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Le Mans vs Mersin SK Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 113-83
31-16 19-15 31-27 32-25
Position#14
Record3-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game75.0
Le Mans 🏆
vs
Position#22
Record4-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game85.1
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final· Antares
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Mans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mersin SK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le MansLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
77avg 91
H18/11
Champions League
Nancy
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
72avg 91
A22/11
LNB
La Rochelle
#10
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
100avg 91
A02/12
French Cup
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
87-93
87
93
-6
77avg 91
H06/12
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
88-98
88
98
-10
81avg 91
A12/12
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#28
W
76-61
76
61
+15
64avg 91
H16/12
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
87-66
87
66
+21
80avg 91
H20/12
LNB
Limoges
#13
W
110-83
110
83
+27
109avg 91
A23/12
LNB
Saint Quentin
#14
W
90-74
90
74
+16
86avg 91
H26/12
LNB
Mersin SK
#22
W
92-65
92
65
+27
91avg 91
A06/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
21-25
30-24
13-25
24-14
22-22
15-20
17-20
17-23
23-16
21-23
23-22
30-19
16-27
18-19
23-28
17-27
25-23
20-22
26-26
17-16
14-10
32-23
13-12
21-9
19-19
25-21
22-17
28-20
34-19
23-24
25-20
19-10
32-22
20-21
19-21
15-17
24-17
29-12
24-19
171.1Avg total
90.4Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.375.0157.3+7.343%
Season at home (3)84.373.3157.7+11.067%
Season away (4)80.876.2157.0+4.525%
Last 10 (10)90.480.7171.1+9.770%
Last 5 (5)91.069.8160.8+21.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.096.5183.5-9.550%
vs Similar (14)84.186.9170.9-2.843%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.077.8166.8+11.279%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#5
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 78
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
92-87
92
87
+5
93avg 78
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
77-88
77
88
-11
65avg 78
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
W
80-72
80
72
+8
78avg 78
A09/12
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 78
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#46
W
84-76
84
76
+8
84avg 78
H17/12
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
L
88-99
88
99
-11
84avg 78
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
110-92
110
92
+18
110avg 78
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
79avg 78
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Le Mans
#14
L
65-92
65
92
-27
60avg 78
H06/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
14-23
26-27
20-21
22-17
19-23
22-17
29-30
22-24
19-22
19-20
17-22
26-10
20-18
17-18
17-26
21-28
24-16
18-29
20-15
18-16
26-17
23-15
17-28
22-20
23-24
20-23
23-32
33-23
33-18
18-22
26-29
16-23
27-29
24-20
13-21
17-15
17-24
12-29
19-24
172.4Avg total
84.1Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.685.1164.7-5.657%
Season at home (4)76.885.2162.0-8.550%
Season away (3)83.385.0168.3-1.767%
Last 10 (10)84.188.3172.4-4.240%
Last 5 (5)85.490.4175.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.487.9162.4-13.57%
vs Similar (14)88.182.4170.5+5.671%
vs Weaker (2)77.580.5158.0-3.050%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -4.7-4.7
Le MansMersin SK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H18/11
Champions League
Nancy
#10
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A22/11
LNB
La Rochelle
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/12
French Cup
Chalon/Saone
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H06/12
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A12/12
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#28
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H16/12
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H20/12
LNB
Limoges
#13
W
62-39
62
39
+23
A23/12
LNB
Saint Quentin
#14
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H26/12
LNB
Mersin SK
#22
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A06/01
Champions League
81.3Avg total
44.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.783.2+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.940.184.0+3.764%-
Last 30 away (16)41.441.282.6+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)44.237.181.3+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)44.631.876.4+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.046.085.0-7.050%-
vs Similar (14)40.943.083.9-2.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.637.682.3+7.071%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#5
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A09/12
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#46
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H17/12
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Le Mans
#14
