Le Mans vs Lyon-Villeurbanne Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 18:00

Projected 91-86

Projected total 177.7

Scheduled

Position#3

Record6-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game98.6

Allowed / game87.9

Le Mans

66%

34%

■ LMA 66%■ ASV 34%

Pythia win probability

Form · last 5 games

5.4/10

Around normal

4.9/10

Around normal

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Position#4

Record6-1

FormWLLWL

Points / game91.1

Allowed / game84.4

LNBRound 8· Antares

Domestic2026-27

Meetings · Le Mans v Lyon-Villeurbanne

Sections

Game preview & prediction

Le Mans hosts Lyon-Villeurbanne on 15 November 2026 in the LNB Elite, with the Pythia model designating Le Mans as the favourite and projecting a 65% chance of victory; the predicted score is 91-87, a total of 177.9 points, and the model sees a 57% chance the home side will cover the -3.0 spread while the over on the 178.5 total has a 48% probability, with a 5% chance of overtime. Le Mans has gone 6-1 in all seven games this season, averaging 98.6 points scored and 87.9 allowed, and sits third in the league; at home they are 2-1, scoring 99.3 and conceding 96.7, and they have won four of their last five. Lyon-Villeurbanne also stands 6-1, 91.1 points for and 84.4 against, positioned fourth; on the road they are 3-1, 89.5 for and 85.8 against, and they have won three of their last five. In the ten meetings between the clubs, Lyon-Villeurbanne leads 9-1, most recently winning 91-88 on 25 January 2026, and their last win over Le Mans was a 91-88 triumph.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Mans win

66.0%fair 1.51

Best odds1.65

Implied58.6%

Edge+7.5pp

Lyon-Villeurbanne win

34.0%fair 2.94

Best odds2.34

Implied41.4%

Edge-7.5pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le Mans

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMans

Date

Competition

Saint Quentin

#15

98-87

+11

90avg 82

A11/10

LNB

Rostock

#28

82-70

+12

73avg 82

H14/10

Eurocup

JL Bourg

#13

91-90

91avg 82

H18/10

LNB

Cedevita Olimpija

#25

84-66

+18

82avg 82

A21/10

Eurocup

Boulazac

#10

97-72

+25

94avg 82

A24/10

LNB

Hapoel Jerusalem

83-90

-7

70avg 82

H28/10

Eurocup

Pau-Orthez

#14

106-97 OT

106

103avg 82

H31/10

LNB

Rigas Zelli

#20

71-65

no box

A04/11

Eurocup

Strasbourg

94-69

+25

no box

A08/11

LNB

San Pablo Burgos

#30

88-80

no box

H11/11

Eurocup

24-33

25-18

25-16

24-20

19-18

32-16

20-18

11-18

26-28

22-24

26-20

17-18

22-16

21-22

28-14

13-14

16-19

27-28

27-10

27-15

19-21

21-27

27-17

16-25

16-15

24-29

27-20

20-23

18-27

10-13

19-9

24-16

20-19

32-17

18-22

24-11

18-25

27-20

24-16

19-19

168.0Avg total

89.4Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	98.6	87.9	186.4	+10.7	86%
Season at home (3)	99.3	96.7	196.0	+2.7	67%
Season away (4)	98.0	81.2	179.2	+16.8	100%
Last 10 (10)	89.4	78.6	168.0	+10.8	90%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	80.2	168.6	+8.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	78.5	88.5	167.0	-10.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	81.5	88.0	169.5	-6.5	20%
vs Weaker (18)	93.8	81.4	175.2	+12.3	94%

This opponent (Lyon-Villeurbanne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lyon-Villeurbanne France

