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Torun vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 98-84
25-20 25-18 24-24 24-22
Position#12
Record8-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game80.4
Torun 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#7
Record9-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game87.9
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 16· Arena Torun
Other2023-24
Meetings · Torun v Lublin
22 Jan 2027
TOR v LUB
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
TOR97
LUB88
05 Oct 2024
TOR90
LUB96
04 Jan 2024
TOR98
LUB84
22 Apr 2023
TOR80
LUB93
23 Mar 2022
TOR81
LUB55
15 Mar 2021
TOR104
LUB98
22 Dec 2019
TOR78
LUB75
12 Mar 2019
TOR87
LUB86
16 Feb 2018
TOR83
LUB71
17 Nov 2017
TOR98
LUB84
04 Jan 2017
TOR84
LUB73
30 Dec 2015
TOR88
LUB63
18 Feb 2015
TOR84
LUB62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torun winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorunPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorun
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
57-76
57
76
-19
49avg 75
H29/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
84-91 OT
84
91
-7
no box
A04/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
L
79-83
79
83
-4
65avg 75
A12/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
69-80
69
80
-11
62avg 75
H17/11
Energa Basket Liga
Lancut
#16
W
81-69
81
69
+12
75avg 75
H24/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
92-85
92
85
+7
86avg 75
A01/12
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
104-83
104
83
+21
104avg 75
H08/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
W
78-75
78
75
+3
75avg 75
H17/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
92-70
92
70
+22
88avg 75
A23/12
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 75
H01/01
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
22-16
12-17
13-23
13-27
18-16
30-16
13-15
14-13
19-19
23-27
23-24
19-22
13-18
19-22
18-18
17-21
26-11
20-17
18-20
26-27
19-23
15-16
32-19
25-21
30-22
26-10
23-30
20-22
24-22
11-7
23-24
26-12
16-19
18-14
32-25
19-26
11-15
26-23
22-19
160.9Avg total
81.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.580.4161.9+1.153%
Season at home (9)78.678.0156.6+0.656%
Season away (6)86.084.0170.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)81.479.5160.9+1.950%
Last 5 (5)88.879.2168.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)79.784.5164.2-4.733%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.786.3174.0+1.358%
vs Weaker (3)81.775.3157.0+6.367%
This opponent (Lublin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#15
W
102-62
102
62
+40
105avg 82
A08/11
ENBL
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
71-100
71
100
-29
63avg 82
A12/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
98-88
98
88
+10
93avg 82
H16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
85-107
85
107
-22
73avg 82
H21/11
ENBL
Zielona Gora
#15
L
91-95
91
95
-4
80avg 82
H26/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
71-86
71
86
-15
67avg 82
A30/11
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
80avg 82
A09/12
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
81-86
81
86
-5
64avg 82
A16/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
78-100
78
100
-22
67avg 82
H23/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
92-75
92
75
+17
90avg 82
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
23-10
21-11
30-21
13-21
19-30
23-23
16-26
22-23
27-20
23-20
26-25
20-31
19-19
27-27
19-30
21-29
24-21
22-26
24-19
14-28
20-19
16-18
21-21
21-21
23-23
17-18
20-15
18-30
20-20
26-11
17-25
17-32
23-23
19-15
19-30
22-24
23-17
22-19
25-15
172.6Avg total
85.0Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.087.9175.9+0.160%
Season at home (7)95.789.9185.6+5.971%
Season away (8)81.286.2167.5-5.050%
Last 10 (10)85.087.6172.6-2.640%
Last 5 (5)80.684.8165.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.794.1174.8-13.425%
vs Similar ◀ (12)88.285.2173.3+3.067%
vs Weaker (6)96.080.5176.5+15.583%
This opponent (Torun) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
TorunLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H29/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A04/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A12/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H17/11
Energa Basket Liga
Lancut
#16
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H24/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A01/12
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H08/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H17/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A23/12
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H01/01
Energa Basket Liga
77.9Avg total
