40.543.884.3-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.682.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.240.981.1-0.744%-
vs Similar (20)40.045.185.1-5.230%-
vs Weaker (1)42.045.087.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.8
51.9%
51.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.1
32.7%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.7
72.4%
70.2%15.7
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MKKS Koszalintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MKKS Koszalin: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.6
49.6%
51.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.9
34.1%
32.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws24.417.2
70.5%
70.2%17.2
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
LLLWWWWLLW
MKKS Koszalin
WLLWWLWWLL
#3
League position
#15
+2.0
Net rating
-2.4
108.8
Offensive rating
105.0
106.8
Defensive rating
107.4
50.6%
Effective FG%
50.3%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.9%
Turnover %
19.9%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.7%
3-point %
34.1%
68.2%
Assist %
66.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 105.0Defence106.8 · 107.4Shooting50.6% · 50.3%3-point %32.7% · 34.1%Ball care15.9% · 19.9%Off. rebounds29.3% · 33.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Lancut   ■ MKKS Koszalin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lancut wins
0
MKKS Koszalin wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24MKKS Koszalin v Lancut82-83
08/01/22Lancut v MKKS Koszalin96-79
25/09/21MKKS Koszalin v Lancut69-79
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25AKrosno52-77
15/02/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg75-80
11/02/25ATrefl Sopot II110-118 OT
05/02/25HInowroclaw82-64
31/01/25APolonia Warszawa94-85
25/01/25HHydroTruck Radom90-50
18/01/25AGKS Tychy101-96
15/01/25HWKK Wroclaw84-92
11/01/25ABydgoszcz71-95
05/01/25HPoli. Opolska76-71
MKKS Koszalinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg105-94 OT
15/02/25AInowroclaw85-93
08/02/25HHydroTruck Radom66-74
05/02/25AWKK Wroclaw70-69
02/02/25HPoli. Opolska83-75
26/01/25APelplin68-86
19/01/25HLKS Lodz87-83
15/01/25APoznan88-86 OT
11/01/25HKrosno78-86
04/01/25ATrefl Sopot II99-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL52%
HomeWLWWL54%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%54%50%
Points / game84.282.785.6
Allowed / game82.977.288.2
Point differential+1.3+5.5-2.6
Avg total167.1159.8173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)50% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %11%8%14%
MKKS Koszalin
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeLWWLW40%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game80.779.981.8
Allowed / game84.683.286.2
Point differential-3.8-3.3-4.5
Avg total165.3163.1168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno2822679%85.578.9+6.6
2 Bydgoszcz2719870%83.977.8+6.1
3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg28171161%81.676.0+5.6
4 Inowroclaw28171161%80.380.4-0.1
5 WKK Wroclaw27161159%82.980.5+2.4
6 Pelplin28151354%82.382.8-0.4
7 Lancut27141352%84.282.9+1.3
8 LKS Lodz27141352%85.784.7+1.1
9 Poznan28141450%83.981.3+2.5
10 GKS Tychy28141450%81.279.4+1.9
11 Polonia Warszawa28131546%81.881.6+0.2
12 MKKS Koszalin27121544%80.784.6-3.8
13 Starogard Gdanski28121643%82.280.9+1.3
14 R. Rzeszow28121643%79.485.4-6.1
15 Poli. Opolska28111739%80.283.1-3.0
16 Slask Wroclaw II28111739%76.380.8-4.5
17 Trefl Sopot II2781930%83.888.1-4.3
18 HydroTruck Radom2882029%75.982.7-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lancut1427202384
MKKS Koszalin1812242579
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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