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Capitanes de Arecibo vs Leones De Ponce Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 88-94
22-18 27-19 19-32 20-25
Position#6
Record10-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#5
Record4-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game86.8
Puerto RicoBSN· Coliseo Manuel Petaca Iguina
Other2025
Meetings · Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce
28 Apr 2025
CAPI88
LEON94
07 Apr 2025
CAPI94
LEON91
14 May 2024
CAPI101
LEON97
26 Apr 2024
CAPI87
LEON77
26 Apr 2023
CAPI110
LEON107
16 Apr 2023
CAPI99
LEON80
27 Jun 2022
CAPI109
LEON79
02 Jun 2022
CAPI102
LEON90
04 Oct 2021
CAPI83
LEON78
13 Sep 2021
CAPI91
LEON84
18 Nov 2020
CAPI104
LEON78
14 May 2020
CAPI v LEON
upcoming
01 Jun 2019
CAPI94
LEON103
26 Apr 2019
CAPI105
LEON80
02 Sep 2018
CAPI104
LEON95
29 Aug 2018
CAPI99
LEON76
26 Aug 2018
CAPI115
LEON117
23 Aug 2018
CAPI102
LEON90
12 Jul 2018
CAPI92
LEON86
10 May 2018
CAPI86
LEON91
11 Jul 2017
CAPI104
LEON100
08 Jul 2017
CAPI105
LEON103
05 Jul 2017
CAPI92
LEON78
18 May 2017
CAPI92
LEON81
26 Apr 2017
CAPI77
LEON86
15 May 2016
CAPI103
LEON97
12 May 2016
CAPI98
LEON84
07 May 2016
CAPI88
LEON72
29 Mar 2016
CAPI96
LEON90
21 Jul 2015
CAPI81
LEON91
17 Jul 2015
CAPI76
LEON63
12 Jul 2015
CAPI80
LEON79
23 May 2015
CAPI90
LEON83
16 Mar 2015
CAPI86
LEON61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capitanes de Arecibo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leones De Ponce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capitanes de AreciboPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArecibo
Date
Competition
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
73-68
73
68
+5
63avg 86
A02/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
L
84-101
84
101
-17
70avg 86
H04/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
91-89
91
89
+2
87avg 86
A06/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
88avg 86
H08/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
94-74
94
74
+20
92avg 86
A11/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
90-99
90
99
-9
87avg 86
H13/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
89-86
89
86
+3
85avg 86
H15/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
L
75-84
75
84
-9
67avg 86
A18/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
99-82
99
82
+17
98avg 86
A24/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
86avg 86
H27/04
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
18-14
25-21
15-16
20-26
19-20
25-28
20-27
19-24
16-24
30-22
26-19
22-29
17-13
24-24
31-25
24-12
18-12
23-28
29-22
19-26
17-30
31-25
23-18
20-16
19-22
22-26
28-22
27-22
20-18
17-23
11-21
28-14
21-25
23-24
27-19
24-22
19-15
17-16
31-27
173.4Avg total
88.0Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.284.3170.5+1.967%
Season at home (7)88.789.1177.9-0.471%
Season away (8)84.080.1164.1+3.962%
Last 10 (10)88.085.4173.4+2.670%
Last 5 (5)88.886.2175.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (28)88.191.8179.9-3.646%
vs Weaker (2)93.089.5182.5+3.5100%
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones De PoncePuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPonce
Date
Competition
Criollos de Caguas
#7
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
82avg 78
A27/03
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
76avg 78
A31/03
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
W
86-84
86
84
+2
76avg 78
A02/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
60avg 78
H06/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
91-94
91
94
-3
84avg 78
A08/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
70avg 78
A10/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
61-72
61
72
-11
53avg 78
H13/04
BSN
San German
#8
L
84-86
84
86
-2
74avg 78
A20/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
70avg 78
H24/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
87-77
87
77
+10
82avg 78
H27/04
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
13-23
20-19
25-17
21-24
25-18
16-25
24-25
18-26
18-19
24-27
26-12
24-20
21-16
20-19
19-27
29-22
13-17
24-24
25-31
22-28
17-9
21-19
17-18
23-12
8-20
17-26
13-14
18-20
14-25
25-23
27-18
14-28
25-21
24-23
19-27
27-22
30-19
11-19
19-17
168.5Avg total
82.9Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.586.8169.3-4.436%
Season at home (5)78.485.8164.2-7.440%
Season away (6)85.887.7173.5-1.833%
Last 10 (10)82.985.6168.5-2.740%
Last 5 (5)78.281.6159.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.790.0179.7-0.367%
vs Similar ◀ (25)84.785.6170.4-0.944%
vs Weaker (2)82.075.5157.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Capitanes de AreciboLeones De Ponce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Capitanes de AreciboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A02/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H04/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A06/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H08/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A11/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H13/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H15/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A18/04
