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Lancut vs Torun Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 93-87
16-23 26-13 26-20 25-31
Position#16
Record4-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#12
Record12-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game82.9
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 25· MOSiR Lancut
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lancut v Torun
21 Mar 2024
LANC93
TOR87
09 Feb 2023
LANC74
TOR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torun winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
82avg 70
H30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
74-96
74
96
-22
70avg 70
H07/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
57avg 70
A14/01
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
70avg 70
H19/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 70
A25/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
58-68
58
68
-10
44avg 70
H02/02
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
90-92
90
92
-2
81avg 70
A10/02
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
56-77
56
77
-21
44avg 70
A02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
77-89
77
89
-12
48avg 70
A10/03
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
71-82
71
82
-11
63avg 70
H17/03
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
15-23
20-19
29-27
19-23
16-21
16-24
23-28
7-24
29-25
11-14
24-25
16-20
11-26
21-26
30-16
20-25
21-22
26-22
17-17
12-10
11-18
17-20
18-20
21-25
22-20
24-17
23-30
12-25
16-24
11-11
17-17
18-19
19-24
23-19
17-27
20-27
19-23
16-17
16-15
160.0Avg total
74.3Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.388.0168.3-7.817%
Season at home (11)78.185.5163.5-7.418%
Season away (13)82.290.2172.4-8.115%
Last 10 (10)74.385.7160.0-11.40%
Last 5 (5)70.481.6152.0-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)77.485.2162.5-7.820%
vs Similar (5)94.292.2186.4+2.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorunPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorun
Date
Competition
Lublin
#7
W
98-84
98
84
+14
99avg 75
H04/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
W
110-89
110
89
+21
110avg 75
A11/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
56-78
56
78
-22
47avg 75
A18/01
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
65-90
65
90
-25
42avg 75
A27/01
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
72-97
72
97
-25
66avg 75
H01/02
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
80-98
80
98
-18
74avg 75
A09/02
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#4
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
no box
A16/02
Polish Cup
Legia
#5
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 75
H02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
101-86
101
86
+15
108avg 75
H07/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
77avg 75
A13/03
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
25-18
24-24
24-22
38-17
21-25
27-17
24-30
14-21
17-13
15-21
10-23
23-12
15-27
12-27
15-24
14-21
22-36
20-20
16-20
19-33
16-28
21-22
24-15
11-18
27-18
17-19
26-26
15-22
22-15
17-18
16-28
28-18
24-16
30-21
19-31
17-27
22-24
16-18
25-9
169.4Avg total
82.1Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.582.9164.3-1.450%
Season at home (13)80.680.9161.5-0.354%
Season away (11)82.585.2167.6-2.745%
Last 10 (10)82.187.3169.4-5.240%
Last 5 (5)84.087.0171.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.383.8162.2-5.533%
vs Similar (12)85.285.2170.5+0.058%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.280.2171.4+11.080%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.9-2.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.9-2.9
LancutTorun
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H07/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A14/01
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H19/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H02/02
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A10/02
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/03
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H17/03
Energa Basket Liga
79.0Avg total
34.4Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.343.382.5-4.023%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.341.577.8-5.221%-
Last 30 away (16)41.944.886.7-2.925%-
Last 10 (10)34.444.679.0-10.20%-
Last 5 (5)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.943.281.1-5.320%-
vs Similar (5)46.243.689.8+2.640%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lublin
#7
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H04/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A11/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A18/01
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/01
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
36-57
36
57
-21
H01/02
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A09/02
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A16/02
Polish Cup
Legia
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H07/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A13/03
Energa Basket Liga
84.4Avg total
41.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.682.8-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.840.281.0+0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)41.643.284.9-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.984.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.884.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.544.381.8-6.825%-
vs Similar (12)44.142.786.8+1.442%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.633.877.4+9.8100%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.014.3
46.1%
53.6%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.6
32.9%
34.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.412.9
74.1%
73.2%12.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toruntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torun: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.4
52.9%
53.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.5
36.5%
34.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.411.4
69.5%
73.2%11.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
LLLLLLLLLL
Torun
WWLLLLLLWW
#16
League position
#12
-15.5
Net rating
-7.4
97.8
Offensive rating
105.1
113.3
Defensive rating
112.4
47.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.9%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.9%
3-point %
36.5%
63.1%
Assist %
70.6%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 105.1Defence113.3 · 112.4Shooting47.8% · 53.7%3-point %32.9% · 36.5%Ball care17.9% · 17.9%Off. rebounds24.3% · 24.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Lancut   ■ Torun
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lancut wins
2
Torun wins
DateGameScore
24/11/23Torun v Lancut81-69
09/02/23Lancut v Torun74-66
23/10/22Torun v Lancut72-60
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HLegia71-82
10/03/24AOstrow Wielkopolski77-89
02/03/24ASpojnia Stargard56-77
10/02/24ACzarni Slupsk90-92
02/02/24HDziki Warszawa58-68
25/01/24AZielona Gora84-86
19/01/24HLublin78-88
14/01/24AAnwil Wloclawek71-88
07/01/24HSzczecin74-96
30/12/23HSlask Wroclaw84-91
Torunlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24ATrefl Sopot80-78
07/03/24HGdynia101-86
02/03/24HLegia70-83
16/02/24AAnwil Wloclawek89-90 OT
09/02/24AOstrow Wielkopolski80-98
01/02/24HSpojnia Stargard72-97
27/01/24ACzarni Slupsk65-90
18/01/24ADziki Warszawa56-78
11/01/24AZielona Gora110-89
04/01/24HLublin98-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %17%18%15%
Points / game80.378.182.2
Allowed / game88.085.590.2
Point differential-7.8-7.4-8.1
Avg total168.3163.5172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %12%18%8%
Torun
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeLWLLW54%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %50%54%45%
Points / game81.580.682.5
Allowed / game82.980.985.2
Point differential-1.4-0.3-2.7
Avg total164.3161.5167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek2318578%86.377.6+8.7
2 Trefl Sopot2417771%85.278.2+7.0
3 Szczecin2416867%89.983.4+6.5
4 Ostrow Wielkopolski2415962%85.679.1+6.5
5 Slask Wroclaw23131057%78.980.9-2.0
6 Spojnia Stargard24131154%80.276.8+3.4
7 Legia24131154%83.381.5+1.8
8 Lublin24131154%88.988.8+0.2
9 Dziki Warszawa24131154%79.479.5-0.1
10 Dabrowa Gornicza24121250%95.692.8+2.8
11 Torun24121250%81.582.9-1.4
12 Czarni Slupsk24121250%78.380.3-2.0
13 GTK Gliwice2471729%85.791.4-5.7
14 Gdynia2471729%83.092.8-9.8
15 Zielona Gora2461825%83.791.5-7.8
16 Lancut2442017%80.388.0-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lancut1626262593
Torun2313203187
← all games of the day
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