Launceston W vs Kilsyth W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jun 2024

Tip-off: 08:00

Final 68-76

27-19 14-27 13-18 14-12

Position#16

Record4-14

FormLLLLL

Points / game70.3

Allowed / game81.3

Launceston W

Kilsyth W 🏆

Position#17

Record3-14

FormLLLWL

Points / game68.6

Allowed / game80.5

NBL1 South Women

Women2024

Meetings · Launceston W v Kilsyth W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Launceston W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kilsyth W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Launceston W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers W

#15

78-67

+11

H11/05

NBL1 South Women

Ringwood W

#13

74-71

A18/05

NBL1 South Women

Kilsyth W

#17

86-71

+15

A19/05

NBL1 South Women

Geelong W

#10

70-88

-18

A25/05

NBL1 South Women

Waverley W

63-80

-17

A26/05

NBL1 South Women

Hobart Chargers W

#14

85-96

-11

A31/05

NBL1 South Women

Sandringham W

54-86

-32

H15/06

NBL1 South Women

Eltham W

66-90

-24

A22/06

NBL1 South Women

Knox W

78-99

-21

A23/06

NBL1 South Women

Diamond Valley W

#12

67-69

-2

H28/06

NBL1 South Women

20-13

13-19

19-10

26-25

18-14

21-21

19-26

16-10

15-21

24-17

12-23

35-10

25-18

23-14

7-24

15-32

15-13

17-29

12-15

19-23

21-24

25-28

20-24

19-20

9-23

16-19

13-23

16-21

18-11

16-30

12-27

20-22

29-34

20-22

13-24

16-19

14-21

21-14

19-19

13-15

153.8Avg total

72.1Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	70.3	81.3	151.6	-10.9	22%
Season at home (9)	69.0	77.2	146.2	-8.2	22%
Season away (9)	71.7	85.3	157.0	-13.7	22%
Last 10 (10)	72.1	81.7	153.8	-9.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	88.0	158.0	-18.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	69.8	80.3	150.2	-10.5	30%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	73.8	80.8	154.6	-7.0	20%
vs Weaker (2)	84.5	69.0	153.5	+15.5	100%

This opponent (Kilsyth W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kilsyth W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong W

#10

88-77

+11

H05/05

NBL1 South Women

Casey Cavaliers W

#18

79-73

A11/05

NBL1 South Women

Ballarat W

74-88

-14

H12/05

NBL1 South Women

Waverley W

81-86 OT

-5

A18/05

NBL1 South Women

Launceston W

#16

71-86

-15

H19/05

NBL1 South Women

Keilor Thunder W

59-94

-35

A25/05

NBL1 South Women

Knox W

74-76

-2

A01/06

NBL1 South Women

Mt. Gambier W

48-69

-21

H15/06

NBL1 South Women

Melbourne Tigers W

#15

63-61

H22/06

NBL1 South Women

Hobart Chargers W

#14

69-81

-12

A28/06

NBL1 South Women

18-23

26-15

24-16

20-23

20-25

20-17

15-14

24-17

12-31

27-17

19-15

16-25

18-20

12-16

20-13

19-20

21-15

17-24

23-12

10-35

21-30

16-18

12-24

10-22

20-25

17-15

21-16

16-20

9-23

17-21

7-16

15-9

15-11

22-25

9-14

17-11

21-19

23-17

16-15

9-30

149.7Avg total

70.6Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	68.6	80.5	149.1	-11.9	18%
Season at home (9)	68.4	77.4	145.9	-9.0	22%
Season away (8)	68.8	84.0	152.8	-15.2	12%
Last 10 (10)	70.6	79.1	149.7	-8.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	62.6	76.2	138.8	-13.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	68.0	78.3	146.4	-10.3	25%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	71.3	76.0	147.3	-4.7	43%
vs Weaker (3)	72.3	61.0	133.3	+11.3	100%

