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Le Mans vs Nanterre Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 10 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game79.7
FranceLNBRound 26· Antares
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Le Mans v Nanterre
10 Apr 2027
LMA v NAN
upcoming
27 May 2026
LMA55
NAN64
07 Mar 2026
LMA79
NAN71
12 Oct 2024
LMA94
NAN87
09 Mar 2024
LMA76
NAN89
16 May 2023
LMA88
NAN74
05 Oct 2021
LMA86
NAN75
12 Jun 2021
LMA95
NAN86
25 Jan 2020
LMA79
NAN85
13 Apr 2019
LMA75
NAN84
17 Feb 2018
LMA82
NAN74
11 Dec 2017
LMA83
NAN87
22 Apr 2017
LMA79
NAN96
11 Feb 2017
LMA75
NAN85
26 Mar 2016
LMA84
NAN82
24 Mar 2015
LMA63
NAN81
16 Feb 2014
LMA64
NAN59
18 Jan 2014
LMA80
NAN72
09 Feb 2013
LMA81
NAN91
08 Oct 2011
LMA78
NAN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Mans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nanterre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
W
98-87
98
87
+11
90avg 81
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
82-70
82
70
+12
73avg 81
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#13
W
91-90
91
90
+1
91avg 81
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 81
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#10
W
97-72
97
72
+25
94avg 81
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
70avg 81
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
106-97 OT
106
97
+9
103avg 81
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
71-65
71
65
+6
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
25-18
25-16
24-20
19-18
32-16
20-18
11-18
26-28
22-24
26-20
17-18
22-16
21-22
28-14
13-14
16-19
27-28
27-10
27-15
19-21
21-27
27-17
16-25
16-15
24-29
27-20
20-23
18-27
10-13
19-9
24-16
20-19
32-17
18-22
24-11
18-25
27-20
24-16
19-19
168.0Avg total
89.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.687.9186.4+10.786%
Season at home (3)99.396.7196.0+2.767%
Season away (4)98.081.2179.2+16.8100%
Last 10 (10)89.478.6168.0+10.890%
Last 5 (5)88.480.2168.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.588.5167.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.588.0169.5-6.520%
vs Weaker (18)93.881.4175.2+12.394%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNanterre
Date
Competition
Roanne
#7
L
83-93
83
93
-10
75avg 77
A02/10
LNB
Trabzonspor
#26
L
83-93 OT
83
93
-10
74avg 77
A07/10
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
101-73
101
73
+28
99avg 77
H10/10
LNB
Rytas
#8
W
93-65
93
65
+28
87avg 77
H13/10
Champions League
Nancy
#11
L
65-80
65
80
-15
51avg 77
A17/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
W
86-69
86
69
+17
90avg 77
H24/10
LNB
Sabah Baku
#24
L
80-87
80
87
-7
74avg 77
A27/10
Champions League
JL Bourg
#13
W
101-98
101
98
+3
97avg 77
A31/10
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
93-81
93
81
+12
no box
H07/11
LNB
Rytas
#8
L
82-102
82
102
-20
no box
A11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
24-23
17-19
19-27
19-18
22-27
13-19
22-12
21-19
22-20
28-17
30-17
21-17
14-13
31-15
27-20
20-19
18-27
16-19
11-15
23-17
21-17
22-17
20-18
21-23
19-26
22-20
18-18
13-31
34-25
24-18
30-24
22-16
32-19
20-23
19-23
16-32
20-20
25-22
21-28
170.8Avg total
86.7Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.779.7166.4+7.071%
Season at home (4)89.571.8161.2+17.8100%
Season away (3)83.090.3173.3-7.333%
Last 10 (10)86.784.1170.8+2.650%
Last 5 (5)88.487.4175.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.087.7176.7+1.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.082.8161.8-3.833%
vs Weaker (15)87.779.0166.7+8.773%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +7.9+7.9Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +7.9+7.9Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
Le MansNanterre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#13
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#20
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H11/11
Eurocup
87.4Avg total
43.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.386.7+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.043.287.2+0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.586.2-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.943.587.4+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.683.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.043.583.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.145.383.4-7.220%-
vs Weaker (18)46.742.288.9+4.450%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roanne
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A02/10
LNB
Trabzonspor
#26
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/10
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/10
LNB
Rytas
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H13/10
Champions League
Nancy
#11
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H24/10
LNB
Sabah Baku
#24
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A27/10
Champions League
JL Bourg
#13
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A31/10
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H07/11
LNB
Rytas
#8
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A11/11
Champions League
85.8Avg total
42.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.684.0+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.837.979.7+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)43.045.288.2-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.385.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.245.289.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.742.786.3+1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.242.582.7-2.342%-
vs Weaker (15)43.940.684.5+3.367%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.5
55.1%
55.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.2
36.4%
34.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
74.2%15.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.5
54.0%
55.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.5
31.5%
34.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.215.6
70.3%
74.2%15.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Mans
WWWWLWWWWW
Nanterre
LWWLWLWWLL
#3
League position
#5
+5.8
Net rating
+3.4
98.7
Offensive rating
96.2
92.9
Defensive rating
92.8
54.9%
Effective FG%
51.3%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.4%
3-point %
31.5%
57.1%
Assist %
67.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 96.2Defence92.9 · 92.8Shooting54.9% · 51.3%3-point %36.4% · 31.5%Ball care14.5% · 14.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Le Mans   ■ Nanterre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Le Mans wins
5
Nanterre wins
DateGameScore
27/05/26Le Mans v Nanterre55-64
25/05/26Nanterre v Le Mans90-74
07/03/26Le Mans v Nanterre79-71
12/12/25Nanterre v Le Mans98-88
18/01/25Nanterre v Le Mans67-85
12/10/24Le Mans v Nanterre94-87
09/03/24Le Mans v Nanterre76-89
04/10/23Nanterre v Le Mans93-81
16/05/23Le Mans v Nanterre88-74
23/12/22Nanterre v Le Mans74-85
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos88-80
08/11/26AStrasbourg94-69
04/11/26ARigas Zelli71-65
31/10/26HPau-Orthez106-97 OT
28/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem83-90
24/10/26ABoulazac97-72
21/10/26ACedevita Olimpija84-66
18/10/26HJL Bourg91-90
14/10/26HRostock82-70
11/10/26ASaint Quentin98-87
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ARytas82-102
07/11/26HChalon/Saone93-81
31/10/26AJL Bourg101-98
27/10/26ASabah Baku80-87
24/10/26HCholet86-69
17/10/26ANancy65-80
13/10/26HRytas93-65
10/10/26HGravelines-Dunkerque101-73
07/10/26ATrabzonspor83-93 OT
02/10/26ARoanne83-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Mans
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game98.699.398.0
Allowed / game87.996.781.2
Point differential+10.7+2.7+16.8
Avg total186.4196.0179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %29%33%25%
Nanterre
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game86.789.583.0
Allowed / game79.771.890.3
Point differential+7.0+17.8-7.3
Avg total166.4161.2173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
12 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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