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Starogard Gdanski vs Poznan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 81-69
22-17 19-25 15-17 25-10
Position#10
Record1-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#12
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game78.0
Poland1 LigaRound 5· Hala im. Andrzeja Grubby
Other2024-25
Meetings · Starogard Gdanski v Poznan
20 Mar 2027
STAR v POZN
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
STAR93
POZN84
19 Oct 2024
STAR81
POZN69
18 Oct 2023
STAR71
POZN79
11 Mar 2023
STAR100
POZN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Starogard Gdanski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poznan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
W
93-63
93
63
+30
86avg 83
H28/04
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
69avg 83
A04/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
65avg 83
A05/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
92-97
92
97
-5
85avg 83
H11/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
95-117
95
117
-22
92avg 83
A18/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
89-88
89
88
+1
81avg 83
H22/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
66avg 83
H28/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
68-83
68
83
-15
48avg 83
A06/10
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
82-84
82
84
-2
63avg 83
H09/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
72avg 83
A13/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
19-16
24-17
21-13
29-19
22-27
20-25
5-26
22-23
20-25
17-18
14-20
23-27
23-23
28-20
18-27
17-27
22-37
27-29
29-24
28-24
22-11
23-20
16-33
19-18
11-24
19-9
23-16
13-29
22-17
22-18
11-19
17-12
20-20
19-30
26-22
19-24
27-21
15-19
13-23
168.3Avg total
81.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.080.2154.2-6.225%
Season at home (2)77.075.5152.5+1.550%
Season away (2)71.085.0156.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)81.486.9168.3-5.530%
Last 5 (5)77.081.8158.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.490.4170.8-10.020%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.381.3161.6-1.043%
vs Weaker (18)94.283.2177.4+11.072%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
102-75
102
75
+27
92avg 79
A08/03
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
89avg 79
H16/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
65-86
65
86
-21
48avg 79
A22/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
93-98
93
98
-5
94avg 79
H27/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 79
A05/04
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
91-63
91
63
+28
84avg 79
H14/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
71-81
71
81
-10
54avg 79
A29/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
93-80
93
80
+13
92avg 79
H05/10
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
95-78
95
78
+17
90avg 79
A09/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
103-73
103
73
+30
98avg 79
H13/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-28
31-18
20-15
19-14
17-24
32-13
20-20
21-19
16-28
17-25
19-15
13-18
20-17
26-21
20-26
27-34
19-20
25-17
26-13
23-25
26-15
19-12
18-15
28-21
19-24
19-19
15-12
18-26
21-23
25-13
26-22
21-22
26-26
25-16
21-19
23-17
31-9
26-18
23-28
23-18
168.1Avg total
89.6Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.578.0168.5+12.575%
Season at home (2)98.076.5174.5+21.5100%
Season away (2)83.079.5162.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)89.678.5168.1+11.170%
Last 5 (5)90.675.0165.6+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)92.584.0176.5+8.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.283.7169.8+2.538%
vs Weaker (15)84.376.1160.5+8.267%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
Starogard GdanskiPoznan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H28/04
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A04/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A05/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H11/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
39-64
39
64
-25
A18/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H22/05
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H28/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A06/10
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H09/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A13/10
1 Liga
86.5Avg total
42.4Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.887.7+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.540.085.5+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)44.245.689.8-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.444.186.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.079.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)45.048.293.2-3.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.440.679.0-2.143%-
vs Weaker (18)47.342.289.5+5.261%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A08/03
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H16/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A22/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H27/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A05/04
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H14/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A29/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H05/10
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A09/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H13/10
1 Liga
85.8Avg total
47.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.582.7+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.836.078.8+6.873%-
Last 30 away (15)43.643.086.6+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)47.238.685.8+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)47.435.082.4+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.538.079.5+3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.140.284.3+3.862%-
vs Weaker (15)42.739.181.7+3.660%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.6
54.1%
51.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.3
30.3%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.915.5
70.8%
70.2%15.5
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.3
53.9%
51.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.2
35.4%
32.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.718.6
78.5%
70.2%18.6
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Starogard Gdanski
LLLWWLLLLW
Poznan
WWWLWWLLWW
#10
League position
#12
-6.7
Net rating
+14.6
102.3
Offensive rating
114.7
109.1
Defensive rating
100.1
50.0%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
18.5%
Turnover %
15.8%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.3%
3-point %
35.4%
63.8%
Assist %
59.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 114.7Defence109.1 · 100.1Shooting50.0% · 53.6%3-point %30.3% · 35.4%Ball care18.5% · 15.8%Off. rebounds26.3% · 28.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Starogard Gdanski   ■ Poznan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Starogard Gdanski wins
2
Poznan wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24AKrosno74-87
09/10/24HTrefl Sopot II82-84
06/10/24APolonia Warszawa68-83
28/09/24HGKS Tychy72-67
22/05/24HGKS Tychy89-88
18/05/24AGKS Tychy95-117
11/05/24HGornik Walbrzych92-97
05/05/24AGornik Walbrzych73-86
04/05/24AGornik Walbrzych76-97
28/04/24HSlask Wroclaw II93-63
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24HSlask Wroclaw II103-73
09/10/24AMKKS Koszalin95-78
05/10/24HKotwica Kolobrzeg93-80
29/09/24AInowroclaw71-81
14/04/24HSokol Miedzychod91-63
05/04/24AWKK Wroclaw93-75
27/03/24HKotwica Kolobrzeg93-98
22/03/24ABydgoszcz65-86
16/03/24HNiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl90-76
08/03/24APolonia Warszawa102-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game74.077.071.0
Allowed / game80.275.585.0
Point differential-6.2+1.5-14.0
Avg total154.2152.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poznan
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game90.598.083.0
Allowed / game78.076.579.5
Point differential+12.5+21.5+3.5
Avg total168.5174.5162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno440100%78.869.8+9.0
2 Poli. Opolska54180%88.280.6+7.6
3 Poznan43175%90.578.0+12.5
4 Lancut43175%86.078.5+7.5
5 Trefl Sopot II43175%88.082.0+6.0
6 Pelplin53260%79.477.8+1.6
7 Inowroclaw53260%81.881.0+0.8
8 LKS Lodz42250%82.577.2+5.2
9 Bydgoszcz42250%74.871.8+3.0
10 HydroTruck Radom42250%77.576.0+1.5
11 GKS Tychy42250%79.579.8-0.2
12 R. Rzeszow42250%79.584.8-5.2
13 Kotwica Kolobrzeg52340%75.279.0-3.8
14 Polonia Warszawa31233%78.780.3-1.7
15 Starogard Gdanski41325%74.080.2-6.2
16 WKK Wroclaw51420%78.882.4-3.6
17 Slask Wroclaw II4040%73.290.0-16.8
18 MKKS Koszalin4040%73.291.5-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Starogard Gdanski2219152581
Poznan1725171069
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