This opponent (Launceston W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Launceston WKilsyth W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.9	37.7	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	19.9	36.9	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.9	52%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	15.2	21.8	37.0	-6.6	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	20.0	45.5	+5.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.8	37.7	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	22.2	39.7	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.6	38.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	17.2	20.2	37.5	-3.0	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.1	39.3	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	21.3	40.5	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.6	42.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.7	36.5	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.5	38.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	14%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	12.0	32.3	+8.3	100%	-

Launceston WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers W

#15

33-32

H11/05

NBL1 South Women

Ringwood W

#13

39-35

A18/05

NBL1 South Women

Kilsyth W

#17

39-38

A19/05

NBL1 South Women

Geelong W

#10

48-32

+16

A25/05

NBL1 South Women

Waverley W

32-42

-10

A26/05

NBL1 South Women

Hobart Chargers W

#14

46-52

-6

A31/05

NBL1 South Women

Sandringham W

25-42

-17

H15/06

NBL1 South Women

Eltham W

34-41

-7

A22/06

NBL1 South Women

Knox W

49-56

-7

A23/06

NBL1 South Women

Diamond Valley W

#12

35-35

H28/06

NBL1 South Women

78.5Avg total

38.0Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	40.0	77.0	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.1	38.8	74.9	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.8	41.3	79.1	-3.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	40.5	78.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	45.2	83.0	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	36.5	39.8	76.3	-3.3	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	36.0	42.2	78.2	-6.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.5	37.0	81.5	+7.5	100%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kilsyth WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong W

#10

44-38

H05/05

NBL1 South Women

Casey Cavaliers W

#18

40-42

-2

A11/05

NBL1 South Women

Ballarat W

39-48

-9

H12/05

NBL1 South Women

Waverley W

30-36

-6

A18/05

NBL1 South Women

Launceston W

#16

38-39

-1

H19/05

NBL1 South Women

Keilor Thunder W

37-48

-11

A25/05

NBL1 South Women

Knox W

37-40

-3

A01/06

NBL1 South Women

Mt. Gambier W

26-44

-18

H15/06

NBL1 South Women

Melbourne Tigers W

#15

37-36

H22/06

NBL1 South Women

Hobart Chargers W

#14

44-36

A28/06

NBL1 South Women

77.9Avg total

37.2Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	38.5	74.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	34.9	38.1	72.9	-3.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	39.1	75.5	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	40.7	77.9	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	40.8	77.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	35.2	39.5	74.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	34.7	39.0	73.7	-4.3	14%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.0	31.0	71.0	+9.0	100%	-

This opponent (Launceston W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.7	21.0	36.7	-5.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.6	21.3	37.9	-4.7	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.9	20.7	35.5	-5.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	21.5	36.1	-6.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	23.4	38.8	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	15.3	21.7	37.1	-6.4	13%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	15.6	20.0	35.6	-4.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	14.5	35.0	+6.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.5	17.0	32.5	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	14.8	15.4	30.2	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.2	18.9	35.1	-2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	15.5	32.1	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.0	17.0	30.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	15.2	17.7	33.0	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.3	15.6	32.9	+1.7	71%	-
vs Weaker (3)	12.7	15.7	28.3	-3.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.3	37.1	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	22.2	16.4	38.6	+5.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	19.2	36.4	-2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	20.8	38.5	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	21.2	36.8	-5.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	18.4	31.8	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	16.9	20.3	37.2	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.7	21.4	39.1	-3.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	14.3	34.0	+5.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.5	39.3	73.8	-4.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.6	39.6	74.2	-5.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	38.9	73.4	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	41.2	75.3	-7.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	42.8	75.0	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	33.3	40.5	73.9	-7.2	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	37.8	36.4	74.2	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	32.0	72.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.9	37.0	69.8	-4.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	31.9	34.6	66.6	-2.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.9	39.6	73.6	-5.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.2	36.7	68.9	-4.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	35.4	61.8	-9.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	32.2	38.0	70.2	-5.8	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	35.0	37.0	72.0	-2.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	32.3	30.0	62.3	+2.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Launceston W wins