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLyon-Villeurbanne

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

92-111

111

-19

87avg 77

A15/10

Euroleague

Limoges

#12

97-94 OT

91avg 77

A17/10

LNB

Zalgiris Kaunas

85-105

105

-20

77avg 77

A23/10

Euroleague

Nancy

#11

78-74

73avg 77

H25/10

LNB

Partizan

#11

82-75

76avg 77

H28/10

Euroleague

Baskonia

#20

94-79

+15

94avg 77

H30/10

Euroleague

Saint Quentin

#15

94-99

-5

93avg 77

A01/11

LNB

Bayern

#18

95-99

-4

no box

H05/11

Euroleague

Pau-Orthez

#14

106-97

106

no box

H07/11

LNB

Besiktas

#13

91-95

-4

no box

H13/11

Euroleague

25-27

23-34

23-16

21-34

28-27

23-22

18-16

17-21

20-29

14-21

25-31

26-24

18-24

25-16

15-17

20-17

22-19

14-13

20-27

26-16

23-23

26-20

19-20

18-18

21-27

29-24

26-30

21-20

24-25

21-28

29-26

16-27

27-27

31-17

32-26

28-25

24-18

16-22

23-30

184.2Avg total

91.4Scored

92.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	91.1	84.4	175.6	+6.7	86%
Season at home (3)	93.3	82.7	176.0	+10.7	100%
Season away (4)	89.5	85.8	175.2	+3.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	91.4	92.8	184.2	-1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	96.0	93.8	189.8	+2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	83.3	93.7	177.0	-10.4	10%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	91.0	87.3	178.3	+3.7	67%
vs Weaker (14)	86.4	80.3	166.7	+6.1	79%

This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 178 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%). The market's main line is 177.5.

Over/Under 172.5

Over 172.5

61.4%

@ 1.50-1.1pp

Under 172.5

38.6%

@ 2.55+1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.50

WilliamHill

1.50

Betano

1.47

Bet365

1.47

Under

Bet365

2.55

WilliamHill

2.50

Betano

2.45

Over/Under 177.5 · main line

Over 177.5

49.5%

@ 1.91-0.8pp

Under 177.5

50.5%

@ 1.95+0.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.91

1xBet

1.89

Marathon Be

1.89

Pinnacle

1.89

Betano

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.95

1xBet

1.91

Marathon Be

1.91

WilliamHill

1.91

Pinnacle

1.91

Over/Under 182.5

Over 182.5

37.7%

@ 2.32-3.4pp

Under 182.5

62.3%

@ 1.57+3.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.32

WilliamHill

2.30

Bet365

2.25

1xBet

2.17

Marathon Be

2.17

Under

1xBet

1.57

Bet365

1.57

WilliamHill

1.57

Betano

1.53

Marathon Be

1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Le Mans total 86.5

Over 86.5

67.3%

@ 1.44+4.4pp

Under 86.5

32.7%

@ 2.45-4.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.44

Under

Betano

2.45

Le Mans total 90.5 · main line

Over 90.5

53.1%

@ 1.91+3.1pp

Under 90.5

46.9%

@ 1.87-3.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.91

BetVictor

1.88

1xBet

1.87

Marathon Be

1.87

Betano

1.83

Under

1xBet

1.87

Marathon Be

1.87

Betano

1.83

Bet365

1.83

WilliamHill

1.80

Le Mans total 94.5

Over 94.5

38.5%

@ 2.45+1.5pp

Under 94.5

61.5%

@ 1.44-1.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.45

Under

Betano

1.44

Lyon-Villeurbanne total 82.5

Over 82.5

63.8%

@ 1.38-2.7pp

Under 82.5

36.2%

@ 2.80+2.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.38

Betano

1.37

Under

Bet365

2.80

Betano

2.67

Lyon-Villeurbanne total 86.5 · main line

Over 86.5

48.6%

@ 1.77-3.7pp

Under 86.5

51.4%

@ 2.05+3.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.77

Marathon Be

1.77

BetVictor

1.75

Betano

1.72

WilliamHill

1.70

Under

WilliamHill

2.05

Betano

1.95

1xBet

1.94

Marathon Be

1.94

BetVictor

1.75

Lyon-Villeurbanne total 90.5

Over 90.5

33.8%

@ 2.27-7.8pp

Under 90.5

66.2%

@ 1.60+7.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.27

WilliamHill

2.25

Bet365

2.22

Under

WilliamHill

1.60

Bet365

1.58

Betano

1.50

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Le Mans's side (positive = Le Mans win). Pythia's expected margin is +5.0; Le Mans win by 1+ in 60% of simulations.

