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Leganes W vs Zaragoza W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game61.7
Allowed / game69.4
Leganes W
Spain
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Zaragoza W
Spain
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game59.7
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 16
Women2026-27
Meetings · Leganes W v Zaragoza W
03 Jan 2027
LEGA v ZARA
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
LEGA47
ZARA68
15 Apr 2023
LEGA73
ZARA84
09 Jan 2022
LEGA75
ZARA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leganes W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zaragoza W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leganes WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ferrol W
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
50avg 58
A25/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
82-82
82
82
+0
70avg 58
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
63-89
63
89
-26
44avg 58
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
W
66-63
66
63
+3
no box
H03/10
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#8
L
60-70
60
70
-10
52avg 58
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
L
49-70
49
70
-21
39avg 58
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
68avg 58
A17/10
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#16
W
63-58
63
58
+5
57avg 58
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
51-76
51
76
-25
no box
A01/11
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#6
L
64-66
64
66
-2
no box
H06/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-28
15-26
21-12
27-14
27-15
22-28
20-19
13-20
18-30
13-23
12-22
20-14
16-16
19-20
17-11
14-16
12-25
21-18
18-17
9-10
9-12
15-21
13-18
12-19
17-26
13-17
28-23
21-17
16-14
14-16
17-14
16-14
21-19
10-22
8-18
12-17
15-18
16-19
20-14
13-15
138.3Avg total
64.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)61.769.4131.1-7.729%
Season at home (4)60.564.2124.8-3.850%
Season away (3)63.376.3139.7-13.00%
Last 10 (10)64.673.7138.3-9.120%
Last 5 (5)61.270.6131.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)63.276.1139.2-12.915%
vs Similar (13)70.266.2136.5+4.069%
vs Weaker (4)80.255.5135.8+24.8100%
This opponent (Zaragoza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
108-72
108
72
+36
118avg 74
A07/10
Liga Femenina W
Celta W
#14
W
83-52
83
52
+31
81avg 74
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Landes W
#12
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
68avg 74
H14/10
Euroleague Women
Ensino W
#15
W
95-64
95
64
+31
103avg 74
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Athinaikos W
#14
W
89-78
89
78
+11
91avg 74
A21/10
Euroleague Women
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
W
83-71
83
71
+12
79avg 74
A25/10
Liga Femenina W
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#8
W
77-55
77
55
+22
74avg 74
H29/10
Euroleague Women
Leganes W
#11
W
76-51
76
51
+25
no box
H01/11
Liga Femenina W
Landes W
#12
W
70-69
70
69
+1
no box
A03/11
Euroleague Women
Estudiantes W
#12
W
68-67
68
67
+1
no box
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
28-16
34-26
25-15
13-12
23-11
25-18
22-11
25-14
13-20
19-20
11-14
24-18
27-21
19-13
25-12
25-12
21-23
20-23
23-20
20-13
23-19
21-24
19-15
25-22
20-9
18-6
14-18
19-21
22-10
18-8
17-12
15-12
19-20
19-22
17-15
22-22
17-11
21-11
8-23
147.9Avg total
82.5Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.059.7142.7+23.3100%
Season at home (3)79.752.0131.7+27.7100%
Season away (4)85.565.5151.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.565.4147.9+17.1100%
Last 5 (5)74.862.6137.4+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.063.0119.0-7.00%
vs Similar (7)72.366.3138.6+6.071%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)81.863.2145.0+18.595%
This opponent (Leganes W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
Leganes WZaragoza W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leganes WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferrol W
#8
L
21-54
21
54
-33
A25/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/10
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A17/10
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#16
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/11
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#6
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H06/11
Liga Femenina W
72.8Avg total
31.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.036.771.7-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.736.172.8+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)33.037.570.5-4.536%-
Last 10 (10)31.541.372.8-9.810%-
Last 5 (5)29.236.866.0-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.641.274.8-7.615%-
