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Leiden vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 98-93
27-20 22-21 31-18 18-34
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game81.2
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record7-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game79.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#4
W
92-63
92
63
+29
no box
A19/12
DBL
LWD Basket
#8
W
114-68
114
68
+46
no box
H22/12
DBL
Hague
#11
W
88-27
88
27
+61
no box
A02/01
DBL
BAL Weert
#9
W
94-68
94
68
+26
no box
H05/01
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
H09/01
DBL
Parma Perm
#6
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Hague
#7
W
80-62
80
62
+18
no box
H15/01
DBL Cup
Hague
#7
W
89-56
89
56
+33
no box
A16/01
DBL Cup
Hague
#21
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
H19/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#4
L
69-71
69
71
-2
no box
H22/01
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
20-16
25-15
28-16
24-22
25-19
28-16
37-11
24-8
13-6
32-7
19-6
19-22
27-16
26-18
22-12
24-20
20-17
25-11
16-22
24-17
21-28
15-23
31-20
16-15
20-19
28-7
16-21
20-10
23-16
22-19
24-11
16-13
17-11
31-17
16-25
13-18
22-17
16-18
18-18
152.1Avg total
88.2Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.181.2159.3-3.156%
Season at home (4)74.076.2150.2-2.250%
Season away (5)81.485.2166.6-3.860%
Last 10 (10)88.263.9152.1+24.390%
Last 5 (5)81.868.6150.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.885.2160.0-10.525%
vs Similar ◀ (3)80.381.3161.7-1.067%
vs Weaker (22)85.365.6151.0+19.782%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#6
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A15/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
62-99
62
99
-37
49avg 78
A17/12
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
71-96
71
96
-25
65avg 78
H22/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
79-109
79
109
-30
73avg 78
H27/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 78
A02/01
BBL
Gottingen
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
74avg 78
H05/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
67-87
67
87
-20
57avg 78
A08/01
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
81-92
81
92
-11
69avg 78
A16/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 78
H21/01
BBL
Legia
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
no box
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
18-26
18-22
16-12
22-24
12-25
16-26
12-24
20-24
20-23
13-26
18-23
20-26
26-28
19-26
14-29
23-21
18-14
25-25
22-20
20-19
16-16
16-19
23-18
17-20
26-19
11-26
13-22
26-25
22-23
19-27
14-17
19-24
24-28
25-20
26-20
27-18
17-29
29-28
15-20
169.7Avg total
78.3Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.579.2163.7+5.464%
Season at home (7)85.779.1164.9+6.671%
Season away (4)82.579.2161.8+3.250%
Last 10 (10)78.391.4169.7-13.130%
Last 5 (5)81.087.6168.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.587.8162.2-13.225%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.779.9164.6+4.767%
vs Weaker (2)91.574.5166.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +9.7+9.7Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: -3.2-3.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +9.7+9.7Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: -3.2-3.2
LeidenBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A19/12
DBL
LWD Basket
#8
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H22/12
DBL
Hague
#11
W
37-14
37
14
+23
A02/01
DBL
BAL Weert
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H05/01
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/01
DBL
Parma Perm
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Hague
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H15/01
DBL Cup
Hague
#7
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A16/01
DBL Cup
Hague
#21
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H19/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H22/01
DBL
73.3Avg total
40.7Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.975.6+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.878.7+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)38.734.272.9+4.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.732.673.3+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.871.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.040.880.8-0.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.743.081.7-4.30%-
vs Weaker (22)39.933.973.8+6.073%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#6
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A15/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A17/12
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H22/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H27/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A02/01