Spread Le Mans -6.5

LMA -6.5

45.9%

@ 2.45+5.1pp

ASV +6.5

54.1%

@ 1.57-5.1pp

Best 5 market prices

LMA

Bet365

2.45

Betano

2.30

1xBet

2.24

Marathon Be

2.24

ASV

Betano

1.57

1xBet

1.56

Marathon Be

1.56

Bet365

1.52

Spread Le Mans -3.5 · main line

LMA -3.5

56.6%

@ 1.92+7.1pp

ASV +3.5

43.4%

@ 1.89-7.1pp

Best 5 market prices

LMA

Pinnacle

1.92

1xBet

1.91

Betfair

1.91

Marathon Be

1.91

Bet365

1.90

ASV

1xBet

1.89

Marathon Be

1.89

Pinnacle

1.88

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.83

Spread Le Mans -0.5

LMA -0.5

66.0%

ASV +0.5

34.0%

Best 5 market prices

LMA

No market prices yet.

ASV

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Le MansLyon-Villeurbanne

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	47%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	60%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	23.6	43.9	-3.3	33%	40%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.3	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.4	39.6	-3.2	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	18.0	40.5	+4.5	50%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.2	23.9	42.1	-5.7	20%	30%
vs Weaker (18)	22.3	21.1	43.4	+1.3	61%	44%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.9	41.9	+0.1	47%	30%
Last 30 at home (18)	22.7	20.3	43.0	+2.3	61%	28%
Last 30 away (12)	18.5	21.8	40.3	-3.3	25%	33%
Last 10 (10)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.2	23.6	44.8	-2.4	20%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.2	20.2	40.3	+0.0	50%	17%
vs Weaker (14)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.9	64%	21%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.5	43.9	+0.9	40%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	23.2	45.5	-0.9	40%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	19.9	42.3	+2.6	40%	40%
Last 10 (10)	24.1	21.4	45.5	+2.7	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	25.5	43.0	-8.0	0%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.5	30%	30%
vs Weaker (18)	24.3	21.2	45.5	+3.2	50%	67%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44
Last 30 (30)	22.5	21.3	43.8	+1.2	53%	43%
Last 30 at home (18)	22.6	19.7	42.3	+2.8	61%	33%
Last 30 away (12)	22.3	23.7	46.0	-1.3	42%	58%
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.6	44.4	-0.8	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	23.8	24.0	47.8	-0.2	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.2	24.3	45.5	-3.1	40%	60%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	24.3	18.8	43.2	+5.5	67%	33%
vs Weaker (14)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	57%	36%

Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Saint Quentin

#15

49-51

-2

A11/10

LNB

Rostock

#28

51-34

+17

H14/10

Eurocup

JL Bourg

#13

48-52

-4

H18/10

LNB

Cedevita Olimpija

#25

43-38

A21/10

Eurocup

Boulazac

#10

43-47

-4

A24/10

LNB

Hapoel Jerusalem

40-48

-8

H28/10

Eurocup

Pau-Orthez

#14

40-44

-4

H31/10

LNB

Rigas Zelli

#20

28-40

-12

A04/11

Eurocup

Strasbourg

52-36

+16

A08/11

LNB

San Pablo Burgos

#30

45-45

H11/11

Eurocup

87.4Avg total

43.9Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 88.5
Last 30 (30)	43.4	43.3	86.7	+0.0	40%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	44.0	43.2	87.2	+0.8	40%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	43.5	86.2	-0.7	40%	40%
Last 10 (10)	43.9	43.5	87.4	+0.4	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	41.0	42.6	83.6	-1.6	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	43.5	83.5	-3.5	50%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.1	45.3	83.4	-7.2	20%	20%
vs Weaker (18)	46.7	42.2	88.9	+4.4	50%	50%

This opponent (Lyon-Villeurbanne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lyon-VilleurbanneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

