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Leiden vs Parma Perm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-75
20-14 24-22 17-16 18-23
Position#10
Record7-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game80.3
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#6
Record7-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parma Perm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#9
W
94-68
94
68
+26
no box
H05/01
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
H09/01
DBL
Parma Perm
#6
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Hague
#7
W
80-62
80
62
+18
no box
H15/01
DBL Cup
Hague
#7
W
89-56
89
56
+33
no box
A16/01
DBL Cup
Hague
#21
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
H19/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#4
L
69-71
69
71
-2
no box
H22/01
DBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
98-93
98
93
+5
no box
H26/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Legia
#3
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
A02/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#16
W
89-68
89
68
+21
no box
H05/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
27-16
26-18
22-12
24-20
20-17
25-11
16-22
24-17
21-28
15-23
31-20
16-15
20-19
28-7
16-21
20-10
23-16
22-19
24-11
16-13
17-11
31-17
16-25
13-18
22-17
16-18
18-18
27-20
22-21
31-18
18-34
24-16
13-19
16-12
24-12
18-15
25-20
19-12
27-21
155.3Avg total
85.2Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.880.3160.1-0.564%
Season at home (5)78.879.6158.4-0.860%
Season away (6)80.780.8161.5-0.267%
Last 10 (10)85.270.1155.3+15.190%
Last 5 (5)82.671.4154.0+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.280.0155.2-4.840%
vs Similar (4)84.884.2169.0+0.575%
vs Weaker (21)87.465.3152.7+22.190%
This opponent (Parma Perm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Parma PermLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerm
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#31
W
92-75
92
75
+17
no box
A17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Zielona Gora
#11
W
83-72
83
72
+11
85avg 70
H06/12
VTB United League
Legia
#3
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A08/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
83avg 70
H11/12
VTB United League
Bayreuth
#12
W
92-78
92
78
+14
no box
H15/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Astana
#12
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
no box
H19/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#7
W
78-61
78
61
+17
83avg 70
A23/12
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
W
77-67
77
67
+10
72avg 70
H04/01
VTB United League
Leiden
#10
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#12
W
91-85
91
85
+6
no box
A01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
23-21
23-21
24-7
22-11
20-16
27-20
14-25
33-12
19-17
10-22
10-19
27-14
25-24
17-20
16-32
32-26
26-18
22-18
12-16
24-24
17-14
19-20
16-18
16-16
18-17
33-13
11-15
21-14
17-9
14-19
25-25
17-24
28-21
23-15
20-31
20-26
29-20
24-16
18-23
165.6Avg total
86.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.877.3162.1+7.570%
Season at home (5)88.479.4167.8+9.060%
Season away (5)81.275.2156.4+6.080%
Last 10 (10)86.679.0165.6+7.680%
Last 5 (5)88.481.0169.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.180.1148.2-12.025%
vs Similar (9)79.681.7161.2-2.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.373.8159.1+11.582%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -4.5-4.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -4.5-4.5
LeidenParma Perm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H05/01
DBL
Den Bosch
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/01
DBL
Parma Perm
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Hague
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H15/01
DBL Cup
Hague
#7
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A16/01
DBL Cup
Hague
#21
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H19/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H22/01
DBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H26/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Legia
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A02/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H05/02
BNXT League
76.1Avg total
41.1Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.736.076.8+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.637.879.4+3.869%-
Last 30 away (14)39.834.073.8+5.864%-
Last 10 (10)41.135.076.1+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.073.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.439.679.0-0.240%-
vs Similar (4)41.242.583.8-1.225%-
vs Weaker (21)41.034.074.9+7.081%-
This opponent (Parma Perm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Parma PermLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#31
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Zielona Gora
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H06/12
