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Lancut vs Poli. Opolska Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 76-71
23-16 12-19 23-19 18-17
Position#3
Record9-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#13
Record8-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game82.0
Poland1 LigaRound 18· MOSiR Lancut
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lancut v Poli. Opolska
06 Feb 2027
LANC v POLI
upcoming
29 Nov 2025
LANC87
POLI80
05 Jan 2025
LANC76
POLI71
01 May 2022
LANC86
POLI76
30 Apr 2022
LANC67
POLI63
23 Oct 2021
LANC78
POLI73
27 Mar 2021
LANC92
POLI94
19 Oct 2019
LANC102
POLI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poli. Opolska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
88avg 73
H02/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 73
H13/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
77avg 73
A17/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
67avg 73
A19/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
86-76
86
76
+10
84avg 73
H30/11
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
74-89
74
89
-15
59avg 73
A04/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
80avg 73
H11/12
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
88-86
88
86
+2
90avg 73
A14/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
91-92
91
92
-1
82avg 73
H21/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
107-65
107
65
+42
113avg 73
A28/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
20-18
21-21
14-25
16-21
22-14
13-25
21-19
23-18
17-27
18-16
25-21
18-19
16-22
24-21
22-18
23-23
24-14
19-22
20-17
24-14
21-25
13-21
16-29
19-27
18-16
16-22
31-25
29-15
12-33
21-13
26-25
20-21
19-26
24-14
28-31
18-9
28-24
34-19
27-13
171.7Avg total
86.9Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.682.9167.5+1.653%
Season at home (8)83.580.8164.2+2.850%
Season away (9)85.684.9170.4+0.756%
Last 10 (10)86.984.8171.7+2.150%
Last 5 (5)88.884.4173.2+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.483.3160.8-5.917%
vs Similar (11)81.984.4166.3-2.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.986.3173.1+0.657%
This opponent (Poli. Opolska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Poli. OpolskaPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOpolska
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
72-91
72
91
-19
62avg 82
H03/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
63-65
63
65
-2
60avg 82
A10/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
78-92
78
92
-14
74avg 82
H13/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
78-101
78
101
-23
70avg 82
A17/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
86avg 82
H30/11
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
82-72
82
72
+10
76avg 82
A04/12
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
76-77
76
77
-1
71avg 82
H07/12
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
L
76-79
76
79
-3
61avg 82
A14/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
91-77
91
77
+14
95avg 82
H22/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
82-106
82
106
-24
76avg 82
A28/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
16-23
18-21
20-22
15-15
13-21
20-16
15-13
27-25
15-31
20-16
16-20
24-24
21-29
17-22
16-26
33-27
15-23
20-25
23-20
25-11
28-19
18-28
11-14
9-28
16-20
18-11
33-18
23-18
19-22
19-19
15-20
24-19
12-22
24-21
31-15
17-25
30-24
12-25
23-32
164.4Avg total
78.9Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.782.0163.7-0.347%
Season at home (9)87.185.2172.3+1.956%
Season away (8)75.678.4154.0-2.838%
Last 10 (10)78.985.5164.4-6.620%
Last 5 (5)81.482.2163.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)83.783.7167.3+0.050%
vs Similar (18)81.282.5163.7-1.350%
vs Weaker (6)90.074.0164.0+16.083%
This opponent (Lancut) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
LancutPoli. Opolska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H02/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A19/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H30/11
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A04/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H11/12
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A14/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H21/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A28/12
1 Liga
81.2Avg total
41.1Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.942.581.3-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.338.977.3-0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)39.446.085.4-6.613%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.181.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.083.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.340.878.2-3.533%-