48-61

-13

A15/10

Euroleague

Limoges

#12

51-49

A17/10

LNB

Zalgiris Kaunas

34-50

-16

A23/10

Euroleague

Nancy

#11

43-40

H25/10

LNB

Partizan

#11

36-32

H28/10

Euroleague

Baskonia

#20

49-39

+10

H30/10

Euroleague

Saint Quentin

#15

39-45

-6

A01/11

LNB

Bayern

#18

45-45

H05/11

Euroleague

Pau-Orthez

#14

43-54

-11

H07/11

LNB

Besiktas

#13

52-43

H13/11

Euroleague

89.8Avg total

44.0Scored

45.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 88.5
Last 30 (30)	43.5	42.2	85.7	+1.2	60%	40%
Last 30 at home (18)	45.2	40.1	85.3	+5.2	78%	39%
Last 30 away (12)	40.8	45.5	86.3	-4.7	33%	42%
Last 10 (10)	44.0	45.8	89.8	-1.8	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	45.6	45.2	90.8	+0.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	42.4	47.9	90.3	-5.5	40%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	44.5	39.0	83.5	+5.5	67%	50%
vs Weaker (14)	43.8	39.6	83.4	+4.2	71%	29%

This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winner

LMA win

62.1%

@ 1.67+4.4pp

ASV win

37.9%

@ 2.24-4.4pp

1st half Spread Le Mans -1.5 · main line

LMA -1.5

55.8%

@ 1.91+5.0pp

ASV +1.5

44.2%

@ 1.96-5.0pp

1st half Over/Under 88.5 · main line

Over

50.2%

@ 1.91+0.4pp

Under

49.8%

@ 2.00-0.4pp

Le Mans 1st half total 45.5 · main line

Over

51.2%

@ 1.88+1.5pp

Under

48.8%

@ 1.86-1.5pp

Lyon-Villeurbanne 1st half total 43.5 · main line

Over

46.3%

@ 1.91-4.0pp

Under

53.7%

@ 1.95+4.0pp

1st half: LMA + total 89.5

LMA & over

27.7%

@ 3.35+1.8pp

LMA & under

32.1%

@ 3.30+5.9pp

1st half: Draw + total 89.5

Draw & over

1.9%

@ 26.00-1.4pp

Draw & under

1.8%

@ 26.00-1.5pp

1st half: ASV + total 89.5

ASV & over

16.6%

@ 4.20-4.0pp

ASV & under

19.8%

@ 4.20-0.8pp

1st half Over/Under 90

Over

44.1%

@ 1.92-4.6pp

Under

55.9%

@ 1.82+4.6pp

1st half Spread Le Mans -2.5

LMA -2.5

51.8%

@ 2.02+4.8pp

ASV +2.5

48.2%

@ 1.83-4.8pp

1st half Over/Under 86.5

Over

57.6%

@ 1.60-1.0pp

Under

42.4%

@ 2.25+1.0pp

1st half Spread Le Mans 0

LMA 0

62.1%

@ 1.72+7.8pp

ASV 0

37.9%

@ 2.05-7.8pp

1st half Over/Under 91.5

Over

38.9%

@ 2.25-3.9pp

Under

61.1%

@ 1.67+3.9pp

1st half Spread Le Mans -3.5

LMA -3.5

47.5%

@ 2.20+4.9pp

ASV +3.5

52.5%

@ 1.60-4.9pp

1st half Over/Under 84.5

Over

64.9%

@ 1.40-1.3pp

Under

35.1%

@ 2.75+1.3pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)