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H06/01
Champions League
85.6Avg total
44.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.084.1-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.843.486.2-0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)39.342.581.8-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.585.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.888.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.446.582.9-10.114%-
vs Similar (14)45.639.485.1+6.271%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.586.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.8
54.5%
52.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.311.3
41.4%
33.8%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.512.1
69.1%
74.1%12.1
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin SK: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.9
53.8%
52.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.8
35.5%
33.8%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.415.1
70.6%
74.1%15.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Mans
WWWWWLLWWL
Mersin SK
LLWLWLWLWL
#14
League position
#22
+13.0
Net rating
-5.1
117.7
Offensive rating
112.5
104.7
Defensive rating
117.7
57.6%
Effective FG%
53.5%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.34
41.4%
3-point %
35.5%
56.8%
Assist %
82.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 112.5Defence104.7 · 117.7Shooting57.6% · 53.5%3-point %41.4% · 35.5%Ball care16.3% · 18.1%Off. rebounds32.9% · 33.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Le Mans   ■ Mersin SK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Le Mans wins
0
Mersin SK wins
DateGameScore
06/01/26Mersin SK v Le Mans65-92
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26AMersin SK92-65
26/12/25HSaint Quentin90-74
23/12/25ALimoges110-83
20/12/25HGravelines-Dunkerque87-66
16/12/25HSpartak Subotica76-61
12/12/25ANanterre88-98
06/12/25HChalon/Saone87-93
02/12/25ALa Rochelle108-101 OT
22/11/25ANancy78-76
18/11/25HGran Canaria88-90
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26HLe Mans65-92
04/01/26AAnadolu Efes80-93
27/12/25HMerkezefendi110-92
21/12/25ABursaspor88-99
17/12/25HOostende84-76
14/12/25HEsenler Erokspor83-88
09/12/25AAS Karditsas80-72
06/12/25ABuyukcekmece77-88
21/11/25HKarsiyaka92-87
15/11/25HTurk Telekom82-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Mans
Champions League 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game82.384.380.8
Allowed / game75.073.376.2
Point differential+7.3+11.0+4.5
Avg total157.3157.7157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mersin SK
Champions League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game79.676.883.3
Allowed / game85.185.285.0
Point differential-5.6-8.5-1.7
Avg total164.7162.0168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja660100%95.872.5+23.3
2 Gran Canaria660100%86.370.8+15.5
3 Joventut Badalona660100%88.575.8+12.7
4 Chalon/Saone1110191%93.483.6+9.7
5 Alba Berlin65183%91.580.5+11.0
6 AEK Athens65183%82.371.8+10.5
7 Galatasaray65183%89.079.0+10.0
8 Tenerife64267%86.579.0+7.5
9 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
10 Rytas64267%94.089.0+5.0
11 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
12 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
13 Levice117464%80.078.7+1.3
14 Wurzburg85362%80.475.0+5.4
15 Hapoel Holon74357%81.375.1+6.1
16 Tofas74357%83.483.7-0.3
17 Mersin SK74357%79.685.1-5.6
18 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
19 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
20 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
21 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
22 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
23 AS Karditsas84450%79.284.5-5.2
24 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
25 Le Mans73443%82.375.0+7.3
26 Trieste73443%83.383.0+0.3
27 Cholet73443%87.787.6+0.1
28 Szolnoki Olaj73443%73.374.4-1.1
29 Trapani73443%75.179.1-4.0
30 Spartak Subotica83538%78.279.4-1.1
31 Nymburk83538%82.885.0-2.2
32 Heidelberg83538%79.582.1-2.6
33 Promitheas83538%80.186.5-6.4
34 Legia62433%78.077.8+0.2
35 Bnei Herzliya62433%84.890.5-5.7
36 Bursaspor93633%76.883.0-6.2
37 Sabah Baku61517%81.090.7-9.7
38 VEF Riga61517%68.580.0-11.5
39 Igokea61517%75.387.0-11.7
40 Benfica61517%71.592.2-20.7
41 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
42 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
43 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
44 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
45 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
46 Oostende6060%81.092.7-11.7
47 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
48 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
49 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
51 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
52 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
53 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 53 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Le Mans31193132113
Mersin SK1615272583
← all games of the day
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