38.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.982.8-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.141.080.1-1.933%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.885.5-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.277.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.885.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.842.781.5-3.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.943.688.5+1.342%-
vs Weaker (3)35.731.066.7+4.7100%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#15
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A08/11
ENBL
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A12/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H21/11
ENBL
Zielona Gora
#15
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H26/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A30/11
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A09/12
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H23/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga
87.8Avg total
41.7Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.045.088.1-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.445.388.7-1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)42.644.787.4-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)41.746.187.8-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.247.487.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.546.387.8-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.245.688.8-2.433%-
vs Weaker (6)45.841.387.2+4.567%-
This opponent (Torun) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toruntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torun: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.0
53.1%
53.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.0
35.7%
34.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.012.8
75.3%
73.2%12.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.9
51.4%
53.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.7
34.6%
34.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.212.3
75.9%
73.2%12.3
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torun
LWWWWWLLLL
Lublin
WLLWLLLWLW
#12
League position
#7
+5.7
Net rating
-3.8
107.8
Offensive rating
105.6
102.0
Defensive rating
109.3
53.3%
Effective FG%
51.7%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.7%
3-point %
34.6%
61.0%
Assist %
67.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 105.6Defence102.0 · 109.3Shooting53.3% · 51.7%3-point %35.7% · 34.6%Ball care15.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds22.2% · 27.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Torun   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Torun wins
5
Lublin wins
DateGameScore
22/09/23Lublin v Torun102-85
22/04/23Torun v Lublin80-93
14/03/23Lublin v Torun104-83
23/03/22Torun v Lublin81-55
15/10/21Lublin v Torun83-85
15/03/21Torun v Lublin104-98
02/09/20Lublin v Torun82-73
22/12/19Torun v Lublin78-75
12/03/19Torun v Lublin87-86
29/12/18Lublin v Torun93-91
Torunlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/24HAnwil Wloclawek78-83
23/12/23ASzczecin92-70
17/12/23HSlask Wroclaw78-75
08/12/23HGTK Gliwice104-83
01/12/23ADabrowa Gornicza92-85
24/11/23HLancut81-69
17/11/23HTrefl Sopot69-80
12/11/23AGdynia79-83
04/11/23ALegia84-91 OT
29/10/23HOstrow Wielkopolski57-76
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ALegia92-75
23/12/23HOstrow Wielkopolski78-100
16/12/23ASpojnia Stargard81-86
09/12/23ACzarni Slupsk81-77
30/11/23ADziki Warszawa71-86
26/11/23HZielona Gora91-95
21/11/23HBristol Flyers85-107
16/11/23HGdynia98-88
12/11/23AAnwil Wloclawek71-100
08/11/23ASvendborg102-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torun
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL53%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game81.578.686.0
Allowed / game80.478.084.0
Point differential+1.1+0.6+2.0
Avg total161.9156.6170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%17%
Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW60%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game88.095.781.2
Allowed / game87.989.986.2
Point differential+0.1+5.9-5.0
Avg total175.9185.6167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek1514193%87.374.9+12.4
2 Trefl Sopot1510567%85.180.2+4.9
3 Ostrow Wielkopolski159660%85.577.7+7.8
4 Lublin159660%88.087.9+0.1
5 Legia169756%81.679.5+2.1
6 Szczecin158753%87.883.3+4.5
7 Dabrowa Gornicza158753%99.496.0+3.4
8 Spojnia Stargard158753%79.578.2+1.3
9 Torun158753%81.580.4+1.1
10 Czarni Slupsk158753%79.381.8-2.5
11 Dziki Warszawa157847%79.681.7-2.1
12 Slask Wroclaw157847%75.481.7-6.3
13 GTK Gliwice1551033%87.091.5-4.5
14 Lancut1541127%84.589.8-5.3
15 Zielona Gora1641225%82.689.0-6.4
16 Gdynia1531220%81.391.5-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torun2525242498
Lublin2018242284
← all games of the day
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