PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Leones De Ponce vs Aguada Santeros Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 May 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 91-92
24-27 17-19 24-26 26-20
Position#5
Record11-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#11
Record6-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game88.7
Puerto RicoBSN· Auditorio Juan Pachín Vicéns
Other2025
Meetings · Leones De Ponce v Aguada Santeros
24 May 2025
LEON91
AGUA92
12 May 2025
LEON108
AGUA104
26 Apr 2025
LEON87
AGUA77
02 Jun 2024
LEON86
AGUA91
16 May 2024
LEON77
AGUA69
28 Apr 2024
LEON75
AGUA74
10 Mar 2020
LEON87
AGUA84
20 Jul 2019
LEON78
AGUA82
17 Jul 2019
LEON89
AGUA83
13 Jul 2019
LEON92
AGUA87
10 Apr 2019
LEON81
AGUA95
20 Mar 2019
LEON86
AGUA92
16 Aug 2018
LEON78
AGUA77
07 Jul 2018
LEON103
AGUA82
05 Jun 2018
LEON91
AGUA87
12 May 2018
LEON65
AGUA71
15 Jun 2017
LEON85
AGUA91
30 Apr 2017
LEON72
AGUA81
09 Apr 2016
LEON89
AGUA87
25 Feb 2016
LEON75
AGUA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leones De Ponce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada Santeros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leones De PoncePuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPonce
Date
Competition
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
W
94-88
94
88
+6
87avg 78
A29/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
W
93-71
93
71
+22
90avg 78
H01/05
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
69-79
69
79
-10
59avg 78
H03/05
BSN
San German
#8
W
90-81
90
81
+9
77avg 78
H05/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
79avg 78
H07/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
82-94
82
94
-12
70avg 78
A09/05
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
108-104 OT
108
104
+4
111avg 78
H13/05
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
96-87
96
87
+9
no box
A16/05
BSN
San German
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
72avg 78
H18/05
BSN
San German
#8
L
78-90
78
90
-12
71avg 78
A23/05
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
19-27
32-19
25-20
31-14
14-13
21-21
27-23
18-19
15-19
24-22
12-19
16-18
28-23
21-24
25-16
22-24
15-17
21-15
25-22
23-32
15-19
20-26
24-17
19-32
24-18
19-14
26-24
18-30
29-15
23-20
26-22
24-11
15-23
26-30
10-10
17-19
18-12
18-32
25-27
171.4Avg total
86.8Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.585.8170.3-1.252%
Season at home (11)82.783.3166.0-0.564%
Season away (10)86.588.5175.0-2.040%
Last 10 (10)86.884.6171.4+2.270%
Last 5 (5)87.889.8177.6-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (26)83.284.3167.5-1.146%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)92.085.5177.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Aguada Santeros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aguada SanterosPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSanteros
Date
Competition
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
96-83
96
83
+13
95avg 81
H25/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
65avg 81
A27/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
101-102
101
102
-1
94avg 81
H02/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
78-85
78
85
-7
76avg 81
A04/05
BSN
San German
#8
W
98-91
98
91
+7
95avg 81
H07/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
90-96
90
96
-6
84avg 81
H11/05
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
104-108 OT
104
108
-4
91avg 81
A13/05
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
W
99-93
99
93
+6
98avg 81
H15/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
93-99
93
99
-6
89avg 81
A17/05
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
90-86
90
86
+4
90avg 81
H22/05
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
32-16
22-22
22-21
22-27
19-30
19-11
17-19
27-28
20-23
21-20
33-31
24-18
15-17
23-19
16-31
27-20
18-25
25-27
28-19
25-26
17-24
20-25
28-21
32-19
18-24
14-19
24-26
23-23
30-23
26-23
20-24
17-16
26-23
25-29
25-31
20-21
23-17
20-31
27-17
185.6Avg total
92.6Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.888.7175.4-2.030%
Season at home (11)89.487.2176.5+2.255%
Season away (9)83.690.6174.1-7.00%
Last 10 (10)92.693.0185.6-0.440%
Last 5 (5)95.296.4191.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.787.9168.6-7.10%
vs Similar (22)87.888.5176.3-0.741%
vs Weaker (1)82.076.0158.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
Leones De PonceAguada Santeros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leones De PonceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A29/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H01/05
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H03/05
BSN
San German
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H05/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A09/05
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H13/05
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A16/05
BSN
San German
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H18/05
BSN
San German
