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Le Mans vs Cholet Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game87.4
FranceLNBRound 14· Antares
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Le Mans v Cholet
27 Dec 2026
LMA v CHO
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
LMA89
CHO94
29 Mar 2025
LMA91
CHO68
26 Feb 2025
LMA101
CHO82
21 Oct 2023
LMA85
CHO88
04 Oct 2022
LMA90
CHO82
09 Apr 2022
LMA67
CHO80
15 Apr 2021
LMA85
CHO84
14 Dec 2019
LMA81
CHO75
25 Sep 2018
LMA83
CHO77
16 Feb 2018
LMA71
CHO61
23 Dec 2017
LMA65
CHO47
05 Nov 2016
LMA71
CHO65
28 Sep 2016
LMA84
CHO68
16 Jan 2016
LMA69
CHO79
27 Oct 2014
LMA61
CHO82
01 Mar 2014
LMA83
CHO72
26 Dec 2012
LMA79
CHO55
09 Jun 2012
LMA78
CHO69
02 Jun 2012
LMA83
CHO78
07 Apr 2012
LMA76
CHO87
20 May 2011
LMA70
CHO76
13 Nov 2010
LMA69
CHO74
17 Apr 2010
LMA83
CHO85
22 Mar 2009
LMA84
CHO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Mans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
W
98-87
98
87
+11
90avg 83
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
82-70
82
70
+12
73avg 83
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#12
W
91-90
91
90
+1
91avg 83
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 83
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#9
W
97-72
97
72
+25
94avg 83
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
70avg 83
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
106-97 OT
106
97
+9
103avg 83
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#21
W
71-65
71
65
+6
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
25-18
25-16
24-20
19-18
32-16
20-18
11-18
26-28
22-24
26-20
17-18
22-16
21-22
28-14
13-14
16-19
27-28
27-10
27-15
19-21
21-27
27-17
16-25
16-15
24-29
27-20
20-23
18-27
10-13
19-9
24-16
20-19
32-17
18-22
24-11
18-25
27-20
24-16
19-19
168.0Avg total
89.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.687.9186.4+10.786%
Season at home (3)99.396.7196.0+2.767%
Season away (4)98.081.2179.2+16.8100%
Last 10 (10)89.478.6168.0+10.890%
Last 5 (5)88.480.2168.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.588.5167.0-10.00%
vs Similar (10)81.588.0169.5-6.520%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)93.881.4175.2+12.394%
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
99-79
99
79
+20
96avg 81
A06/10
Champions League
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
73avg 81
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 81
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
76avg 81
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
69-86
69
86
-17
55avg 81
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
56avg 81
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 81
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
no box
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
33-9
23-23
24-24
22-17
22-16
22-25
19-21
16-21
21-11
22-17
25-17
23-25
27-16
16-27
11-18
17-23
17-21
17-22
18-20
11-14
18-15
20-26
16-14
14-23
19-21
28-32
21-12
28-19
15-22
15-20
21-18
19-23
14-27
17-31
21-16
18-23
17-17
28-21
10-14
161.4Avg total
79.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.087.4168.4-6.438%
Season at home (5)82.489.8172.2-7.440%
Season away (3)78.783.3162.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)79.981.5161.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)77.083.8160.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.988.1170.1-6.233%
vs Similar (9)84.878.9163.7+5.956%
vs Weaker (6)91.774.5166.2+17.2100%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +7.9+7.9Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +7.9+7.9Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
Le MansCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#12
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#21
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H11/11
Eurocup
87.4Avg total
43.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.386.7+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.043.287.2+0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.586.2-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.943.587.4+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.683.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.043.583.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (10)38.145.383.4-7.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.742.288.9+4.450%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A06/10
Champions League
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/11
Champions League
77.6Avg total
39.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.284.9+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.942.186.0+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)41.442.383.7-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.677.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.875.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)42.845.087.8-2.247%-
vs Similar (9)41.339.981.2+1.444%-
vs Weaker (6)44.838.583.3+6.367%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.5
55.1%
55.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.2
36.4%
34.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
74.2%15.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
55.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.2
31.1%
34.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.220.2
80.2%
74.2%20.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Mans
WWWWLWWWWW
Cholet
LLWLLLLWWW
#3
League position
#10
+5.8
Net rating
+0.0
98.7
Offensive rating
91.7
92.9
Defensive rating
91.7
54.9%
Effective FG%
49.2%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
14.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
36.4%
3-point %
31.1%
57.1%
Assist %
70.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 91.7Defence92.9 · 91.7Shooting54.9% · 49.2%3-point %36.4% · 31.1%Ball care14.5% · 17.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Le Mans   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Le Mans wins
3
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
04/04/26Le Mans v Cholet89-94
01/11/25Cholet v Le Mans80-84
29/03/25Le Mans v Cholet91-68
26/02/25Le Mans v Cholet101-82
14/02/25Cholet v Le Mans91-93
27/12/24Cholet v Le Mans86-92
27/12/23Cholet v Le Mans111-96
21/10/23Le Mans v Cholet85-88 OT
17/02/23Cholet v Le Mans77-84
04/02/23Cholet v Le Mans83-103
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos88-80
08/11/26AStrasbourg94-69
04/11/26ARigas Zelli71-65
31/10/26HPau-Orthez106-97 OT
28/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem83-90
24/10/26ABoulazac97-72
21/10/26ACedevita Olimpija84-66
18/10/26HJL Bourg91-90
14/10/26HRostock82-70
11/10/26ASaint Quentin98-87
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ASpartak Subotica73-75
07/11/26HDijon71-97
03/11/26HParis94-90 OT
31/10/26AStrasbourg82-88
28/10/26HSpartak Subotica65-69
24/10/26ANanterre69-86
17/10/26HChalon/Saone77-86
14/10/26HVechta84-66
10/10/26HPau-Orthez85-79
06/10/26AHapoel Holon99-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Mans
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game98.699.398.0
Allowed / game87.996.781.2
Point differential+10.7+2.7+16.8
Avg total186.4196.0179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %29%33%25%
Cholet
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game81.082.478.7
Allowed / game87.489.883.3
Point differential-6.4-7.4-4.7
Avg total168.4172.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris87188%97.286.4+10.9
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone74357%93.185.1+8.0
7 Roanne74357%80.780.4+0.3
8 Strasbourg84450%81.187.5-6.4
9 Boulazac73443%81.083.7-2.7
10 Cholet83538%81.087.4-6.4
11 Limoges72529%86.489.0-2.6
12 JL Bourg72529%88.692.4-3.9
13 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
14 Pau-Orthez72529%83.690.6-7.0
15 Saint Quentin82625%87.494.8-7.4
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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