vs Similar (13)35.034.069.0+1.069%-
vs Weaker (4)39.231.070.2+8.275%-
This opponent (Zaragoza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A07/10
Liga Femenina W
Celta W
#14
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Landes W
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H14/10
Euroleague Women
Ensino W
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Athinaikos W
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A21/10
Euroleague Women
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A25/10
Liga Femenina W
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#8
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H29/10
Euroleague Women
Leganes W
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H01/11
Liga Femenina W
Landes W
#12
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A03/11
Euroleague Women
Estudiantes W
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
74.3Avg total
42.2Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.432.071.4+7.477%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.130.771.8+10.479%-
Last 30 away (16)38.033.171.1+4.975%-
Last 10 (10)42.232.174.3+10.1100%-
Last 5 (5)40.431.872.2+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.037.057.0-17.00%-
vs Similar (7)38.033.971.9+4.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)40.831.272.0+9.682%-
This opponent (Leganes W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leganes Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leganes W: 66.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.918.5
44.2%
46.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.0
24.6%
30.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws17.311.9
68.8%
74.7%11.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zaragoza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zaragoza W: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.1
52.5%
46.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.1
34.2%
30.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.214.4
75.0%
74.7%14.4
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leganes W
LLWLLLWLLL
Zaragoza W
WWWWWWWWWW
#11
League position
#1
-8.8
Net rating
+21.4
93.5
Offensive rating
108.3
102.3
Defensive rating
86.9
41.5%
Effective FG%
52.0%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
43.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
4.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
24.6%
3-point %
34.2%
57.6%
Assist %
71.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 108.3Defence102.3 · 86.9Shooting41.5% · 52.0%3-point %24.6% · 34.2%Ball care0.0% · 4.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 100%
■ Leganes W   ■ Zaragoza W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leganes W wins
6
Zaragoza W wins
DateGameScore
01/11/26Zaragoza W v Leganes W76-51
08/04/26Zaragoza W v Leganes W73-50
12/10/25Leganes W v Zaragoza W47-68
15/04/23Leganes W v Zaragoza W73-84
11/12/22Zaragoza W v Leganes W87-93 OT
09/01/22Leganes W v Zaragoza W75-80
26/09/21Zaragoza W v Leganes W64-60
Leganes Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HFerrol W64-66
01/11/26AZaragoza W51-76
24/10/26HAraski W63-58
17/10/26AGernika Bizkaia W79-83
11/10/26HIDK Gipuzkoa W49-70
08/10/26ACadi La Seu W60-70
03/10/26HJairis W66-63
03/05/26AUni Girona W63-89
30/04/26HUni Girona W82-82
25/04/26AFerrol W69-80
Zaragoza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AEstudiantes W68-67
03/11/26ALandes W70-69
01/11/26HLeganes W76-51
29/10/26HKibirkstis Vilnius W77-55
25/10/26APerfumerias Avenida W83-71
21/10/26AAthinaikos W89-78
17/10/26HEnsino W95-64
14/10/26HLandes W76-75 OT
11/10/26ACelta W83-52
07/10/26AGernika Bizkaia W108-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leganes W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game61.760.563.3
Allowed / game69.464.276.3
Point differential-7.7-3.8-13.0
Avg total131.1124.8139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zaragoza W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.079.785.5
Allowed / game59.752.065.5
Point differential+23.3+27.7+20.0
Avg total142.7131.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W770100%83.059.7+23.3
2 Valencia W76186%82.164.9+17.3
3 Mallorca Palma W76186%78.164.9+13.3
4 Jairis W76186%72.661.4+11.1
5 IDK Gipuzkoa W75271%70.164.6+5.6
6 Ferrol W75271%72.975.7-2.9
7 Estepona W74357%67.064.3+2.7
8 Cadi La Seu W74357%64.165.4-1.3
9 Gernika Bizkaia W74357%77.380.3-3.0
10 Perfumerias Avenida W72529%71.475.6-4.1
11 Leganes W72529%61.769.4-7.7
12 Estudiantes W72529%66.775.1-8.4
13 Uni Girona W71614%66.171.1-5.0
14 Celta W71614%65.977.4-11.6
15 Ensino W71614%60.975.1-14.3
16 Araski W7070%60.775.7-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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