Geelong W vs Launceston W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 May 2024

Tip-off: 07:00

Final 88-70

18-25 14-23 24-7 32-15

Position#10

Record4-7

FormLLWWL

Points / game78.1

Allowed / game81.1

Geelong W 🏆

Launceston W

Position#16

Record4-7

FormLLWWW

Points / game71.2

Allowed / game77.7

NBL1 South Women

Women2024

Meetings · Geelong W v Launceston W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Launceston W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo Braves W

88-107

107

-19

H12/04

NBL1 South Women

Keilor Thunder W

80-97

-17

A14/04

NBL1 South Women

Frankston W

#11

93-66

+27

H20/04

NBL1 South Women

Dandenong Rangers W

70-83

-13

A27/04

NBL1 South Women

Mt. Gambier W

81-79

H04/05

NBL1 South Women

Kilsyth W

#17

77-88

-11

A05/05

NBL1 South Women

Sandringham W

63-71

-8

H11/05

NBL1 South Women

Ringwood W

#13

81-64

+17

A12/05

NBL1 South Women

Nunawading W

#19

81-70

+11

H18/05

NBL1 South Women

Frankston W

#11

60-72

-12

A19/05

NBL1 South Women

21-32

24-22

19-22

24-31

23-25

19-24

15-27

23-21

16-14

32-8

22-18

23-26

13-25

15-23

21-19

21-16

22-22

16-23

25-15

18-19

23-18

15-26

16-24

23-20

17-21

17-14

17-12

12-24

10-9

21-23

20-19

30-13

23-28

23-20

18-11

17-11

11-19

15-13

19-18

15-22

157.1Avg total

77.4Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	78.1	81.1	159.2	-3.0	36%
Season at home (5)	81.2	78.6	159.8	+2.6	60%
Season away (6)	75.5	83.2	158.7	-7.7	17%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	79.7	157.1	-2.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.4	73.0	145.4	-0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	78.8	91.6	170.4	-12.8	20%
vs Similar (10)	76.1	76.3	152.4	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	82.1	68.6	150.7	+13.5	87%

This opponent (Launceston W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Launceston W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Waverley W

69-101

101

-32

H12/04

NBL1 South Women

Dandenong Rangers W

72-84

-12

H13/04

NBL1 South Women

Mt. Gambier W

63-79

-16

A19/04

NBL1 South Women

Keilor Thunder W

60-94

-34

A21/04

NBL1 South Women

Ballarat W

79-61

+18

H26/04

NBL1 South Women

Casey Cavaliers W

#18

74-82

-8

H27/04

NBL1 South Women

Frankston W

#11

66-74

-8

H04/05

NBL1 South Women

Melbourne Tigers W

#15

78-67

+11

H11/05

NBL1 South Women

Ringwood W

#13

74-71

A18/05

NBL1 South Women

Kilsyth W

#17

86-71

+15

A19/05

NBL1 South Women

21-37

21-25

14-24

13-15

14-22

8-20

21-23

29-19

13-31

20-15

11-23

19-10

18-21

17-25

8-26

17-22

26-12

14-8

20-23

19-18

19-21

15-24

11-23

29-14

17-13

24-27

14-16

11-18

20-13

13-19

19-10

26-25

18-14

21-21

19-26

16-10

15-21

24-17

12-23

35-10

150.5Avg total

72.1Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	71.2	77.7	148.9	-6.5	36%
Season at home (7)	71.4	77.1	148.6	-5.7	29%
Season away (4)	70.8	78.8	149.5	-8.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	72.1	78.4	150.5	-6.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	73.0	148.6	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	68.8	78.9	147.7	-10.1	37%
vs Similar (6)	73.3	80.3	153.7	-7.0	17%
vs Weaker (5)	81.6	71.2	152.8	+10.4	80%

