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Poznan vs MKKS Koszalin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-88 (OT)
18-25 26-19 19-20 17-16 6-8
Position#12
Record11-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#15
Record7-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game85.4
Poland1 LigaRound 20· Cityzen hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Poznan v MKKS Koszalin
15 Jan 2025
POZN86
MKKS88
11 Nov 2023
POZN64
MKKS72
21 Jan 2023
POZN90
MKKS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MKKS Koszalin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
100-84
100
84
+16
95avg 77
H13/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
70avg 77
A16/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
82-81
82
81
+1
79avg 77
H24/11
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
69avg 77
A30/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
94-96
94
96
-2
86avg 77
H04/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
96-94
96
94
+2
92avg 77
A08/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
79-76
79
76
+3
75avg 77
H14/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
72avg 77
A22/12
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
80-63
80
63
+17
70avg 77
H04/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
55-64
55
64
-9
42avg 77
A10/01
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
27-27
20-21
25-11
20-26
26-25
13-22
22-25
21-22
19-23
22-17
20-19
23-23
14-24
22-19
17-20
17-24
30-23
20-25
27-24
28-23
25-19
19-19
24-33
18-23
22-19
19-19
20-15
21-19
20-23
29-20
14-23
22-16
13-13
24-16
21-18
14-15
10-20
16-21
15-8
165.4Avg total
82.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.180.1164.1+4.058%
Season at home (10)88.977.5166.4+11.480%
Season away (9)78.782.9161.6-4.233%
Last 10 (10)82.782.7165.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)78.876.4155.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.583.5162.0-5.025%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.481.7165.1+1.750%
vs Weaker (10)90.175.2165.3+14.9100%
This opponent (MKKS Koszalin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MKKS KoszalinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKoszalin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
74-66
74
66
+8
63avg 72
A13/11
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
82-83
82
83
-1
71avg 72
H17/11
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
85-83
85
83
+2
78avg 72
H28/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
91-87
91
87
+4
88avg 72
A04/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
71-95
71
95
-24
64avg 72
H08/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
98-91
98
91
+7
94avg 72
A14/12
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
78-64
78
64
+14
72avg 72
H21/12
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
67-97
67
97
-30
51avg 72
H23/12
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
99-104
99
104
-5
89avg 72
A04/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 72
H11/01
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
17-20
22-11
22-18
18-23
27-17
16-18
21-25
17-26
17-15
25-22
26-20
19-25
21-15
20-30
31-17
13-30
17-26
14-14
27-25
35-14
22-23
22-30
19-24
13-22
30-11
17-13
18-18
15-31
22-23
17-21
13-22
20-27
31-23
20-27
28-27
13-26
25-13
18-25
22-22
167.9Avg total
82.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.485.4165.8-5.037%
Season at home (11)78.083.8161.8-5.827%
Season away (8)83.887.6171.4-3.950%
Last 10 (10)82.385.6167.9-3.350%
Last 5 (5)84.088.4172.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.285.0163.2-6.827%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.988.2170.2-6.341%
vs Weaker (2)88.5101.0189.5-12.50%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
PoznanMKKS Koszalin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H13/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A16/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H24/11
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A30/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H04/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H14/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/12
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H04/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A10/01
1 Liga
85.0Avg total
41.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.384.1+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.438.183.6+7.375%-
Last 30 away (14)41.942.784.6-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.285.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.076.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.042.881.8-3.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.140.683.6+2.556%-
vs Weaker (10)46.938.885.7+8.180%-
This opponent (MKKS Koszalin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MKKS KoszalinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A13/11
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/11
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H28/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A04/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
30-56
30
56
-26
H08/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A14/12
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H21/12
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H23/12
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A04/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H11/01
1 Liga
83.2Avg total
40.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.685.5-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.144.484.4-4.329%-
Last 30 away (13)42.045.087.0-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.783.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.687.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.640.579.1-1.845%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.946.888.7-4.929%-
vs Weaker (2)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.1
47.6%
51.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.0
33.5%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.118.5
76.8%
70.2%18.5
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MKKS Koszalintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MKKS Koszalin: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.1
56.5%
51.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.2
34.2%
32.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.313.9
68.5%
70.2%13.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
LWLWWLLWLW
MKKS Koszalin
LLLWWLWWLW
#12
League position
#15
+0.0
Net rating
-3.6
106.6
Offensive rating
110.4
106.6
Defensive rating
114.1
48.7%
Effective FG%
54.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
20.2%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.5%
3-point %
34.2%
60.5%
Assist %
58.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 110.4Defence106.6 · 114.1Shooting48.7% · 54.2%3-point %33.5% · 34.2%Ball care16.3% · 20.2%Off. rebounds29.7% · 34.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Poznan   ■ MKKS Koszalin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Poznan wins
1
MKKS Koszalin wins
DateGameScore
09/10/24MKKS Koszalin v Poznan78-95
14/02/24MKKS Koszalin v Poznan85-86
11/11/23Poznan v MKKS Koszalin64-72
21/01/23Poznan v MKKS Koszalin90-77
15/10/22MKKS Koszalin v Poznan94-103
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg55-64
04/01/25HInowroclaw80-63
22/12/24AWKK Wroclaw84-85
14/12/24HPoli. Opolska79-76
08/12/24APelplin96-94
04/12/24HLKS Lodz94-96
30/11/24ALancut76-86
24/11/24HHydroTruck Radom82-81
16/11/24AKrosno81-98
13/11/24HTrefl Sopot II100-84
MKKS Koszalinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HKrosno78-86
04/01/25ATrefl Sopot II99-104
23/12/24HPolonia Warszawa67-97
21/12/24HGKS Tychy78-64
14/12/24ABydgoszcz98-91
08/12/24HR. Rzeszow71-95
04/12/24AStarogard Gdanski91-87
28/11/24HSlask Wroclaw II85-83
17/11/24HLancut82-83
13/11/24AKotwica Kolobrzeg74-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL58%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%80%33%
Points / game84.188.978.7
Allowed / game80.177.582.9
Point differential+4.0+11.4-4.2
Avg total164.1166.4161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
MKKS Koszalin
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL37%
HomeWLWLL27%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %37%27%50%
Points / game80.478.083.8
Allowed / game85.483.887.6
Point differential-5.0-5.8-3.9
Avg total165.8161.8171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno2016480%86.279.8+6.3
2 Bydgoszcz2014670%83.177.0+6.1
3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1912763%79.174.0+5.1
4 WKK Wroclaw2012860%83.280.0+3.1
5 Pelplin2012860%84.282.3+1.9
6 Poznan1911858%84.180.1+4.0
7 GKS Tychy2011955%80.778.7+1.9
8 Inowroclaw2011955%80.882.5-1.6
9 Polonia Warszawa20101050%83.881.5+2.4
10 Lancut20101050%83.583.4+0.1
11 LKS Lodz1991047%84.785.2-0.5
12 Starogard Gdanski2091145%82.080.8+1.2
13 Poli. Opolska2081240%80.982.5-1.6
14 MKKS Koszalin1971237%80.485.4-5.0
15 Slask Wroclaw II2071335%74.880.8-6.0
16 R. Rzeszow2071335%76.285.2-9.0
17 Trefl Sopot II2061430%83.186.8-3.6
18 HydroTruck Radom2061430%77.181.7-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Poznan18261917686
MKKS Koszalin25192016888
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