Leones De Ponce vs Capitanes de Arecibo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Jul 2015

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 70-67

18-19 22-14 15-20 15-14

Position#3

Record36-24

FormLWLWW

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game77.7

Leones De Ponce 🏆

Capitanes de Arecibo

Position#1

Record40-19

FormWLWLL

Points / game84.3

Allowed / game80.1

BSNBSN - Final

Other2015

Meetings · Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leones De Ponce winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Capitanes de Arecibo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leones De Ponce Puerto Rico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cangrejeros

67-65

H02/07

BSN

Cangrejeros

83-82

A04/07

BSN

Cangrejeros

83-76 OT

H05/07

BSN

Cangrejeros

64-73

-9

A08/07

BSN

Cangrejeros

83-61

+22

H10/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

79-80

-1

A12/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

85-83

H16/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

63-76

-13

A18/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

79-69 OT

+10

H19/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

91-81

+10

A22/07

BSN

22-22

10-15

17-15

18-13

18-26

16-25

18-17

31-14

23-13

14-11

16-16

15-28

21-22

12-16

12-14

19-21

17-7

21-11

20-28

25-15

29-21

13-21

15-17

22-21

17-17

26-18

20-24

22-24

7-22

12-11

27-29

17-14

19-17

17-20

19-20

12-10

15-13

24-18

27-24

25-26

152.3Avg total

77.7Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (60)	79.3	77.7	157.0	+1.5	60%
Season at home (31)	81.7	76.6	158.3	+5.1	81%
Season away (29)	76.7	78.9	155.6	-2.2	38%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	74.6	152.3	+3.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	77.8	157.2	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (27)	78.6	77.6	156.1	+1.0	59%
vs Weaker (3)	91.3	80.3	171.7	+11.0	67%

This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Capitanes de Arecibo Puerto Rico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaqueros de Bayamon

91-85

H01/07

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

81-77

A03/07

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

92-90

H05/07

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

74-90

-16

A07/07

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

88-79

H09/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

80-79

H12/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

83-85

-2

A16/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

76-63

+13

H18/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

69-79 OT

-10

A19/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

81-91

-10

H22/07

BSN

20-17

26-17

22-21

23-30

–

27-25

21-17

18-24

26-24

13-21

17-16

19-27

25-26

17-17

22-15

27-25

22-22

21-29

21-13

17-15

21-22

17-17

18-26

24-20

24-22

22-7

11-12

29-27

14-17

17-19

20-17

20-19

10-12

13-15

18-24

24-27

26-25

163.3Avg total

81.5Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (59)	84.3	80.1	164.4	+4.2	68%
Season at home (32)	87.0	78.2	165.1	+8.8	91%
Season away (27)	81.1	82.4	163.5	-1.4	41%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	81.8	163.3	-0.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	79.4	157.2	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	82.4	79.8	162.2	+2.7	65%
vs Weaker (7)	87.7	85.6	173.3	+2.1	57%

This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Leones De PonceCapitanes de Arecibo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	16.7	38.2	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.0	35.4	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (27)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.5	52%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	13.3	37.0	+10.3	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	54%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.0	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.6	18.6	37.1	+0.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.4	48%	-
vs Weaker (7)	25.1	19.9	45.0	+5.3	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.4	36.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	16.6	33.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (27)	18.3	17.1	35.4	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.3	20.3	44.7	+4.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	18.7	37.6	+0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.3	17.4	36.8	+1.9	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.4	36.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.6	22.1	40.7	-3.6	14%	-

Leones De PonceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cangrejeros

32-37

-5

H02/07

BSN

Cangrejeros

34-51

-17

A04/07

BSN

Cangrejeros

37-24

+13

H05/07

BSN

Cangrejeros

33-38

-5

A08/07

BSN

Cangrejeros

38-18

+20

H10/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

42-42

A12/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

43-35

H16/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

19-33

-14

A18/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

36-37

-1

H19/07

BSN

Capitanes de Arecibo

39-31

A22/07

BSN

69.9Avg total

35.3Scored

34.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	35.7	74.4	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	33.1	74.2	+8.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.2	38.3	74.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	34.6	69.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	35.6	71.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (27)	37.6	35.9	73.6	+1.7	52%	-
vs Weaker (3)	48.0	33.7	81.7	+14.3	100%	-