Kilsyth W wins

Date	Game	Score
19/05/24	Kilsyth W v Launceston W	71-86
18/06/23	Kilsyth W v Launceston W	79-68 OT
07/05/22	Launceston W v Kilsyth W	85-67
23/05/21	Kilsyth W v Launceston W	60-87
06/07/19	Launceston W v Kilsyth W	63-85
08/07/17	Kilsyth W v Launceston W	66-78
03/09/16	Kilsyth W v Launceston W	57-53
20/08/16	Kilsyth W v Launceston W	81-71
09/07/16	Launceston W v Kilsyth W	81-71
23/04/16	Kilsyth W v Launceston W	83-74

Launceston Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/06/24	H	Diamond Valley W	67-69
23/06/24	A	Knox W	78-99
22/06/24	A	Eltham W	66-90
15/06/24	H	Sandringham W	54-86
31/05/24	A	Hobart Chargers W	85-96
26/05/24	A	Waverley W	63-80
25/05/24	A	Geelong W	70-88
19/05/24	A	Kilsyth W	86-71
18/05/24	A	Ringwood W	74-71
11/05/24	H	Melbourne Tigers W	78-67

Kilsyth Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/06/24	A	Hobart Chargers W	69-81
22/06/24	H	Melbourne Tigers W	63-61
15/06/24	H	Mt. Gambier W	48-69
01/06/24	A	Knox W	74-76
25/05/24	A	Keilor Thunder W	59-94
19/05/24	H	Launceston W	71-86
18/05/24	A	Waverley W	81-86 OT
12/05/24	H	Ballarat W	74-88
11/05/24	A	Casey Cavaliers W	79-73
05/05/24	H	Geelong W	88-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Launceston W

NBL1 South Women 2024

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	22%
Home	LLWLL	22%
Away	LLLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	22%	22%	22%
Points / game	70.3	69.0	71.7
Allowed / game	81.3	77.2	85.3
Point differential	-10.9	-8.2	-13.7
Avg total	151.6	146.2	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	22%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kilsyth W

NBL1 South Women 2024

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	18%
Home	WLLLW	22%
Away	WLLLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	18%	22%	12%
Points / game	68.6	68.4	68.8
Allowed / game	80.5	77.4	84.0
Point differential	-11.9	-9.0	-15.2
Avg total	149.1	145.9	152.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	33% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Keilor Thunder W	17	16	1	94%	77.9	63.4	+14.5
2	Knox W	18	16	2	89%	84.8	70.8	+13.9
3	Sandringham W	18	13	5	72%	76.6	70.3	+6.2
4	Mt. Gambier W	18	12	6	67%	77.7	68.9	+8.8
5	Dandenong Rangers W	17	11	6	65%	78.1	74.6	+3.5
6	Eltham W	18	11	7	61%	80.9	75.3	+5.7
7	Geelong W	18	11	7	61%	81.7	77.1	+4.6
8	Bendigo Braves W	19	11	8	58%	88.3	78.8	+9.4
9	Ballarat W	18	10	8	56%	70.9	76.0	-5.1
10	Frankston W	17	9	8	53%	74.0	73.9	+0.1
11	Ringwood W	19	9	10	47%	77.9	78.7	-0.8
12	Waverley W	17	8	9	47%	73.9	75.4	-1.5
13	Melbourne Tigers W	19	7	12	37%	76.2	79.9	-3.7
14	Diamond Valley W	17	6	11	35%	77.1	81.2	-4.1
15	Hobart Chargers W	18	6	12	33%	71.3	75.2	-3.9
16	Launceston W	18	4	14	22%	70.3	81.3	-10.9
17	Casey Cavaliers W	19	4	15	21%	74.2	85.5	-11.3
18	Kilsyth W	17	3	14	18%	68.6	80.5	-11.9
19	Nunawading W	18	3	15	17%	69.7	82.6	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Launceston W	27	14	13	14	68
Kilsyth W	19	27	18	12	76

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Launceston W vs Kilsyth W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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