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Mornar Bar vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-74
25-28 20-13 17-23 25-10
Position#27
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game75.0
Mornar Bar 🏆
vs
Leiden
Position#10
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game63.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
A08/06
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
77-97
77
97
-20
no box
A10/06
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H12/06
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
no box
A14/06
Prva A Liga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#11
L
89-104
89
104
-15
83avg 73
H15/09
Champions League
Cibona
#8
L
77-87
77
87
-10
61avg 73
H24/09
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 73
A02/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
85-90
85
90
-5
72avg 73
H09/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
no box
A12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FMP Beograd
#6
L
81-83
81
83
-2
68avg 73
A17/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
18-22
22-21
20-10
18-22
18-31
16-29
25-15
16-20
23-20
17-15
17-25
20-21
12-20
19-30
19-23
17-19
21-33
25-33
26-19
16-28
16-23
27-16
18-20
28-25
10-20
16-21
26-23
22-23
15-22
18-15
30-30
11-23
13-14
21-15
23-23
27-20
14-21
21-19
19-23
165.4Avg total
78.1Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.075.0143.0-7.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.075.0143.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)78.187.3165.4-9.210%
Last 5 (5)78.284.8163.0-6.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.585.7166.2-5.230%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.587.5169.0-6.118%
vs Weaker (7)73.765.4139.1+8.371%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#4
W
90-74
90
74
+16
no box
H27/05
DBL
Belfius Mons
#40
W
76-74
76
74
+2
80avg 72
A13/09
Champions League
Minsk
#22
L
67-69
67
69
-2
65avg 72
A15/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#1
L
64-72
64
72
-8
no box
A24/09
DBL
QSTA Utd
#7
W
104-82
104
82
+22
no box
H26/09
DBL
Amsterdam
#6
W
88-58
88
58
+30
no box
A30/09
DBL
Feyenoord
#20
W
83-50
83
50
+33
no box
A06/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#5
W
101-83
101
83
+18
no box
H09/10
DBL
Iraklis
#25
W
71-63
71
63
+8
no box
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#3
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
A17/10
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
29-20
25-13
16-18
21-21
17-18
14-20
24-15
19-15
12-19
15-12
21-23
19-20
11-14
22-14
12-24
28-10
21-25
30-20
25-27
25-14
23-20
21-9
19-15
18-8
23-14
24-15
18-13
16-21
24-17
33-14
28-31
25-24
12-14
16-13
18-12
21-15
15-24
17-15
22-14
151.2Avg total
81.9Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.063.0134.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)71.063.0134.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.969.3151.2+12.680%
Last 5 (5)83.664.4148.0+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)96.081.5177.5+14.5100%
vs Weaker (26)87.377.8165.2+9.577%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
Mornar BarLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/06
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A10/06
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H12/06
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A14/06
Prva A Liga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#11
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H15/09
Champions League
Cibona
#8
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H24/09
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H09/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FMP Beograd
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/10
ABA League
80.4Avg total
35.6Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.844.786.4-2.934%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.444.689.0-0.246%-
Last 30 away (16)39.644.884.4-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)35.644.880.4-9.20%-
Last 5 (5)34.443.878.2-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.343.983.2-4.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.245.788.9-2.527%-
vs Weaker (6)45.245.290.3+0.050%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H27/05
DBL
Belfius Mons
#40
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A13/09
Champions League
Minsk
#22
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A24/09
DBL
QSTA Utd
#7
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H26/09
DBL
Amsterdam
#6
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A30/09
DBL
Feyenoord
#20
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A06/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H09/10
DBL
Iraklis
#25
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A17/10
DBL
75.5Avg total
39.9Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.183.9+3.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.942.789.6+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.137.878.9+3.344%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.675.5+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.274.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)56.538.595.0+18.0100%-
vs Weaker (26)43.240.083.2+3.150%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.619.2
58.9%
52.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.1
38.8%
34.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.814.7
74.2%
73.2%14.7
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
52.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
34.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
73.2%11.5
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLLLLLLLW
Leiden
WWWWWWLLWW
#27
League position
#10
-7.0
Net rating
-2.7
116.6
Offensive rating
95.2
123.6
Defensive rating
98.0
58.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
59.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
14.4%
Turnover %
27.5%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.8%
3-point %
32.6%
52.2%
Assist %
68.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 95.2Defence123.6 · 98.0Shooting58.6% · 51.8%3-point %38.8% · 32.6%Ball care14.4% · 27.5%Off. rebounds23.2% · 35.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
0
Leiden wins
No previous meetings.