vs Similar (11)39.243.582.7-4.418%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.043.684.6-2.643%-
This opponent (Poli. Opolska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Poli. OpolskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H03/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A10/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H13/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A17/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H30/11
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A04/12
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
25-48
25
48
-23
H07/12
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H22/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A28/12
1 Liga
85.1Avg total
40.0Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.683.2-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.344.587.8-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.938.878.7+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.045.185.1-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.682.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.545.285.7-4.750%-
vs Similar (18)40.641.482.1-0.828%-
vs Weaker (6)45.738.784.3+7.083%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.0
50.8%
51.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.2
29.2%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws28.921.5
74.4%
70.2%21.5
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poli. Opolskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poli. Opolska: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.1
46.9%
51.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.4
29.8%
32.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws26.819.7
73.5%
70.2%19.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
WLWLLWLWLW
Poli. Opolska
LWLLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#13
+2.7
Net rating
-8.8
109.3
Offensive rating
101.0
106.7
Defensive rating
109.7
47.9%
Effective FG%
46.1%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
19.7%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.42
29.2%
3-point %
29.8%
62.8%
Assist %
76.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 101.0Defence106.7 · 109.7Shooting47.9% · 46.1%3-point %29.2% · 29.8%Ball care15.8% · 19.7%Off. rebounds33.7% · 32.9%Free throws0.43 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Lancut   ■ Poli. Opolska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lancut wins
4
Poli. Opolska wins
DateGameScore
28/09/24Poli. Opolska v Lancut99-85
07/05/22Poli. Opolska v Lancut87-93
01/05/22Lancut v Poli. Opolska86-76
30/04/22Lancut v Poli. Opolska67-63
05/02/22Poli. Opolska v Lancut83-81
23/10/21Lancut v Poli. Opolska78-73
27/03/21Lancut v Poli. Opolska92-94 OT
12/12/20Poli. Opolska v Lancut94-116
25/01/20Poli. Opolska v Lancut94-78
19/10/19Lancut v Poli. Opolska102-75
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24AR. Rzeszow107-65
21/12/24HPelplin91-92
14/12/24AStarogard Gdanski88-86
11/12/24HLKS Lodz84-90
04/12/24ASlask Wroclaw II74-89
30/11/24HPoznan86-76
19/11/24AKotwica Kolobrzeg86-93 OT
17/11/24AMKKS Koszalin83-82
13/11/24HKrosno72-79
02/11/24HTrefl Sopot II98-96 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24APelplin82-106
22/12/24HLKS Lodz91-77
14/12/24APoznan76-79
07/12/24HKrosno76-77
04/12/24ATrefl Sopot II82-72
30/11/24HPolonia Warszawa91-95
17/11/24AGKS Tychy78-101
13/11/24HBydgoszcz78-92
10/11/24AR. Rzeszow63-65
03/11/24HStarogard Gdanski72-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game84.683.585.6
Allowed / game82.980.884.9
Point differential+1.6+2.8+0.7
Avg total167.5164.2170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %12%12%11%
Poli. Opolska
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL47%
HomeLLLLW56%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game81.787.175.6
Allowed / game82.085.278.4
Point differential-0.3+1.9-2.8
Avg total163.7172.3154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno1713476%85.480.9+4.4
2 Bydgoszcz1712571%82.377.1+5.2
3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1711665%80.273.9+6.2
4 Poznan1811761%85.780.9+4.7
5 Inowroclaw1811761%82.182.7-0.7
6 Pelplin1710759%84.982.9+2.1
7 GKS Tychy1810856%80.878.3+2.5
8 Lancut179853%84.682.9+1.6
9 WKK Wroclaw179853%80.679.2+1.4
10 Polonia Warszawa189950%84.181.7+2.4
11 Poli. Opolska178947%81.782.0-0.3
12 Starogard Gdanski1881044%83.182.2+0.9
13 LKS Lodz1881044%84.986.3-1.4
14 MKKS Koszalin1871139%80.685.4-4.8
15 Trefl Sopot II1861233%84.387.3-3.1
16 Slask Wroclaw II1861233%74.479.8-5.4
17 R. Rzeszow1751229%75.385.9-10.6
18 HydroTruck Radom1851328%77.782.3-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lancut2312231876
Poli. Opolska1619191771
← all games of the day
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