VTB United League
Legia
#3
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A08/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H11/12
VTB United League
Bayreuth
#12
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H15/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Astana
#12
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H19/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#7
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A23/12
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H04/01
VTB United League
Leiden
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
82.6Avg total
45.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.479.1+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.639.280.8+2.459%-
Last 30 away (13)39.537.276.8+2.354%-
Last 10 (10)45.637.082.6+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.437.078.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.838.875.5-2.025%-
vs Similar (9)43.941.084.9+2.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.736.277.9+5.573%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
52.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
34.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
73.2%11.5
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parma Permtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parma Perm: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.915.9
49.8%
52.5%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
34.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.811.7
74.1%
73.2%11.7
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WWWLWWWWWW
Parma Perm
WLWWWWLWWW
#10
League position
#6
-2.7
Net rating
+2.9
95.2
Offensive rating
104.0
98.0
Defensive rating
101.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
52.0%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
27.5%
Turnover %
20.9%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.6%
3-point %
36.3%
68.6%
Assist %
79.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 104.0Defence98.0 · 101.1Shooting51.8% · 52.0%3-point %32.6% · 36.3%Ball care27.5% · 20.9%Off. rebounds35.6% · 31.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Leiden   ■ Parma Perm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leiden wins
0
Parma Perm wins
DateGameScore
13/01/22Parma Perm v Leiden88-91
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/22HDen Helder89-68
02/02/22ALegia77-59
26/01/22HBayreuth98-93
22/01/22HDonar Groningen69-71
19/01/22HHague80-66
16/01/22AHague89-56
15/01/22HHague80-62
13/01/22AParma Perm91-88
09/01/22HDen Bosch85-70
05/01/22HBAL Weert94-68
Parma Permlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/22ABayreuth91-85
13/01/22HLeiden88-91
04/01/22HZenit Petersburg77-67
23/12/21AEnisey78-61
19/12/21HAstana108-101 OT
15/12/21HBayreuth92-78
11/12/21HLokomotiv Kuban85-90
08/12/21ALegia72-70
06/12/21HZielona Gora83-72
17/11/21ADen Bosch92-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game79.878.880.7
Allowed / game80.379.680.8
Point differential-0.5-0.8-0.2
Avg total160.1158.4161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parma Perm
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game84.888.481.2
Allowed / game77.379.475.2
Point differential+7.5+9.0+6.0
Avg total162.1167.8156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.1211192%84.173.9+10.2
2 Saratov119282%92.480.3+12.1
3 Legia119282%77.870.9+6.9
4 Sporting CP107370%77.669.5+8.1
5 Parma Perm107370%84.877.3+7.5
6 Reggiana107370%80.678.9+1.7
7 Benfica139469%79.475.2+4.2
8 Crailsheim Merlins117464%81.573.8+7.7
9 CSM Oradea117464%71.670.6+1.0
10 Leiden117464%79.880.3-0.5
11 Kyiv Basket116555%74.676.2-1.5
12 Szedeak21150%84.580.0+4.5
13 Bakken Bears105550%87.585.3+2.2
14 Bayreuth147750%83.181.4+1.6
15 FC Porto84450%70.570.0+0.5
16 Ironi Eilat63350%82.882.3+0.5
17 Parnu21150%77.076.5+0.5
18 Hapoel Haifa21150%80.080.0+0.0
19 Swans Gmunden21150%68.070.0-2.0
20 Nes Ziona21150%78.080.5-2.5
21 Ionikos63350%78.382.8-4.5
22 London Lions115645%80.282.7-2.5
23 Antwerp Giants125742%80.378.9+1.4
24 Donar Groningen83538%72.474.6-2.2
25 Iraklis83538%74.078.8-4.8
26 Trefl Sopot145936%75.776.6-0.9
27 Mornar Bar62433%80.778.3+2.3
28 Belfius Mons62433%72.376.8-4.5
29 Basket Zaragoza62433%80.785.8-5.2
30 Peristeri62433%74.379.5-5.2
31 Den Bosch62433%73.380.0-6.7
32 Rilski Sportist62433%79.285.8-6.7
33 Minsk62433%80.588.5-8.0
34 Szolnoki Olaj61517%68.575.2-6.7
35 Opava61517%81.788.7-7.0
36 Gilboa Galil61517%73.891.8-18.0
37 Enisey1010%80.085.0-5.0
38 Vienna Basket1010%67.072.0-5.0
39 BC Dnipro1010%82.088.0-6.0
40 Voluntari1010%77.083.0-6.0
41 Keravnos1010%58.070.0-12.0
42 Kapfenberg Bulls6060%72.087.5-15.5
43 TFT Skopje1010%76.092.0-16.0
44 Academic Plovdiv1010%75.095.0-20.0
45 Kumanovo1010%60.083.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 45 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2024171879
Parma Perm1422162375
← all games of the day
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