LMA

59.8%

@ 1.72+6.4pp

Draw

3.8%

@ 21.00-1.6pp

ASV

36.4%

@ 2.32-4.8pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	23.1	19.4	42.5	+3.7	63%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	20.0	44.1	+4.1	67%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	60%	40%
Last 10 (10)	24.1	16.2	40.3	+7.9	90%	30%
Last 5 (5)	23.0	16.8	39.8	+6.2	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	50%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	40%	60%
vs Weaker (18)	24.2	18.4	42.7	+5.8	78%	44%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.6	41.7	-1.4	37%	50%
Last 30 at home (18)	18.9	21.4	40.3	-2.4	28%	50%
Last 30 away (12)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	50%	50%
Last 10 (10)	22.4	21.8	44.2	+0.6	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	24.6	22.2	46.8	+2.4	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.7	23.0	42.7	-3.3	20%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.3	25.0	46.3	-3.7	17%	67%
vs Weaker (14)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	57%	43%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.4	47%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	33%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	20.1	41.9	+1.8	60%	27%
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.9	37.4	+1.6	40%	0%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	40%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	24.5	42.0	-7.0	0%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	50%	40%
vs Weaker (18)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	50%	22%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	60%	37%
Last 30 at home (18)	22.7	21.1	43.8	+1.6	61%	33%
Last 30 away (12)	20.9	22.4	43.3	-1.5	58%	42%
Last 10 (10)	23.9	24.4	48.3	-0.5	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	25.8	26.4	52.2	-0.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.6	50%	40%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	25.2	23.3	48.5	+1.8	83%	67%
vs Weaker (14)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	57%	21%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 88
Last 30 (30)	44.1	40.1	84.2	+4.0	70%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	41.3	85.6	+3.1	73%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	38.9	82.7	+5.0	67%	20%
Last 10 (10)	43.6	34.1	77.7	+9.5	90%	10%
Last 5 (5)	43.6	35.6	79.2	+8.0	100%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.5	45.0	83.5	-6.5	50%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	43.4	42.7	86.1	+0.7	70%	40%
vs Weaker (18)	45.1	38.1	83.2	+7.1	72%	33%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 88
Last 30 (30)	42.2	43.2	85.4	-1.0	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (18)	41.7	42.5	84.2	-0.8	39%	44%
Last 30 away (12)	42.9	44.2	87.2	-1.3	33%	50%
Last 10 (10)	46.3	46.2	92.5	+0.1	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	50.4	48.6	99.0	+1.8	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.9	45.8	86.7	-4.9	30%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	46.5	48.3	94.8	-1.8	17%	83%
vs Weaker (14)	41.2	39.1	80.4	+2.1	50%	29%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

LMA win + total 177.5

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ASV win + total 177.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

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Half-time / full-time: LMA leads at half

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Half-time / full-time: level at half

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Half-time / full-time: ASV leads at half

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Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

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Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

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Team with the highest-scoring quarter

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Highest-scoring half

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Double chance (regulation)

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Quarters won (LMA:ASV): LMA wins more

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🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds PRO1.20

Edge PRO

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge
Lyon-Villeurbanne under 95.5	81.2%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp
Le Mans +2.5	71.8%	1.43	Betano 1.45	1xBet 1.44	Bet365 1.44	Marathon Bet 1.40	-	+8.3pp
Lyon-Villeurbanne under 96.5	83.6%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp
1st half: Under 97.5	80.5%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp
Le Mans over 81.5	81.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp
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■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%

🔒 127 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 89.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game

47%

33%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	20.5	55.1%	55.6%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	11.2	36.4%	34.3%	33.6
🏀 Free throws	21.2	15.3	72.2%	74.2%	15.3

They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Lyon-Villeurbannetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lyon-Villeurbanne: 86.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game

47%

33%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	21.4	58.2%	55.6%	42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	9.5	38.3%	34.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.9	74.5%	74.2%	14.9

They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	22.1	53.0%	55.6%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	8.7	30.4%	34.3%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	17.5	14.3	81.7%	74.2%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	19.1	55.0%	55.6%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	11.7	39.1%	34.3%	35.1
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.4	73.5%	74.2%	14.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	20.8	53.7%	55.6%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	10.9	37.9%	34.3%	32.8
🏀 Free throws	20.4	14.4	70.5%	74.2%	14.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.4	18.3	58.1%	55.6%	36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	9.6	33.9%	34.3%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	18.8	13.9	73.8%	74.2%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	20.5	53.9%	55.6%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	9.1	32.9%	34.3%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	20.4	16.0	78.1%	74.2%	16.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.0	19.5	57.4%	55.6%	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.0	35.2%	34.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	19.4	13.9	71.6%	74.2%	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Le Mans

