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Ulm vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 92-81
25-26 23-22 27-19 17-14
Position#5
Record10-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game78.9
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#16
Record7-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game84.1
GermanyBBLRound 17
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Ulm v Bayreuth
29 Oct 2022
ULM88
BAR73
16 Jan 2022
ULM92
BAR81
14 Nov 2020
ULM104
BAR76
17 Jan 2020
ULM103
BAR93
04 May 2019
ULM92
BAR69
07 Oct 2017
ULM74
BAR84
04 Feb 2017
ULM90
BAR70
12 Mar 2016
ULM77
BAR80
23 Dec 2014
ULM84
BAR80
21 Apr 2014
ULM92
BAR74
23 Feb 2013
ULM88
BAR72
28 Jan 2012
ULM74
BAR52
19 Dec 2010
ULM82
BAR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
W
96-81
96
81
+15
98avg 82
A08/12
Eurocup
Hamburg
#7
W
78-74
78
74
+4
76avg 82
H12/12
BBL
JL Bourg
#17
W
96-86
96
86
+10
95avg 82
H14/12
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#11
W
96-89
96
89
+7
90avg 82
A18/12
BBL
Bursaspor
#11
L
66-68
66
68
-2
61avg 82
A21/12
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#14
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 82
A27/12
BBL
Gottingen
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
84avg 82
H30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
78-66
78
66
+12
75avg 82
H02/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
89-75
89
75
+14
86avg 82
A08/01
BBL
Valencia
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 82
H12/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
25-19
20-18
28-26
19-28
18-8
24-16
17-22
28-16
22-20
24-22
22-28
27-22
24-28
23-17
22-22
12-19
20-17
18-18
16-14
22-18
18-28
21-11
23-22
17-22
22-21
20-16
27-29
18-13
25-20
15-20
20-13
29-17
22-23
22-16
16-19
19-10
23-17
13-25
15-24
162.1Avg total
83.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.378.9162.3+4.467%
Season at home (6)78.580.2158.7-1.733%
Season away (9)86.678.1164.7+8.489%
Last 10 (10)83.978.2162.1+5.770%
Last 5 (5)81.476.8158.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.582.3164.8+0.250%
vs Similar (16)82.178.8160.9+3.362%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.081.6163.6+0.443%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
78avg 78
A04/12
BBL
Leiden
#10
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
H08/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#17
W
85-72
85
72
+13
73avg 78
H11/12
BBL
Parma Perm
#6
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A15/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
62-99
62
99
-37
49avg 78
A17/12
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
71-96
71
96
-25
65avg 78
H22/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
79-109
79
109
-30
73avg 78
H27/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 78
A02/01
BBL
Gottingen
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
74avg 78
H05/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
67-87
67
87
-20
57avg 78
A08/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
21-25
21-15
25-29
25-13
20-24
17-30
22-22
26-25
17-22
16-18
26-7
26-32
18-26
18-22
16-12
22-24
12-25
16-26
12-24
20-24
20-23
13-26
18-23
20-26
26-28
19-26
14-29
23-21
18-14
25-25
22-20
20-19
16-16
16-19
23-18
17-20
26-19
11-26
13-22
165.6Avg total
77.6Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.084.1163.1-5.147%
Season at home (7)80.384.3164.6-4.043%
Season away (8)77.984.0161.9-6.150%
Last 10 (10)77.688.0165.6-10.440%
Last 5 (5)76.088.8164.8-12.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.986.9158.8-15.020%
vs Similar (14)84.478.9163.3+5.671%
vs Weaker (5)92.474.4166.8+18.0100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
UlmBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A08/12
Eurocup
Hamburg
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H12/12
BBL
JL Bourg
#17
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H14/12
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#11
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A18/12
BBL
Bursaspor
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A21/12
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A27/12
BBL
Gottingen
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H02/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A08/01
BBL
Valencia
#4
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H12/01
Eurocup
81.7Avg total
43.3Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.179.6+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.838.377.1+0.550%-
