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Lancut vs Poznan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-76
23-23 24-14 19-22 20-17
Position#3
Record6-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#12
Record8-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game79.8
Poland1 LigaRound 12· MOSiR Lancut
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lancut v Poznan
30 Jan 2027
LANC v POZN
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
LANC90
POZN77
30 Nov 2024
LANC86
POZN76
29 Mar 2020
LANC v POZN
upcoming
28 Oct 2018
LANC89
POZN88
04 Nov 2017
LANC83
POZN70
04 Feb 2017
LANC72
POZN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poznan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
86-58
86
58
+28
85avg 73
H01/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 73
A09/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 73
H16/10
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
81-76
81
76
+5
79avg 73
A19/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
64-75
64
75
-11
53avg 73
H23/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
80-97
80
97
-17
75avg 73
A26/10
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
88avg 73
H02/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 73
H13/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
77avg 73
A17/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
67avg 73
A19/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
24-8
21-14
20-21
23-27
18-18
25-18
20-14
23-23
24-14
15-21
25-22
18-20
7-21
24-22
32-13
16-23
12-14
9-19
27-19
29-31
19-34
15-18
17-14
24-15
20-18
21-21
14-25
16-21
22-14
13-25
21-19
23-18
17-27
18-16
25-21
18-19
16-22
24-21
22-18
163.6Avg total
82.3Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.582.9165.5-0.455%
Season at home (5)81.477.6159.0+3.860%
Season away (6)83.587.3170.8-3.850%
Last 10 (10)82.381.3163.6+1.060%
Last 5 (5)83.889.4173.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)78.485.8164.2-7.412%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.687.3172.9-1.844%
vs Weaker (5)85.490.0175.4-4.660%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
95-78
95
78
+17
90avg 78
A09/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
103-73
103
73
+30
98avg 78
H13/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
L
69-81
69
81
-12
66avg 78
A19/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
98-64
98
64
+34
90avg 78
H23/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 78
H26/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
75-66
75
66
+9
65avg 78
H02/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
81-79
81
79
+2
68avg 78
A09/11
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
100-84
100
84
+16
95avg 78
H13/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
70avg 78
A16/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
82-81
82
81
+1
79avg 78
H24/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
25-16
21-19
23-17
31-9
26-18
23-28
23-18
17-22
25-19
17-15
10-25
15-20
31-15
31-18
21-11
9-20
31-29
17-24
28-19
23-22
27-22
11-13
14-9
17-21
15-15
30-25
19-18
28-25
27-27
20-21
25-11
20-26
26-25
13-22
22-25
21-22
19-23
22-17
20-19
166.5Avg total
86.9Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.179.8165.8+6.367%
Season at home (7)90.977.1168.0+13.786%
Season away (5)79.483.4162.8-4.040%
Last 10 (10)86.979.6166.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)83.881.6165.4+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.889.5177.2-1.850%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.382.6164.9-0.338%
vs Weaker (13)88.475.8164.2+12.585%
This opponent (Lancut) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.3+3.3
LancutPoznan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H01/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A09/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H16/10
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A19/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H23/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A26/10
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H02/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A19/11
1 Liga
79.2Avg total
39.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.282.3-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.939.677.5-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)40.346.787.1-6.413%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.279.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.884.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.642.279.8-4.725%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.942.984.8-1.033%-
vs Weaker (5)39.246.685.8-7.420%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A09/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H13/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A19/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H23/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H26/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H02/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A09/11
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H13/11
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A16/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H24/11
1 Liga
88.1Avg total
45.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.884.7+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.338.183.4+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)42.443.686.0-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)45.942.288.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.645.690.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.244.086.2-1.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.940.883.8+2.154%-
vs Weaker (13)45.339.885.2+5.569%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.416.5
45.3%
51.0%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.0
33.8%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws25.018.5
74.0%
70.2%18.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.4
52.2%
51.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.8
35.6%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.015.9
72.3%
70.2%15.9
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
LWLWLLWWWW
Poznan
WLWWWLWLWW
#3
League position
#12
+1.0
Net rating
+10.0
103.9
Offensive rating
111.4
102.9
Defensive rating
101.4
47.7%
Effective FG%
52.7%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.4%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.8%
3-point %
35.6%
67.9%
Assist %
54.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 111.4Defence102.9 · 101.4Shooting47.7% · 52.7%3-point %33.8% · 35.6%Ball care17.4% · 17.4%Off. rebounds28.6% · 32.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Lancut   ■ Poznan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lancut wins
3
Poznan wins
DateGameScore
22/12/19Poznan v Lancut77-92
02/02/19Poznan v Lancut84-78
28/10/18Lancut v Poznan89-88
17/02/18Poznan v Lancut86-75
04/11/17Lancut v Poznan83-70
04/02/17Lancut v Poznan72-74
22/10/16Poznan v Lancut48-73
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/24AKotwica Kolobrzeg86-93 OT
17/11/24AMKKS Koszalin83-82
13/11/24HKrosno72-79
02/11/24HTrefl Sopot II98-96 OT
26/10/24AInowroclaw80-97
23/10/24HPolonia Warszawa64-75
19/10/24AHydroTruck Radom81-76
16/10/24HGKS Tychy87-80
09/10/24AWKK Wroclaw86-77
01/10/24HBydgoszcz86-58
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24HHydroTruck Radom82-81
16/11/24AKrosno81-98
13/11/24HTrefl Sopot II100-84
09/11/24APolonia Warszawa81-79
02/11/24HGKS Tychy75-66
26/10/24HBydgoszcz85-92
23/10/24HR. Rzeszow98-64
19/10/24AStarogard Gdanski69-81
13/10/24HSlask Wroclaw II103-73
09/10/24AMKKS Koszalin95-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game82.581.483.5
Allowed / game82.977.687.3
Point differential-0.4+3.8-3.8
Avg total165.5159.0170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %18%20%17%
Poznan
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%86%40%
Points / game86.190.979.4
Allowed / game79.877.183.4
Point differential+6.3+13.7-4.0
Avg total165.8168.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz118373%82.577.4+5.1
2 Poznan128467%86.179.8+6.3
3 Krosno117464%84.781.1+3.6
4 Inowroclaw117464%84.482.5+1.9
5 Kotwica Kolobrzeg138562%78.874.0+4.8
6 Starogard Gdanski127558%83.180.4+2.7
7 Pelplin127558%80.480.4+0.0
8 Polonia Warszawa116555%85.782.7+3.0
9 GKS Tychy116555%80.577.7+2.8
10 Lancut116555%82.582.9-0.4
11 Poli. Opolska126650%81.881.9-0.1
12 LKS Lodz115645%84.684.5+0.1
13 Trefl Sopot II135838%85.887.6-1.8
14 WKK Wroclaw114736%77.479.5-2.1
15 R. Rzeszow114736%74.482.8-8.5
16 HydroTruck Radom124833%78.581.7-3.2
17 MKKS Koszalin124833%78.883.2-4.4
18 Slask Wroclaw II112918%71.682.4-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lancut2324192086
Poznan2314221776
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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