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Minsk vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Sep 2021
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 69-67
15-19 19-12 12-15 23-21
Position#22
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Minsk 🏆
vs
Leiden
Position#18
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game74.0
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Semi-finals
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minsk winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinskLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinsk
Date
Competition
Saratov
#8
L
66-113
66
113
-47
50avg 65
A28/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
67-101
67
101
-34
55avg 65
A07/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
57-78
57
78
-21
45avg 65
A14/03
VTB United League
Astana
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
71avg 65
H21/03
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#7
L
65-89
65
89
-24
no box
A28/03
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
L
65-74
65
74
-9
no box
A04/04
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
75-101
75
101
-26
70avg 65
H12/04
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
H16/04
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#7
L
65-81
65
81
-16
no box
H21/04
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
109-74
109
74
+35
107avg 65
A25/04
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-32
11-31
20-21
20-29
16-27
13-22
18-29
20-23
13-17
14-20
13-23
17-18
24-24
16-19
11-19
27-18
16-20
17-29
13-19
19-21
18-18
9-19
20-23
18-14
21-31
17-22
15-32
22-16
8-29
19-19
27-20
20-13
17-16
13-21
15-19
20-25
25-17
32-21
17-24
35-12
159.3Avg total
72.1Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.187.2159.3-15.110%
Last 5 (5)77.682.2159.8-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)70.087.0157.0-17.05%
vs Similar (10)80.981.4162.3-0.540%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#1
L
87-90
87
90
-3
no box
A28/04
DBL Cup
BAL Weert
#6
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
A08/05
DBL
BAL Weert
#6
W
97-71
97
71
+26
no box
H11/05
DBL
Zwolle
#5
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H15/05
DBL
Zwolle
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
A18/05
DBL
Zwolle
#5
W
91-74
91
74
+17
no box
H20/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#4
W
112-87
112
87
+25
no box
H23/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#4
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
A25/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#4
W
90-74
90
74
+16
no box
H27/05
DBL
Belfius Mons
#40
W
76-74
76
74
+2
80avg 80
A13/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
22-22
23-18
23-26
26-23
22-17
21-17
17-20
26-22
28-17
17-14
26-18
26-18
25-20
23-24
23-25
24-23
18-23
19-22
24-22
21-20
30-21
26-15
14-18
32-13
25-29
33-15
22-30
16-19
23-22
26-14
24-27
20-23
29-20
25-13
16-18
21-21
17-18
14-20
24-15
171.6Avg total
91.0Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.074.0150.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.074.0150.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.080.6171.6+10.480%
Last 5 (5)91.678.2169.8+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)96.081.5177.5+14.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)91.380.2171.5+11.081%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
MinskLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#8
L
26-63
26
63
-37
A28/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A07/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A14/03
VTB United League
Astana
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/03
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#7
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A28/03
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A04/04
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H12/04
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H16/04
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H21/04
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A25/04
VTB United League
78.8Avg total
33.4Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.642.079.6-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.839.576.3-2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)38.444.582.9-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)33.445.478.8-12.010%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.678.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.043.179.1-7.120%-
vs Similar (10)40.839.980.7+0.950%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A28/04
DBL Cup
BAL Weert
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A08/05
DBL
BAL Weert
#6
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H11/05
DBL
Zwolle
#5
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H15/05
DBL
Zwolle
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/05
DBL
Zwolle
#5
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H20/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#4
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H23/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A25/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H27/05
DBL
Belfius Mons
#40
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A13/09
Champions League
88.5Avg total
47.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.741.186.7+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.541.789.2+5.960%-
Last 30 away (15)43.840.584.3+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)47.041.588.5+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.288.0+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)56.538.595.0+18.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.341.286.5+4.258%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.117.8
46.7%
51.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.8
34.4%
35.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws15.411.9
77.3%
74.3%11.9
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.022.0
62.9%
51.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.08.0
38.1%
35.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws11.06.0
54.5%
74.3%6.0
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 15 Sep 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minsk
WLLLLLLLLL
Leiden
WWWWWLWWWL
#22
League position
#18
-20.7
Net rating
+0.0
94.9
Offensive rating
103.8
115.7
Defensive rating
103.8
48.5%
Effective FG%
60.7%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
21.2%
Turnover %
25.1%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.4%
3-point %
38.1%
64.1%
Assist %
80.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 103.8Defence115.7 · 103.8Shooting48.5% · 60.7%3-point %34.4% · 38.1%Ball care21.2% · 25.1%Off. rebounds24.9% · 29.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Minsk   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Minsk wins
0
Leiden wins
No previous meetings.
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21AAstana109-74
21/04/21HKhimki M.65-81
16/04/21HEnisey74-81
12/04/21HLokomotiv Kuban75-101
04/04/21AParma Perm65-74
28/03/21AKhimki M.65-89
21/03/21HAstana78-80
14/03/21ANizhny Novgorod57-78
07/03/21ACSKA Moscow67-101
28/02/21ASaratov66-113
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/09/21ABelfius Mons76-74
27/05/21HDen Bosch90-74
25/05/21ADen Bosch89-82
23/05/21HDen Bosch112-87
20/05/21HZwolle91-74
18/05/21AZwolle85-90
15/05/21HZwolle97-87
11/05/21HBAL Weert97-71
08/05/21ABAL Weert86-77
28/04/21ABAL Weert87-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minsk
Champions League 2021
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Leiden
Champions League 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total150.0-150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey110100%96.056.0+40.0
2 Treviso110100%89.062.0+27.0
3 BC Kalev/Cramo110100%86.069.0+17.0
4 Juventus220100%86.573.5+13.0
5 Cluj-Napoca110100%106.097.0+9.0
6 Fribourg Olympic110100%76.067.0+9.0
7 Parma Perm110100%79.076.0+3.0
8 Leiden110100%76.074.0+2.0
9 Split21150%66.063.0+3.0
10 Belfius Mons1010%74.076.0-2.0
11 Ironi Eilat1010%76.079.0-3.0
12 Bamberg1010%79.083.0-4.0
13 Salon Vilpas1010%97.0106.0-9.0
14 AEK Larnaca1010%50.065.0-15.0
15 Sporting CP1010%69.086.0-17.0
16 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%68.090.0-22.0
17 London Lions1010%62.089.0-27.0
18 Levski1010%56.096.0-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minsk1519122369
Leiden1912152167
← all games of the day
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