Last 30 away (16)42.139.881.8+2.356%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.481.7+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.037.880.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.834.877.7+8.083%-
vs Similar (16)39.140.579.6-1.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.339.681.9+2.757%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A04/12
BBL
Leiden
#10
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H08/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Frankfurt
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H11/12
BBL
Parma Perm
#6
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A15/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A17/12
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H22/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H27/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A02/01
BBL
Gottingen
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H05/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A08/01
BBL
85.4Avg total
41.3Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.882.9+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.840.282.9+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)41.441.482.9+0.064%-
Last 10 (10)41.344.185.4-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.083.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.743.681.3-5.940%-
vs Similar (14)43.738.982.6+4.879%-
vs Weaker (5)45.639.084.6+6.680%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.0
52.1%
54.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.4
39.5%
35.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.216.6
82.2%
73.1%16.6
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.416.0
54.4%
54.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.6
39.7%
35.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.215.2
75.2%
73.1%15.2
They take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWWLWLWWWW
Bayreuth
LWWLLLLWLW
#5
League position
#16
+7.6
Net rating
-7.3
112.7
Offensive rating
110.4
105.1
Defensive rating
117.6
54.9%
Effective FG%
56.9%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
20.0%
Turnover %
19.0%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
39.5%
3-point %
39.7%
61.6%
Assist %
64.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 110.4Defence105.1 · 117.6Shooting54.9% · 56.9%3-point %39.5% · 39.7%Ball care20.0% · 19.0%Off. rebounds33.0% · 24.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ulm wins
2
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
13/04/21Bayreuth v Ulm93-99
14/11/20Ulm v Bayreuth104-76
29/02/20Bayreuth v Ulm69-85
17/01/20Ulm v Bayreuth103-93
04/05/19Ulm v Bayreuth92-69
04/11/18Bayreuth v Ulm79-88
20/04/18Bayreuth v Ulm88-75
07/10/17Ulm v Bayreuth74-84
04/02/17Ulm v Bayreuth90-70
25/09/16Bayreuth v Ulm87-95 OT
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/22HValencia70-76
08/01/22ASyntainics MBC89-75
02/01/22HLudwigsburg78-66
30/12/21HGottingen86-88
27/12/21AHeidelberg84-79
21/12/21ABursaspor66-68
18/12/21AOldenburg96-89
14/12/21HJL Bourg96-86
12/12/21HHamburg78-74
08/12/21AGran Canaria96-81
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/22ALudwigsburg67-87
05/01/22HGottingen75-72
02/01/22As.Oliver Wurzburg88-80
27/12/21HAlba Berlin79-109
22/12/21HBonn71-96
17/12/21ABasketball Braunschweig62-99
15/12/21AParma Perm78-92
11/12/21HFrankfurt85-72
08/12/21HLeiden84-89
04/12/21ABamberg87-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %67%33%89%
Points / game83.378.586.6
Allowed / game78.980.278.1
Point differential+4.4-1.7+8.4
Avg total162.3158.7164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%17%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %13%17%11%
Bayreuth
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL47%
HomeWWLLW43%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%43%50%
Points / game79.080.377.9
Allowed / game84.184.384.0
Point differential-5.1-4.0-6.1
Avg total163.1164.6161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn1612475%87.881.2+6.5
2 Bayern1511473%80.174.1+6.0
3 Alba Berlin1410471%85.473.9+11.6
4 Chemnitz1611569%79.979.4+0.6
5 Ulm1510567%83.378.9+4.4
6 Ludwigsburg1711665%80.975.2+5.7
7 Crailsheim Merlins1610662%87.481.9+5.5
8 Hamburg1610662%84.279.4+4.8
9 Gottingen1610662%80.680.1+0.6
10 Bayreuth157847%79.084.1-5.1
11 Bamberg167944%84.287.1-2.9
12 Basketball Braunschweig156940%86.587.7-1.2
13 Heidelberg1661038%78.779.8-1.1
14 Frankfurt1551033%74.383.2-8.9
15 Syntainics MBC1641225%83.891.8-8.0
16 s.Oliver Wurzburg1431121%79.287.1-7.9
17 Giessen1631319%78.685.5-6.9
18 Oldenburg1221017%78.883.8-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2523271792
Bayreuth2622191481
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