This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Geelong WLaunceston W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.9	42.0	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	19.1	38.2	+0.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.3	39.2	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.0	35.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	25.2	44.8	-5.6	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.3	17.5	39.8	+4.7	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.5	19.5	38.0	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.5	38.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.4	34.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.2	19.5	36.7	-2.3	53%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	17%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.6	22.0	45.6	+1.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	17.9	38.7	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.8	18.2	42.0	+5.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	17.6	35.9	+0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.6	39.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.9	17.3	38.2	+3.6	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.9	17.3	39.1	+4.6	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.9	20.5	38.5	-2.6	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.1	37.8	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.3	19.4	37.7	-1.2	32%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	80%	-

Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo Braves W

45-54

-9

H12/04

NBL1 South Women

Keilor Thunder W

42-49

-7

A14/04

NBL1 South Women

Frankston W

#11

48-22

+26

H20/04

NBL1 South Women

Dandenong Rangers W

28-48

-20

A27/04

NBL1 South Women

Mt. Gambier W

38-45

-7

H04/05

NBL1 South Women

Kilsyth W

#17

38-44

-6

A05/05

NBL1 South Women

Sandringham W

34-35

-1

H11/05

NBL1 South Women

Ringwood W

#13

31-32

-1

A12/05

NBL1 South Women

Nunawading W

#19

46-48

-2

H18/05

NBL1 South Women

Frankston W

#11

26-32

-6

A19/05

NBL1 South Women

78.5Avg total

37.6Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	37.4	78.7	+4.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.9	38.1	84.0	+7.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	36.7	74.1	+0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	40.9	78.5	-3.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	38.2	73.2	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.4	46.0	83.4	-8.6	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.2	36.9	76.1	+2.3	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	44.1	34.8	78.9	+9.3	73%	-

This opponent (Launceston W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Launceston WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Waverley W

42-62

-20

H12/04

NBL1 South Women

Dandenong Rangers W

22-42

-20

H13/04

NBL1 South Women

Mt. Gambier W

33-46

-13

A19/04

NBL1 South Women

Keilor Thunder W

35-46

-11

A21/04

NBL1 South Women

Ballarat W

40-20

+20

H26/04

NBL1 South Women

Casey Cavaliers W

#18

34-45

-11

H27/04

NBL1 South Women

Frankston W

#11

41-40

H04/05

NBL1 South Women

Melbourne Tigers W

#15

33-32

H11/05

NBL1 South Women

Ringwood W

#13

39-35

A18/05

NBL1 South Women

Kilsyth W

#17

39-38

A19/05

NBL1 South Women

76.4Avg total

35.8Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	39.8	76.9	-2.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.8	38.4	76.1	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.2	41.7	77.9	-5.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	40.6	76.4	-4.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	38.0	75.2	-0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	35.5	38.9	74.4	-3.5	47%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.2	41.3	79.5	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.0	41.2	83.2	+0.8	80%	-

This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	15.4	35.1	+4.2	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.8	34.8	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	18.6	15.7	34.3	+2.9	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.7	20.5	36.2	-4.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.2	21.5	37.8	-5.3	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.0	19.2	34.2	-4.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.9	21.7	36.6	-6.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	19.6	34.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	15.0	22.3	37.3	-7.3	16%	-
vs Similar (6)	15.2	19.3	34.5	-4.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.0	15.4	34.4	+3.6	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.6	39.9	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.4	23.4	44.8	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.8	21.1	37.9	-4.3	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.3	18.1	37.5	+1.2	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.2	36.2	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	17.5	36.4	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	16.1	37.5	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	15.4	38.8	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.3	17.7	36.0	+0.6	53%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	14.6	35.2	+6.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	37.6	75.4	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	34.8	72.6	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	40.1	77.9	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	38.8	78.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	34.8	72.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	41.4	45.6	87.0	-4.2	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.9	39.3	75.2	-3.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	37.9	33.8	71.7	+4.1	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	37.7	72.5	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	35.1	39.1	74.2	-3.9	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.2	36.0	70.2	-1.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	37.8	74.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	35.0	73.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	33.3	39.9	73.3	-6.6	26%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.2	37.2	72.3	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.6	30.0	69.6	+9.6	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong W wins