BBL
Gottingen
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H05/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A08/01
BBL
Ulm
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A16/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H21/01
BBL
Legia
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
88.3Avg total
41.9Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.783.9+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.841.984.7+0.953%-
Last 30 away (13)41.441.482.8+0.062%-
Last 10 (10)41.946.488.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.287.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.044.783.7-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.739.583.2+4.373%-
vs Weaker (2)47.537.585.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
52.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
34.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
73.2%11.5
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.816.7
54.2%
52.5%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.5
37.1%
34.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.116.1
76.3%
73.2%16.1
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWWWWWWWWW
Bayreuth
LWLLWWLLLL
#10
League position
#12
-2.7
Net rating
-12.5
95.2
Offensive rating
106.8
98.0
Defensive rating
119.3
51.8%
Effective FG%
54.9%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
27.5%
Turnover %
19.8%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.6%
3-point %
37.1%
68.6%
Assist %
59.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 106.8Defence98.0 · 119.3Shooting51.8% · 54.9%3-point %32.6% · 37.1%Ball care27.5% · 19.8%Off. rebounds35.6% · 24.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Leiden   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leiden wins
0
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
08/12/21Bayreuth v Leiden84-89
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22HDonar Groningen69-71
19/01/22HHague80-66
16/01/22AHague89-56
15/01/22HHague80-62
13/01/22AParma Perm91-88
09/01/22HDen Bosch85-70
05/01/22HBAL Weert94-68
02/01/22AHague88-27
22/12/21HLWD Basket114-68
19/12/21ADonar Groningen92-63
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/22HLegia88-95
21/01/22HBasketball Braunschweig94-92
16/01/22AUlm81-92
08/01/22ALudwigsburg67-87
05/01/22HGottingen75-72
02/01/22As.Oliver Wurzburg88-80
27/12/21HAlba Berlin79-109
22/12/21HBonn71-96
17/12/21ABasketball Braunschweig62-99
15/12/21AParma Perm78-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW56%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game78.174.081.4
Allowed / game81.276.285.2
Point differential-3.1-2.2-3.8
Avg total159.3150.2166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayreuth
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL64%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %64%71%50%
Points / game84.585.782.5
Allowed / game79.279.179.2
Point differential+5.4+6.6+3.2
Avg total163.7164.9161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Saratov98189%90.878.8+12.0
2 Bahcesehir Kol.98189%83.371.8+11.6
3 Legia98189%79.772.0+7.7
4 Reggiana97278%83.076.4+6.6
5 Parma Perm96367%84.176.4+7.7
6 Sporting CP96367%77.870.2+7.6
7 Kyiv Basket96367%76.674.8+1.8
8 Bayreuth117464%84.579.2+5.4
9 Benfica117464%78.477.6+0.7
10 CSM Oradea85362%71.068.1+2.9
11 Crailsheim Merlins95456%81.875.7+6.1
12 Bakken Bears95456%87.885.2+2.6
13 London Lions95456%82.781.1+1.6
14 Leiden95456%78.181.2-3.1
15 Szedeak21150%84.580.0+4.5
16 Trefl Sopot105550%79.275.7+3.5
17 FC Porto84450%70.570.0+0.5
18 Ironi Eilat63350%82.882.3+0.5
19 Parnu21150%77.076.5+0.5
20 Hapoel Haifa21150%80.080.0+0.0
21 Swans Gmunden21150%68.070.0-2.0
22 Nes Ziona21150%78.080.5-2.5
23 Ionikos63350%78.382.8-4.5
24 Donar Groningen83538%72.474.6-2.2
25 Iraklis83538%74.078.8-4.8
26 Mornar Bar62433%80.778.3+2.3
27 Antwerp Giants93633%79.082.1-3.1
28 Belfius Mons62433%72.376.8-4.5
29 Basket Zaragoza62433%80.785.8-5.2
30 Peristeri62433%74.379.5-5.2
31 Den Bosch62433%73.380.0-6.7
32 Rilski Sportist62433%79.285.8-6.7
33 Minsk62433%80.588.5-8.0
34 Szolnoki Olaj61517%68.575.2-6.7
35 Opava61517%81.788.7-7.0
36 Gilboa Galil61517%73.891.8-18.0
37 Enisey1010%80.085.0-5.0
38 Vienna Basket1010%67.072.0-5.0
39 BC Dnipro1010%82.088.0-6.0
40 Voluntari1010%77.083.0-6.0
41 Keravnos1010%58.070.0-12.0
42 Kapfenberg Bulls6060%72.087.5-15.5
43 TFT Skopje1010%76.092.0-16.0
44 Academic Plovdiv1010%75.095.0-20.0
45 Kumanovo1010%60.083.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 45 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2722311898
Bayreuth2021183493
← all games of the day
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