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Launceston W vs Melbourne Tigers W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 78-67
20-13 13-19 19-10 26-25
Position#16
Record1-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#15
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game78.8
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Launceston W v Melbourne Tigers W
11 May 2024
LAUN78
MELB67
29 Apr 2023
LAUN83
MELB76
28 Jun 2019
LAUN79
MELB87
08 Apr 2017
LAUN96
MELB85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Launceston W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Launceston WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H08/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A14/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
69-101
69
101
-32
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A19/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
60-94
60
94
-34
A21/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H27/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
21-26
16-17
25-16
20-24
19-21
15-25
15-13
22-19
23-13
9-23
8-16
21-37
21-25
14-24
13-15
14-22
8-20
21-23
29-19
13-31
20-15
11-23
19-10
18-21
17-25
8-26
17-22
26-12
14-8
20-23
19-18
19-21
15-24
11-23
29-14
17-13
24-27
14-16
11-18
149.8Avg total
68.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.180.8148.9-12.612%
Season at home (6)70.378.8149.2-8.517%
Season away (2)61.586.5148.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)68.881.0149.8-12.210%
Last 5 (5)68.478.0146.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)69.181.6150.6-12.526%
vs Similar (6)74.377.3151.7-3.017%
vs Weaker (5)81.671.2152.8+10.480%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham W
#7
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
103-75
103
75
+28
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H07/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A20/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A21/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
70-95
70
95
-25
H27/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
16-15
19-14
18-24
23-21
25-17
31-19
24-18
28-23
22-20
17-17
19-19
27-24
18-20
16-23
24-25
19-19
14-27
20-33
22-14
18-19
18-13
21-14
11-10
24-20
20-20
21-17
18-15
15-24
12-23
15-21
28-27
23-25
7-15
24-20
15-19
12-22
15-10
16-18
29-18
156.4Avg total
78.1Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.078.8157.8+0.256%
Season at home (5)83.886.8170.6-3.040%
Season away (4)73.068.8141.8+4.275%
Last 10 (10)78.178.3156.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)72.474.0146.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)69.081.2150.2-12.224%
vs Similar (4)73.064.8137.8+8.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Launceston W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -8.4-8.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -8.4-8.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
Launceston WMelbourne Tigers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Launceston WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H08/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
22-42
22
42
-20
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A19/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
40-20
40
20
+20
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H27/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
79.0Avg total
36.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.177.8-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.437.876.2+0.553%-
Last 30 away (13)36.743.279.8-6.531%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.679.0-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.476.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.140.376.4-4.237%-
vs Similar (6)38.838.877.7+0.033%-
vs Weaker (5)42.041.283.2+0.880%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham W
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H07/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A20/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A21/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H27/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
77.1Avg total
37.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.041.076.9-5.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.041.579.5-3.550%-
Last 30 away (14)33.640.474.0-6.736%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.877.1-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)32.838.271.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)35.042.277.2-7.236%-
vs Similar (4)38.532.571.0+6.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)50.043.093.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Launceston W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Launceston W wins
2
Melbourne Tigers W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HFrankston W66-74
27/04/24HCasey Cavaliers W74-82
26/04/24HBallarat W79-61
21/04/24AKeilor Thunder W60-94
19/04/24AMt. Gambier W63-79
13/04/24HDandenong Rangers W72-84
12/04/24HWaverley W69-101
06/04/24HHobart Chargers W62-71
14/07/23AHobart Chargers W69-83
08/07/23HMt. Gambier W74-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/24AHobart Chargers W72-68
04/05/24ASandringham W69-79
27/04/24HEltham W70-95
21/04/24ADiamond Valley W83-72
20/04/24AWaverley W68-56
14/04/24HKnox W75-93
13/04/24HRingwood W85-92
07/04/24HNunawading W86-79
04/04/24HDandenong Rangers W103-75
16/07/23HSandringham W70-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Launceston W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLWLL17%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %12%17%0%
Points / game68.170.361.5
Allowed / game80.878.886.5
Point differential-12.6-8.5-25.0
Avg total148.9149.2148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%40%75%
Points / game79.083.873.0
Allowed / game78.886.868.8
Point differential+0.2-3.0+4.2
Avg total157.8170.6141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt. Gambier W98189%83.266.0+17.2
2 Keilor Thunder W98189%75.758.6+17.1
3 Knox W76186%82.771.0+11.7
4 Dandenong Rangers W108280%79.773.5+6.2
5 Sandringham W97278%79.171.4+7.7
6 Bendigo Braves W107370%93.677.1+16.5
7 Ringwood W107370%82.578.1+4.4
8 Melbourne Tigers W95456%79.078.8+0.2
9 Eltham W84450%81.976.0+5.9
10 Frankston W94544%72.174.0-1.9
11 Ballarat W83538%62.470.1-7.8
12 Hobart Chargers W93633%66.371.4-5.1
13 Diamond Valley W72529%76.384.3-8.0
14 Geelong W82625%79.685.8-6.1
15 Waverley W92722%72.481.3-8.9
16 Kilsyth W92722%69.780.9-11.2
17 Nunawading W92722%69.182.7-13.6
18 Casey Cavaliers W92722%70.186.3-16.2
19 Launceston W81712%68.180.8-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Launceston W2013192678
Melbourne Tigers W1319102567
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