WWWWLWWWWW

Lyon-Villeurbanne

LWLLWWWLWL

League position

+5.8

Net rating

-1.8

98.7

Offensive rating

101.1

92.9

Defensive rating

102.9

54.9%

Effective FG%

57.9%

50.0%

Opp. effective FG%

56.7%

14.5%

Turnover %

15.8%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.32

36.4%

3-point %

38.3%

57.1%

Assist %

71.5%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Le Mans ■ Lyon-Villeurbanne

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Le Mans wins

Lyon-Villeurbanne wins

Date	Game	Score
25/01/26	Le Mans v Lyon-Villeurbanne	88-91
11/10/25	Lyon-Villeurbanne v Le Mans	91-66
12/05/25	Le Mans v Lyon-Villeurbanne	97-80
22/09/24	Lyon-Villeurbanne v Le Mans	85-71
27/01/24	Le Mans v Lyon-Villeurbanne	87-100
17/09/23	Lyon-Villeurbanne v Le Mans	89-75
23/05/23	Le Mans v Lyon-Villeurbanne	63-66
21/05/23	Lyon-Villeurbanne v Le Mans	103-73
04/04/23	Le Mans v Lyon-Villeurbanne	79-80
18/02/23	Le Mans v Lyon-Villeurbanne	65-90

Le Manslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	H	San Pablo Burgos	88-80
08/11/26	A	Strasbourg	94-69
04/11/26	A	Rigas Zelli	71-65
31/10/26	H	Pau-Orthez	106-97 OT
28/10/26	H	Hapoel Jerusalem	83-90
24/10/26	A	Boulazac	97-72
21/10/26	A	Cedevita Olimpija	84-66
18/10/26	H	JL Bourg	91-90
14/10/26	H	Rostock	82-70
11/10/26	A	Saint Quentin	98-87

Lyon-Villeurbannelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/26	H	Besiktas	91-95
07/11/26	H	Pau-Orthez	106-97
05/11/26	H	Bayern	95-99
01/11/26	A	Saint Quentin	94-99
30/10/26	H	Baskonia	94-79
28/10/26	H	Partizan	82-75
25/10/26	H	Nancy	78-74
23/10/26	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	85-105
17/10/26	A	Limoges	97-94 OT
15/10/26	A	Real Madrid	92-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Mans

LNB 2026-27

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	86%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	86%	67%	100%
Points / game	98.6	99.3	98.0
Allowed / game	87.9	96.7	81.2
Point differential	+10.7	+2.7	+16.8
Avg total	186.4	196.0	179.2
Over 177.5	71%	100%	50%
Win by 10+	43%	0%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	29%	33%	25%

Lyon-Villeurbanne

LNB 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	86%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WWWL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	86%	100%	75%
Points / game	91.1	93.3	89.5
Allowed / game	84.4	82.7	85.8
Point differential	+6.7	+10.7	+3.8
Avg total	175.6	176.0	175.2
Over 177.5	57%	33%	75%
Win by 10+	29%	33%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	14%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Paris	9	8	1	89%	97.2	85.9	+11.3
2	Dijon	7	6	1	86%	93.1	81.7	+11.4
3	Le Mans	7	6	1	86%	98.6	87.9	+10.7
4	Lyon-Villeurbanne	7	6	1	86%	91.1	84.4	+6.7
5	Nanterre	7	5	2	71%	86.7	79.7	+7.0
6	Chalon/Saone	8	5	3	62%	93.6	83.8	+9.9
7	Roanne	8	5	3	62%	81.9	80.0	+1.9
8	Strasbourg	9	5	4	56%	82.0	87.1	-5.1
9	Cholet	9	4	5	44%	81.0	86.0	-5.0
10	Boulazac	8	3	5	38%	80.1	85.4	-5.2
11	Nancy	7	2	5	29%	79.3	83.9	-4.6
12	Limoges	8	2	6	25%	85.9	90.0	-4.1
13	JL Bourg	8	2	6	25%	87.1	92.1	-5.0
14	Pau-Orthez	8	2	6	25%	83.6	90.4	-6.8
15	Saint Quentin	9	2	7	22%	86.0	93.2	-7.2
16	Gravelines-Dunkerque	7	0	7	0%	76.7	89.6	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Le Mans vs Lyon-Villeurbanne Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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