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Larranaga vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 91-75
26-24 18-23 25-16 22-12
Position#9
Record0-2
FormLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#6
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game72.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larranaga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarranagaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarranaga
Date
Competition
Union Atletica
#11
L
78-94
78
94
-16
69avg 62
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#3
L
74-94
74
94
-20
55avg 62
A23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
15-18
26-19
15-32
13-18
9-30
28-26
24-20
170.0Avg total
76.0Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.094.0170.0-18.00%
Season at home (1)78.094.0172.0-16.00%
Season away (1)74.094.0168.0-20.00%
Last 10 (2)76.094.0170.0-18.00%
Last 5 (2)76.094.0170.0-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)74.094.0168.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (1)78.094.0172.0-16.00%
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Nacional
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
76avg 81
A25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
92-91 OT
92
91
+1
81avg 81
H28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
82-99
82
99
-17
72avg 81
A04/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
84-89
84
89
-5
75avg 81
A10/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
78-71
78
71
+7
76avg 81
H13/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
92-81
92
81
+11
90avg 81
H17/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
67avg 81
A20/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
92-107
92
107
-15
86avg 81
H23/06
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#10
W
83-81
83
81
+2
75avg 81
A21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#11
W
66-63
66
63
+3
58avg 81
H24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
26-21
16-25
16-10
15-20
22-28
24-15
19-17
22-27
25-24
17-25
18-23
23-28
26-20
17-26
18-15
19-15
27-18
14-19
18-19
21-13
19-32
25-19
27-17
26-25
23-20
14-12
8-23
21-31
32-23
16-32
23-21
29-19
17-26
25-21
12-15
22-15
20-22
14-14
10-12
166.3Avg total
82.7Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.572.0146.5+2.5100%
Season at home (1)66.063.0129.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)83.081.0164.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.783.6166.3-0.960%
Last 5 (5)80.882.4163.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)84.991.1176.1-6.240%
vs Similar ◀ (1)90.076.0166.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker (14)84.479.1163.5+5.286%
This opponent (Larranaga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -12.0-12.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -12.0-12.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
LarranagaAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarranagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union Atletica
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#3
L
22-48
22
48
-26
A23/10
Liga Uruguaya
75.0Avg total
29.5Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)29.545.575.0-16.00%-
Last 30 at home (1)37.043.080.0-6.00%-
Last 30 away (1)22.048.070.0-26.00%-
Last 10 (2)29.545.575.0-16.00%-
Last 5 (2)29.545.575.0-16.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.048.070.0-26.00%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (1)37.043.080.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#2
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A04/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A10/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H13/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H17/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A20/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H23/06
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H24/10
Liga Uruguaya
90.9Avg total
46.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.045.190.2-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.142.887.9+2.362%-
Last 30 away (14)44.947.892.7-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)46.444.590.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.291.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)45.447.693.0-2.247%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)44.036.080.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (14)44.743.187.9+1.657%-
This opponent (Larranaga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larranagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larranaga: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.0
48.1%
50.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.5
28.3%
32.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.512.5
64.1%
70.5%12.5
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.1
53.2%
50.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.3
32.4%
32.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.518.2
77.4%
70.5%18.2
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larranaga
LL
Aguada
WWLLWWLLWW
#9
League position
#6
-19.5
Net rating
-1.0
82.3
Offensive rating
89.7
101.8
Defensive rating
90.7
45.7%
Effective FG%
51.1%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.3%
3-point %
32.4%
58.2%
Assist %
64.6%
0%
Form (last 2/10)
60%

Profile

Offence82.3 · 89.7Defence101.8 · 90.7Shooting45.7% · 51.1%3-point %28.3% · 32.4%Ball care15.7% · 17.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 2/10)0% · 60%
■ Larranaga   ■ Aguada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Larranaga wins
0
Aguada wins
No previous meetings.
Larranagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26ABigua74-94
21/10/26HUnion Atletica78-94
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HUnion Atletica66-63
21/10/26ANacional83-81
23/06/26HPenarol92-107
20/06/26APenarol71-80
17/06/26HPenarol92-81
13/06/26HPenarol78-71
10/06/26APenarol84-89
04/06/26APenarol82-99
28/05/26HNacional92-91 OT
25/05/26ANacional87-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larranaga
Liga Uruguaya 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.078.074.0
Allowed / game94.094.094.0
Point differential-18.0-16.0-20.0
Avg total170.0172.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game74.566.083.0
Allowed / game72.063.081.0
Point differential+2.5+3.0+2.0
Avg total146.5129.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Defensor110100%83.064.0+19.0
2 Penarol110100%91.079.0+12.0
3 Bigua330100%95.083.7+11.3
4 Aguada220100%74.572.0+2.5
5 Goes32167%92.788.0+4.7
6 Hebraica y Macabi21150%83.084.5-1.5
7 Malvin21150%74.078.0-4.0
8 Union Atletica31233%76.775.3+1.3
9 Nacional31233%93.794.7-1.0
10 Atenas31233%75.080.0-5.0
11 Urunday3030%82.390.0-7.7
12 Larranaga2020%76.094.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larranaga2618252291
Aguada2423161275
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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