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/21AFMP Beograd81-83
12/10/21ABahcesehir Kol.68-75
09/10/21HBorac Mozzart85-90
02/10/21AKK Krka Novo mesto80-89
24/09/21HCibona77-87
15/09/21HBC Kalev/Cramo89-104
14/06/21ABuducnost70-94
12/06/21HBuducnost73-80
10/06/21ABuducnost77-97
08/06/21AStudentski Centar81-74
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/21AZwolle75-68
13/10/21HIraklis71-63
09/10/21HFeyenoord101-83
06/10/21AFeyenoord83-50
30/09/21AAmsterdam88-58
26/09/21HQSTA Utd104-82
24/09/21ADen Bosch64-72
15/09/21AMinsk67-69
13/09/21ABelfius Mons76-74
27/05/21HDen Bosch90-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game75.0-75.0
Point differential-7.0--7.0
Avg total143.0-143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game71.071.0-
Allowed / game63.063.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total134.0134.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Parma Perm110100%106.084.0+22.0
2 London Lions110100%79.060.0+19.0
3 Szolnoki Olaj110100%81.064.0+17.0
4 Saratov220100%95.582.0+13.5
5 Crailsheim Merlins110100%91.078.0+13.0
6 Bayreuth440100%83.871.5+12.2
7 Legia110100%76.066.0+10.0
8 Antwerp Giants220100%86.078.0+8.0
9 Leiden110100%71.063.0+8.0
10 Bahcesehir Kol.110100%75.068.0+7.0
11 Den Bosch220100%82.577.5+5.0
12 Kyiv Basket220100%77.573.0+4.5
13 Minsk110100%87.085.0+2.0
14 Iraklis32167%77.372.7+4.7
15 Benfica32167%79.076.0+3.0
16 FC Porto32167%71.069.7+1.3
17 Reggiana21150%88.580.5+8.0
18 Szedeak21150%84.580.0+4.5
19 Parnu21150%77.076.5+0.5
20 Hapoel Haifa21150%80.080.0+0.0
21 Ironi Eilat21150%86.086.0+0.0
22 Peristeri21150%85.085.0+0.0
23 Swans Gmunden21150%68.070.0-2.0
24 Nes Ziona21150%78.080.5-2.5
25 Ionikos21150%79.583.5-4.0
26 Basket Zaragoza21150%85.595.0-9.5
27 Trefl Sopot31233%76.075.0+1.0
28 Donar Groningen41325%69.271.0-1.8
29 Belfius Mons1010%75.078.0-3.0
30 Enisey1010%80.085.0-5.0
31 Sporting CP1010%75.080.0-5.0
32 Vienna Basket1010%67.072.0-5.0
33 BC Dnipro1010%82.088.0-6.0
34 Voluntari1010%77.083.0-6.0
35 Mornar Bar1010%68.075.0-7.0
36 Bakken Bears2020%80.588.0-7.5
37 Rilski Sportist1010%86.094.0-8.0
38 CSM Oradea1010%66.076.0-10.0
39 Gilboa Galil2020%80.092.0-12.0
40 Keravnos1010%58.070.0-12.0
41 Opava2020%83.096.5-13.5
42 TFT Skopje1010%76.092.0-16.0
43 Academic Plovdiv1010%75.095.0-20.0
44 Kumanovo1010%60.083.0-23.0
45 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%70.0100.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 45 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2520172587
Leiden2813231074
← all games of the day
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