Launceston W wins

Date	Game	Score
13/05/23	Launceston W v Geelong W	55-86
20/08/22	Geelong W v Launceston W	65-77
25/06/22	Geelong W v Launceston W	73-77
03/07/21	Launceston W v Geelong W	73-70
21/06/19	Geelong W v Launceston W	89-57
01/06/19	Launceston W v Geelong W	71-85
01/07/17	Launceston W v Geelong W	65-84
26/05/17	Geelong W v Launceston W	95-59
27/08/16	Launceston W v Geelong W	79-68
23/07/16	Launceston W v Geelong W	57-64

Geelong Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/24	A	Frankston W	60-72
18/05/24	H	Nunawading W	81-70
12/05/24	A	Ringwood W	81-64
11/05/24	H	Sandringham W	63-71
05/05/24	A	Kilsyth W	77-88
04/05/24	H	Mt. Gambier W	81-79
27/04/24	A	Dandenong Rangers W	70-83
20/04/24	H	Frankston W	93-66
14/04/24	A	Keilor Thunder W	80-97
12/04/24	H	Bendigo Braves W	88-107

Launceston Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/24	A	Kilsyth W	86-71
18/05/24	A	Ringwood W	74-71
11/05/24	H	Melbourne Tigers W	78-67
04/05/24	H	Frankston W	66-74
27/04/24	H	Casey Cavaliers W	74-82
26/04/24	H	Ballarat W	79-61
21/04/24	A	Keilor Thunder W	60-94
19/04/24	A	Mt. Gambier W	63-79
13/04/24	H	Dandenong Rangers W	72-84
12/04/24	H	Waverley W	69-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong W

NBL1 South Women 2024

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	36%
Home	LWWLW	60%
Away	LLLWL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	36%	60%	17%
Points / game	78.1	81.2	75.5
Allowed / game	81.1	78.6	83.2
Point differential	-3.0	+2.6	-7.7
Avg total	159.2	159.8	158.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	40%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Launceston W

NBL1 South Women 2024

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	36%
Home	LWLLW	29%
Away	LLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	7	4
Win %	36%	29%	50%
Points / game	71.2	71.4	70.8
Allowed / game	77.7	77.1	78.8
Point differential	-6.5	-5.7	-8.0
Avg total	148.9	148.6	149.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	29%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Keilor Thunder W	12	11	1	92%	76.0	61.1	+14.9
2	Knox W	11	9	2	82%	80.4	71.5	+8.8
3	Sandringham W	10	8	2	80%	78.0	70.2	+7.8
4	Dandenong Rangers W	13	10	3	77%	79.0	72.8	+6.2
5	Mt. Gambier W	12	9	3	75%	81.5	68.2	+13.3
6	Bendigo Braves W	12	8	4	67%	92.0	78.2	+13.8
7	Ringwood W	13	7	6	54%	79.6	79.9	-0.3
8	Frankston W	10	5	5	50%	72.1	72.6	-0.5
9	Ballarat W	10	5	5	50%	68.8	72.7	-3.9
10	Eltham W	11	5	6	45%	77.8	74.2	+3.6
11	Melbourne Tigers W	11	5	6	45%	79.1	80.7	-1.6
12	Geelong W	11	4	7	36%	78.1	81.1	-3.0
13	Launceston W	11	4	7	36%	71.2	77.7	-6.5
14	Diamond Valley W	9	3	6	33%	77.9	82.3	-4.4
15	Hobart Chargers W	11	3	8	27%	67.4	74.2	-6.8
16	Waverley W	11	3	8	27%	72.8	80.5	-7.7
17	Casey Cavaliers W	11	3	8	27%	73.2	86.7	-13.5
18	Nunawading W	11	2	9	18%	69.0	82.2	-13.2
19	Kilsyth W	12	2	10	17%	71.1	82.3	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong W	18	14	24	32	88
Launceston W	25	23	7	15	70

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Geelong W vs Launceston W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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