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#5
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A24/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H27/04
BSN
80.3Avg total
40.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.787.1-0.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.742.788.4+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.244.785.9-3.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.180.3+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.084.8+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (28)43.344.087.4-0.757%-
vs Weaker (2)45.039.084.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones De PonceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Criollos de Caguas
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A27/03
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A31/03
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A02/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H06/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A08/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A10/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H13/04
BSN
San German
#8
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A20/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H24/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H27/04
BSN
81.4Avg total
40.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.182.9-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.240.283.4+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)37.944.482.3-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.181.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.880.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.043.383.3-3.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)40.342.282.5-2.044%-
vs Weaker (2)48.039.087.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Capitanes de Arecibotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capitanes de Arecibo: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.7
55.8%
53.8%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.8
33.4%
36.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.112.2
80.8%
75.6%12.2
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leones De Poncetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones De Ponce: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.1
50.2%
53.8%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.8
32.4%
36.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.014.3
75.3%
75.6%14.3
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Capitanes de Arecibo
WWLWLWWWLW
Leones De Ponce
WLLLWLWWLL
#6
League position
#5
+3.4
Net rating
-4.1
112.8
Offensive rating
107.4
109.5
Defensive rating
111.5
53.4%
Effective FG%
49.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
13.6%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.4%
3-point %
32.4%
58.2%
Assist %
51.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 107.4Defence109.5 · 111.5Shooting53.4% · 49.6%3-point %33.4% · 32.4%Ball care15.0% · 13.6%Off. rebounds29.5% · 26.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Capitanes de Arecibo   ■ Leones De Ponce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HCriollos de Caguas91-80
24/04/25ALeones De Ponce99-82
18/04/25ACriollos de Caguas75-84
15/04/25HAguada Santeros89-86
13/04/25HGigantes de Carolina90-99
11/04/25AGigantes de Carolina94-74
08/04/25HLeones De Ponce94-91
06/04/25AOsos de Manati91-89
04/04/25HMets de Guaynabo84-101
02/04/25APiratas de Quebradillas73-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HAguada Santeros87-77
24/04/25HCapitanes de Arecibo82-99
20/04/25ASan German84-86
13/04/25HIndios de Mayaguez61-72
10/04/25AAguada Santeros77-74
08/04/25ACapitanes de Arecibo91-94
06/04/25HCriollos de Caguas84-82
02/04/25AIndios de Mayaguez86-84
31/03/25ACangrejeros86-92
27/03/25ACriollos de Caguas91-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capitanes de Arecibo
BSN 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%71%62%
Points / game86.288.784.0
Allowed / game84.389.180.1
Point differential+1.9-0.4+3.9
Avg total170.5177.9164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leones De Ponce
BSN 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game82.578.485.8
Allowed / game86.885.887.7
Point differential-4.4-7.4-1.8
Avg total169.3164.2173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vaqueros de Bayamon1512380%88.379.3+9.0
2 Capitanes de Arecibo1510567%86.284.3+1.9
3 Indios de Mayaguez159660%83.180.3+2.8
4 Gigantes de Carolina127558%90.089.2+0.8
5 Cangrejeros148657%84.986.1-1.2
6 Criollos de Caguas147750%88.186.1+2.0
7 Mets de Guaynabo157847%91.793.1-1.4
8 Piratas de Quebradillas146843%83.785.5-1.8
9 Leones De Ponce114736%82.586.8-4.4
10 San German124833%85.190.8-5.8
11 Osos de Manati113827%91.894.6-2.8
12 Aguada Santeros123925%81.884.5-2.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Capitanes de Arecibo2227192088
Leones De Ponce1819322594
← all games of the day
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