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Le Mans vs Saint Quentin Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game93.2
FranceLNBRound 16· Antares
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Le Mans v Saint Quentin
16 Jan 2027
LMA v SQU
upcoming
26 Dec 2025
LMA90
SQU74
15 Feb 2025
LMA88
SQU85
28 Sep 2024
LMA69
SQU83
16 Dec 2023
LMA76
SQU77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Mans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Saint Quentin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
W
98-87
98
87
+11
90avg 82
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
82-70
82
70
+12
73avg 82
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#13
W
91-90
91
90
+1
91avg 82
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 82
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#10
W
97-72
97
72
+25
94avg 82
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
70avg 82
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
106-97 OT
106
97
+9
103avg 82
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
71-65
71
65
+6
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
25-18
25-16
24-20
19-18
32-16
20-18
11-18
26-28
22-24
26-20
17-18
22-16
21-22
28-14
13-14
16-19
27-28
27-10
27-15
19-21
21-27
27-17
16-25
16-15
24-29
27-20
20-23
18-27
10-13
19-9
24-16
20-19
32-17
18-22
24-11
18-25
27-20
24-16
19-19
168.0Avg total
89.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.687.9186.4+10.786%
Season at home (3)99.396.7196.0+2.767%
Season away (4)98.081.2179.2+16.8100%
Last 10 (10)89.478.6168.0+10.890%
Last 5 (5)88.480.2168.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.588.5167.0-10.00%
vs Similar (10)81.588.0169.5-6.520%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)93.881.4175.2+12.394%
This opponent (Saint Quentin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saint QuentinFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuentin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
L
73-76
73
76
-3
54avg 77
A31/05
Pro B
JL Bourg
#13
W
106-103 OT
106
103
+3
97avg 77
H26/09
LNB
Limoges
#12
L
75-92
75
92
-17
69avg 77
A03/10
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
81avg 77
H11/10
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#14
L
89-102
89
102
-13
84avg 77
A17/10
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
71avg 77
H23/10
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
94-98
94
98
-4
92avg 77
H27/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
99-94
99
94
+5
96avg 77
H01/11
LNB
Roanne
#7
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
A07/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
20-20
20-22
10-15
21-26
26-28
17-23
30-17
20-19
16-25
15-28
24-20
33-24
18-25
16-25
20-24
34-30
16-31
22-14
17-27
21-25
15-24
27-22
18-20
33-24
19-23
21-26
21-25
18-18
27-21
24-29
30-26
23-16
14-23
19-16
12-25
12-21
20-14
20-31
23-15
176.2Avg total
84.7Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.093.2179.2-7.222%
Season at home (6)90.394.2184.5-3.833%
Season away (3)77.391.3168.7-14.00%
Last 10 (10)84.791.5176.2-6.820%
Last 5 (5)83.488.8172.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)84.289.9174.2-5.726%
vs Similar (9)83.390.9174.2-7.622%
vs Weaker (2)102.576.5179.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +7.9+7.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +7.9+7.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
Le MansSaint Quentin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#13
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#20
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H11/11
Eurocup
87.4Avg total
43.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.386.7+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.043.287.2+0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.586.2-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.943.587.4+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.683.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.043.583.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (10)38.145.383.4-7.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.742.288.9+4.450%-
This opponent (Saint Quentin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saint QuentinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A31/05
Pro B
JL Bourg
#13
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H26/09
LNB
Limoges
#12
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A03/10
LNB
Le Mans
#3
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H11/10
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#14
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A17/10
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H23/10
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H27/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H01/11
LNB
Roanne
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A07/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/11
LNB
88.5Avg total
42.9Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.285.8-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.144.086.1-1.938%-
Last 30 away (14)41.144.485.5-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)42.945.688.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.882.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)42.343.886.1-1.542%-
vs Similar (9)39.444.884.2-5.311%-
vs Weaker (2)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.5
55.1%
55.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.2
36.4%
34.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
74.2%15.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Saint Quentintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saint Quentin: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.9
49.6%
55.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.1
36.8%
34.3%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.817.0
74.6%
74.2%17.0
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Mans
WWWWLWWWWW
Saint Quentin
LLWLLLLLWL
#3
League position
#15
+5.8
Net rating
-5.8
98.7
Offensive rating
95.1
92.9
Defensive rating
101.0
54.9%
Effective FG%
52.0%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.4%
3-point %
36.8%
57.1%
Assist %
65.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 95.1Defence92.9 · 101.0Shooting54.9% · 52.0%3-point %36.4% · 36.8%Ball care14.5% · 15.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Le Mans   ■ Saint Quentin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Le Mans wins
3
Saint Quentin wins
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos88-80
08/11/26AStrasbourg94-69
04/11/26ARigas Zelli71-65
31/10/26HPau-Orthez106-97 OT
28/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem83-90
24/10/26ABoulazac97-72
21/10/26ACedevita Olimpija84-66
18/10/26HJL Bourg91-90
14/10/26HRostock82-70
11/10/26ASaint Quentin98-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCholet75-81
07/11/26ARoanne68-80
01/11/26HLyon-Villeurbanne99-94
27/10/26HStrasbourg94-98
23/10/26HDijon81-91
17/10/26APau-Orthez89-102
11/10/26HLe Mans87-98
03/10/26ALimoges75-92
26/09/26HJL Bourg106-103 OT
31/05/26APoitiers73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Mans
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game98.699.398.0
Allowed / game87.996.781.2
Point differential+10.7+2.7+16.8
Avg total186.4196.0179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %29%33%25%
Saint Quentin
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %22%33%0%
Points / game86.090.377.3
Allowed / game93.294.291.3
Point differential-7.2-3.8-14.0
Avg total179.2184.5168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %11%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
12 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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