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A23/05
BSN
80.5Avg total
39.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.381.3-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.138.880.8+3.362%-
Last 30 away (14)37.644.381.9-6.736%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.780.5-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.282.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (26)39.041.080.0-2.146%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)46.543.289.8+3.275%-
This opponent (Aguada Santeros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aguada SanterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H25/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A27/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H02/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A04/05
BSN
San German
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H07/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H11/05
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A13/05
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H15/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A17/05
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/05
BSN
89.9Avg total
45.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.185.0-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.143.086.1+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.743.383.9-2.647%-
Last 10 (10)45.544.489.9+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.289.4+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.046.084.0-8.014%-
vs Similar (22)43.042.585.4+0.555%-
vs Weaker (1)46.038.084.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leones De Poncetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones De Ponce: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.323.1
54.6%
53.8%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.1
29.7%
36.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws24.218.8
77.7%
75.6%18.8
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguada Santerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada Santeros: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.5
52.0%
53.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.212.2
40.4%
36.0%36.6
🏀 Free throws20.414.4
70.6%
75.6%14.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leones De Ponce
LWWWLWWLWW
Aguada Santeros
WLWLLWLLLW
#5
League position
#11
+3.5
Net rating
+0.3
111.6
Offensive rating
117.9
108.1
Defensive rating
117.6
51.0%
Effective FG%
55.7%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
14.4%
Turnover %
14.8%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.7%
3-point %
40.4%
59.3%
Assist %
67.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 117.9Defence108.1 · 117.6Shooting51.0% · 55.7%3-point %29.7% · 40.4%Ball care14.4% · 14.8%Off. rebounds28.8% · 30.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Leones De Ponce   ■ Aguada Santeros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/25ASan German78-90
18/05/25HSan German75-74
16/05/25AOsos de Manati96-87
13/05/25HAguada Santeros108-104 OT
09/05/25APiratas de Quebradillas82-94
07/05/25HGigantes de Carolina83-78
05/05/25HSan German90-81
03/05/25HCangrejeros69-79
01/05/25HCapitanes de Arecibo93-71
29/04/25ACapitanes de Arecibo94-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/25HOsos de Manati90-86
17/05/25APiratas de Quebradillas93-99
15/05/25HMets de Guaynabo99-93
13/05/25ALeones De Ponce104-108 OT
11/05/25HPiratas de Quebradillas90-96
07/05/25HSan German98-91
04/05/25AGigantes de Carolina78-85
02/05/25HIndios de Mayaguez101-102
27/04/25ALeones De Ponce77-87
25/04/25HGigantes de Carolina96-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leones De Ponce
BSN 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL52%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%64%40%
Points / game84.582.786.5
Allowed / game85.883.388.5
Point differential-1.2-0.5-2.0
Avg total170.3166.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %10%9%10%
Aguada Santeros
BSN 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeLWLWW55%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %30%55%0%
Points / game86.889.483.6
Allowed / game88.787.290.6
Point differential-1.9+2.2-7.0
Avg total175.4176.5174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)33% (6)0% (4)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vaqueros de Bayamon2518772%89.683.1+6.5
2 Cangrejeros2114767%87.686.5+1.1
3 Piratas de Quebradillas2315865%90.488.8+1.7
4 Capitanes de Arecibo25141156%86.687.2-0.6
5 Indios de Mayaguez24131154%86.986.1+0.8
6 Gigantes de Carolina1910953%88.687.9+0.7
7 Leones De Ponce21111052%84.585.8-1.2
8 Criollos de Caguas23121152%91.589.7+1.7
9 San German2291341%88.290.5-2.4
10 Mets de Guaynabo2381535%93.696.4-2.8
11 Aguada Santeros2061430%86.888.7-1.9
12 Osos de Manati2241818%90.695.0-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leones De Ponce2417242691
Aguada Santeros2719262092
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.