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Leiden vs Almere Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position-
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
NetherlandsDBLRound 7
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Almere win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenNetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#40
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A13/09
Champions League
Minsk
#22
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A15/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#1
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A24/09
DBL
QSTA Utd
#7
W
104-82
104
82
+22
H26/09
DBL
Amsterdam
#6
W
88-58
88
58
+30
A30/09
DBL
Feyenoord
#20
W
83-50
83
50
+33
A06/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#5
W
101-83
101
83
+18
H09/10
DBL
Iraklis
#25
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#3
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A17/10
DBL
Mornar Bar
#27
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
17-18
14-20
24-15
19-15
12-19
15-12
21-23
19-20
11-14
22-14
12-24
28-10
21-25
30-20
25-27
25-14
23-20
21-9
19-15
18-8
23-14
24-15
18-13
16-21
24-17
33-14
28-31
25-24
12-14
16-13
18-12
21-15
15-24
17-15
22-14
28-25
13-20
23-17
10-25
150.9Avg total
80.3Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.472.6159.0+13.880%
Season at home (2)102.582.5185.0+20.0100%
Season away (3)75.766.0141.7+9.767%
Last 10 (10)80.370.6150.9+9.770%
Last 5 (5)80.870.2151.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)88.783.3172.0+5.367%
vs Weaker (25)87.478.0165.4+9.376%
AlmereNetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hague
#10
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A18/03
DBL
QSTA Utd
#2
L
53-89
53
89
-36
H20/03
DBL
LWD Basket
#11
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A27/03
DBL
Amsterdam
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A31/03
DBL
BAL Weert
#6
L
58-96
58
96
-38
A03/04
DBL
Hague
#10
L
73-95
73
95
-22
H05/04
DBL
QSTA Utd
#2
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A11/04
DBL
LWD Basket
#11
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H17/04
DBL
Amsterdam
#9
L
74-93
74
93
-19
H22/04
DBL
BAL Weert
#1
L
51-114
51
114
-63
A24/04
DBL Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
24-20
10-25
24-19
12-18
13-27
13-30
15-14
15-19
14-26
18-27
25-18
18-9
28-22
17-17
17-29
13-22
7-30
23-24
15-20
17-16
15-30
24-23
17-26
20-27
17-26
25-25
25-18
17-23
17-22
21-15
21-26
22-19
20-22
19-24
13-28
5-32
19-33
10-24
17-25
162.3Avg total
70.6Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.691.7162.3-21.120%
Last 5 (5)72.296.8169.0-24.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)71.294.7166.0-23.514%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -8.4-8.4Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
LeidenAlmere
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#40
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A13/09
Champions League
Minsk
#22
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A24/09
DBL
QSTA Utd
#7
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H26/09
DBL
Amsterdam
#6
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A30/09
DBL
Feyenoord
#20
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A06/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H09/10
DBL
Iraklis
#25
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A17/10
DBL
Mornar Bar
#27
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
74.9Avg total
39.1Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.684.3+3.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.942.789.6+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.038.879.8+2.238%-
Last 10 (10)39.135.874.9+3.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.475.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)51.340.792.0+10.767%-
vs Weaker (25)43.240.483.6+2.748%-
AlmereLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hague
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A18/03
DBL
QSTA Utd
#2
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H20/03
DBL
LWD Basket
#11
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/03
DBL
Amsterdam
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A31/03
DBL
BAL Weert
#6
L
20-52
20
52
-32
A03/04
DBL
Hague
#10
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H05/04
DBL
QSTA Utd
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A11/04
DBL
LWD Basket
#11
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H17/04
DBL
Amsterdam
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/04
DBL
BAL Weert
#1
L
24-65
24
65
-41
A24/04
DBL Cup
79.7Avg total
33.7Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)33.348.181.4-14.817%-
Last 30 at home (11)32.247.479.5-15.218%-
Last 30 away (12)34.348.883.1-14.417%-
Last 10 (10)33.746.079.7-12.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.850.083.8-16.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)33.747.381.0-13.618%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
-37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
-21.0
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
-11.5
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Almeretheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leiden wins
0
Almere wins
DateGameScore
27/02/21Leiden v Almere124-79
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/21AMornar Bar74-87
17/10/21AZwolle75-68
13/10/21HIraklis71-63
09/10/21HFeyenoord101-83
06/10/21AFeyenoord83-50
30/09/21AAmsterdam88-58
26/09/21HQSTA Utd104-82
24/09/21ADen Bosch64-72
15/09/21AMinsk67-69
13/09/21ABelfius Mons76-74
Almerelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/21ABAL Weert51-114
22/04/21HAmsterdam74-93
17/04/21HLWD Basket76-86
11/04/21AQSTA Utd87-96
05/04/21HHague73-95
03/04/21ABAL Weert58-96
31/03/21AAmsterdam80-77
27/03/21ALWD Basket72-90
20/03/21HQSTA Utd53-89
18/03/21AHague82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
DBL 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game86.4102.575.7
Allowed / game72.682.566.0
Point differential+13.8+20.0+9.7
Avg total159.0185.0141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Almere
DBL 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch770100%83.465.1+18.3
2 Leiden54180%86.472.6+13.8
3 Feyenoord53260%78.476.8+1.6
4 LWD Basket53260%79.878.2+1.6
5 Amsterdam74357%65.678.3-12.7
6 Donar Groningen63350%80.768.0+12.7
7 Zwolle42250%71.870.0+1.8
8 BAL Weert73443%72.777.7-5.0
9 QSTA Utd41325%79.583.0-3.5
10 Hague61517%66.280.3-14.2
11 Den Helder6060%70.582.7-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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