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Le Mans vs Dijon Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game81.7
FranceLNBRound 24· Antares
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Le Mans v Dijon
27 Mar 2027
LMA v DIJ
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
LMA92
DIJ86
02 Nov 2024
LMA98
DIJ71
13 Feb 2024
LMA80
DIJ85
23 Dec 2023
LMA76
DIJ67
01 Apr 2023
LMA96
DIJ81
18 Mar 2023
LMA89
DIJ77
17 May 2022
LMA90
DIJ62
15 May 2021
LMA80
DIJ86
28 Mar 2020
LMA v DIJ
upcoming
19 Jan 2019
LMA81
DIJ57
17 Apr 2018
LMA88
DIJ65
19 Nov 2016
LMA65
DIJ60
27 Dec 2015
LMA62
DIJ57
11 Apr 2015
LMA63
DIJ80
13 May 2014
LMA75
DIJ80
01 Feb 2014
LMA74
DIJ56
13 Apr 2013
LMA63
DIJ59
04 Nov 2011
LMA68
DIJ65
01 May 2010
LMA106
DIJ57
07 Mar 2009
LMA91
DIJ83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Mans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dijon win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
W
98-87
98
87
+11
90avg 80
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
82-70
82
70
+12
73avg 80
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#12
W
91-90
91
90
+1
91avg 80
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 80
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#9
W
97-72
97
72
+25
94avg 80
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
70avg 80
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
106-97 OT
106
97
+9
103avg 80
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#21
W
71-65
71
65
+6
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
25-18
25-16
24-20
19-18
32-16
20-18
11-18
26-28
22-24
26-20
17-18
22-16
21-22
28-14
13-14
16-19
27-28
27-10
27-15
19-21
21-27
27-17
16-25
16-15
24-29
27-20
20-23
18-27
10-13
19-9
24-16
20-19
32-17
18-22
24-11
18-25
27-20
24-16
19-19
168.0Avg total
89.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.687.9186.4+10.786%
Season at home (3)99.396.7196.0+2.767%
Season away (4)98.081.2179.2+16.8100%
Last 10 (10)89.478.6168.0+10.890%
Last 5 (5)88.480.2168.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.588.5167.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.588.0169.5-6.520%
vs Weaker (18)93.881.4175.2+12.394%
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DijonFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDijon
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#3
L
69-87
69
87
-18
54avg 89
A02/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
W
101-83
101
83
+18
103avg 89
H09/05
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
126-80
126
80
+46
130avg 89
A16/05
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
81-72
81
72
+9
77avg 89
H25/09
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
89-61
89
61
+28
93avg 89
A03/10
LNB
Limoges
#11
W
108-96
108
96
+12
102avg 89
H09/10
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
92-83
92
83
+9
92avg 89
A18/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 89
A23/10
LNB
Nancy
#13
L
94-108
94
108
-14
86avg 89
H30/10
LNB
Cholet
#10
W
97-71
97
71
+26
no box
A07/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
18-21
18-13
11-25
23-22
33-21
25-19
20-21
33-27
29-27
41-9
23-17
25-8
16-25
22-15
18-24
19-14
20-14
31-19
19-14
24-26
27-24
29-27
28-19
30-20
23-22
21-26
18-15
25-21
24-15
22-27
20-18
30-25
17-21
21-27
26-35
23-19
27-14
31-17
16-21
177.0Avg total
94.8Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.181.7174.9+11.486%
Season at home (3)94.392.0186.3+2.367%
Season away (4)92.274.0166.2+18.2100%
Last 10 (10)94.882.2177.0+12.680%
Last 5 (5)96.487.8184.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.993.8178.6-8.912%
vs Similar ◀ (8)91.589.5181.0+2.062%
vs Weaker (13)96.487.1183.5+9.369%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +7.9+7.9Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +7.9+7.9Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
Le MansDijon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#12
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#21
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H11/11
Eurocup
87.4Avg total
43.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.386.7+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.043.287.2+0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.586.2-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.943.587.4+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.683.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.043.583.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.145.383.4-7.220%-
vs Weaker (18)46.742.288.9+4.450%-
This opponent (Dijon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DijonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A02/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H09/05
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A16/05
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H25/09
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A03/10
LNB
Limoges
#11
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H09/10
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A18/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A23/10
LNB
Nancy
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H30/10
LNB
Cholet
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A07/11
LNB
90.2Avg total
48.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.945.089.9-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.443.990.3+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)43.645.989.6-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)48.841.490.2+7.490%-
Last 5 (5)50.041.491.4+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.845.986.6-5.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)46.644.991.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker (13)46.744.691.3+2.169%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.5
55.1%
55.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.2
36.4%
34.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
74.2%15.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dijontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dijon: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.9
58.7%
55.6%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.410.1
41.4%
34.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.517.3
76.9%
74.2%17.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Mans
WWWWLWWWWW
Dijon
WLWWWWWWWL
#3
League position
#2
+5.8
Net rating
+13.9
98.7
Offensive rating
112.0
92.9
Defensive rating
98.2
54.9%
Effective FG%
60.0%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
14.5%
Turnover %
12.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.4%
3-point %
41.4%
57.1%
Assist %
64.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 112.0Defence92.9 · 98.2Shooting54.9% · 60.0%3-point %36.4% · 41.4%Ball care14.5% · 12.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Le Mans   ■ Dijon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Le Mans wins
3
Dijon wins
DateGameScore
07/02/26Le Mans v Dijon92-86
26/09/25Dijon v Le Mans89-91
22/03/25Dijon v Le Mans76-74
02/11/24Le Mans v Dijon98-71
11/05/24Dijon v Le Mans87-77
13/02/24Le Mans v Dijon80-85
23/12/23Le Mans v Dijon76-67
01/04/23Le Mans v Dijon96-81
18/03/23Le Mans v Dijon89-77
08/10/22Dijon v Le Mans100-110 OT
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos88-80
08/11/26AStrasbourg94-69
04/11/26ARigas Zelli71-65
31/10/26HPau-Orthez106-97 OT
28/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem83-90
24/10/26ABoulazac97-72
21/10/26ACedevita Olimpija84-66
18/10/26HJL Bourg91-90
14/10/26HRostock82-70
11/10/26ASaint Quentin98-87
Dijonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ACholet97-71
30/10/26HNancy94-108
23/10/26ASaint Quentin91-81
18/10/26AGravelines-Dunkerque92-83
09/10/26HLimoges108-96
03/10/26APau-Orthez89-61
25/09/26HStrasbourg81-72
16/05/26ALe Portel126-80
09/05/26HJL Bourg101-83
02/05/26ANanterre69-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Mans
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game98.699.398.0
Allowed / game87.996.781.2
Point differential+10.7+2.7+16.8
Avg total186.4196.0179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %29%33%25%
Dijon
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game93.194.392.2
Allowed / game81.792.074.0
Point differential+11.4+2.3+18.2
Avg total174.9186.3166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%33%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris87188%97.286.4+10.9
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone74357%93.185.1+8.0
7 Roanne74357%80.780.4+0.3
8 Strasbourg84450%81.187.5-6.4
9 Boulazac73443%81.083.7-2.7
10 Cholet83538%81.087.4-6.4
11 Limoges72529%86.489.0-2.6
12 JL Bourg72529%88.692.4-3.9
13 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
14 Pau-Orthez72529%83.690.6-7.0
15 Saint Quentin82625%87.494.8-7.4
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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