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Keilor Thunder W vs Launceston W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 94-60
21-18 25-17 26-8 22-17
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game64.4
vs
Position#16
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game83.8
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Launceston W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
72-53
72
53
+19
A09/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
81-60
81
60
+21
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
103-53
103
53
+50
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
20-14
18-16
19-11
17-29
16-18
14-24
18-16
24-18
13-13
15-13
20-18
13-19
19-25
17-16
23-16
15-25
20-18
31-16
18-18
21-18
14-17
22-18
23-23
28-11
10-16
17-15
17-11
22-14
22-20
13-6
24-20
25-23
24-19
27-15
21-23
26-10
28-13
27-17
22-13
149.0Avg total
79.7Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.664.4151.0+22.2100%
Season at home (2)100.066.5166.5+33.5100%
Season away (3)77.763.0140.7+14.7100%
Last 10 (10)79.769.3149.0+10.480%
Last 5 (5)86.664.4151.0+22.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)68.277.0145.2-8.827%
vs Similar (3)66.770.7137.3-4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.664.4151.0+22.2100%
This opponent (Launceston W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Launceston WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#13
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A01/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#16
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H07/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H08/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A14/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
69-101
69
101
-32
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A19/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
25-19
19-17
15-26
17-16
11-11
10-13
19-15
18-14
20-20
22-16
19-27
29-17
18-16
24-14
16-18
12-22
21-26
16-17
25-16
20-24
19-21
15-25
15-13
22-19
23-13
9-23
8-16
21-37
21-25
14-24
13-15
14-22
8-20
21-23
29-19
13-31
20-15
11-23
19-10
148.9Avg total
70.4Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.583.8150.2-17.20%
Season at home (3)67.785.3153.0-17.70%
Season away (1)63.079.0142.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)70.478.5148.9-8.130%
Last 5 (5)67.083.6150.6-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)69.582.2151.8-12.724%
vs Similar (7)75.473.6149.0+1.943%
vs Weaker (6)80.770.5151.2+10.283%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
Keilor Thunder WLaunceston W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#13
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H01/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A15/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A09/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H20/04
NBL1 South Women
75.9Avg total
39.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.738.374.0-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.537.372.7-1.840%-
Last 30 away (15)36.039.375.3-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.875.9+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.032.276.2+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)34.339.774.0-5.527%-
vs Similar (3)32.737.770.3-5.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.032.276.2+11.880%-
This opponent (Launceston W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Launceston WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H24/06
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A01/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A02/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H07/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H08/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
22-42
22
42
-20
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A19/04
NBL1 South Women
78.0Avg total
36.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.839.676.4-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.438.476.8-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)35.440.776.1-5.338%-
Last 10 (10)36.541.578.0-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.245.481.6-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.840.975.7-6.129%-
vs Similar (7)39.635.374.9+4.357%-
vs Weaker (6)39.041.280.2-2.267%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
2
Launceston W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HCasey Cavaliers W103-53
14/04/24HGeelong W97-80
11/04/24AKilsyth W81-60
09/04/24ADiamond Valley W72-53
05/04/24AFrankston W80-76
16/07/23ACasey Cavaliers W84-77
15/07/23AGeelong W72-76
08/07/23AHobart Chargers W72-62
07/07/23ALaunceston W65-87
01/07/23HNunawading W71-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/24AMt. Gambier W63-79
13/04/24HDandenong Rangers W72-84
12/04/24HWaverley W69-101
06/04/24HHobart Chargers W62-71
14/07/23AHobart Chargers W69-83
08/07/23HMt. Gambier W74-81
07/07/23HKeilor Thunder W87-65
02/07/23ADiamond Valley W79-77
01/07/23AKnox W57-55
24/06/23HNunawading W72-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.6100.077.7
Allowed / game64.466.563.0
Point differential+22.2+33.5+14.7
Avg total151.0166.5140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Launceston W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.567.763.0
Allowed / game83.885.379.0
Point differential-17.2-17.7-16.0
Avg total150.2153.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo Braves W550100%101.672.0+29.6
2 Keilor Thunder W550100%86.664.4+22.2
3 Mt. Gambier W550100%82.262.8+19.4
4 Ringwood W76186%83.171.1+12.0
5 Knox W54180%81.872.8+9.0
6 Melbourne Tigers W64267%83.377.8+5.5
7 Dandenong Rangers W64267%78.777.7+1.0
8 Sandringham W53260%77.870.4+7.4
9 Ballarat W42250%74.581.0-6.5
10 Eltham W52340%81.076.8+4.2
11 Waverley W52340%74.078.0-4.0
12 Diamond Valley W52340%77.883.8-6.0
13 Hobart Chargers W52340%66.272.4-6.2
14 Geelong W41325%86.591.2-4.8
15 Frankston W51420%71.283.8-12.6
16 Kilsyth W5050%63.881.0-17.2
17 Launceston W4040%66.583.8-17.2
18 Nunawading W5050%65.686.8-21.2
19 Casey Cavaliers W5050%68.494.8-26.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W2125262294
Launceston W181781760
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