This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Capitanes de AreciboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaqueros de Bayamon

46-34

+12

H01/07

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

48-42

H05/07

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

30-37

-7

A07/07

BSN

Vaqueros de Bayamon

39-32

H09/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

42-42

H12/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

35-43

-8

A16/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

33-19

+14

H18/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

37-36

A19/07

BSN

Leones De Ponce

31-39

-8

H22/07

BSN

73.9Avg total

37.9Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.9	37.3	77.2	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	36.2	77.0	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.8	38.6	77.5	+0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.9	36.0	73.9	+1.9	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	35.8	71.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	38.6	35.8	74.4	+2.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.7	42.0	85.7	+1.7	71%	-

This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.5	41.1	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	22.1	41.8	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.8	44.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (27)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	28.0	50.3	-5.7	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	22.1	22.8	44.9	-0.7	46%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	22.4	46.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	23.3	43.2	-3.5	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.2	22.8	45.0	-0.6	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.6	44.4	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.6	22.7	45.3	-0.0	52%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.6	23.3	43.9	-2.7	29%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.5	40.1	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (27)	19.9	19.8	39.7	+0.0	48%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	18.7	39.7	+2.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.6	20.9	42.5	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	21.3	42.5	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	20.5	42.5	+1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.2	22.2	43.4	-1.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.2	48%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.4	20.3	43.7	+3.1	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	41.2	80.7	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	41.5	80.4	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	40.9	81.1	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	39.0	78.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	41.8	83.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (27)	39.1	40.6	79.7	-1.6	41%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	46.7	90.0	-3.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	43.7	43.8	87.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.3	43.7	89.0	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.8	43.8	85.6	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	43.4	45.0	88.4	-1.6	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	41.2	83.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (21)	43.6	43.8	87.4	-0.2	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.0	43.6	87.6	+0.4	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Leones De Ponce wins

Capitanes de Arecibo wins

Date	Game	Score
22/07/15	Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce	81-91
19/07/15	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	79-69 OT
18/07/15	Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce	76-63
16/07/15	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	85-83
12/07/15	Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce	80-79
24/05/15	Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce	90-83
30/04/15	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	73-62
07/04/15	Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo	85-90 OT
17/03/15	Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce	86-61

Leones De Poncelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/07/15	A	Capitanes de Arecibo	91-81
19/07/15	H	Capitanes de Arecibo	79-69 OT
18/07/15	A	Capitanes de Arecibo	63-76
16/07/15	H	Capitanes de Arecibo	85-83
12/07/15	A	Capitanes de Arecibo	79-80
10/07/15	H	Cangrejeros	83-61
08/07/15	A	Cangrejeros	64-73
05/07/15	H	Cangrejeros	83-76 OT
04/07/15	A	Cangrejeros	83-82
02/07/15	H	Cangrejeros	67-65

Capitanes de Arecibolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/07/15	H	Leones De Ponce	81-91
19/07/15	A	Leones De Ponce	69-79 OT
18/07/15	H	Leones De Ponce	76-63
16/07/15	A	Leones De Ponce	83-85
12/07/15	H	Leones De Ponce	80-79
09/07/15	H	Vaqueros de Bayamon	88-79
07/07/15	A	Vaqueros de Bayamon	74-90
05/07/15	H	Vaqueros de Bayamon	92-90
03/07/15	A	Vaqueros de Bayamon	81-77
01/07/15	H	Vaqueros de Bayamon	91-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leones De Ponce

BSN 2015

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	60%
Home	WWWWW	81%
Away	WLLLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	60	31	29
Win %	60%	81%	38%
Points / game	79.3	81.7	76.7
Allowed / game	77.7	76.6	78.9
Point differential	+1.6	+5.1	-2.2
Avg total	157.0	158.3	155.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	26%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (24)	77% (13)	45% (11)
Overtime %	12%	16%	7%

Capitanes de Arecibo

BSN 2015

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	68%
Home	WWWWL	91%
Away	WWLLL	41%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	59	32	27
Win %	68%	91%	41%
Points / game	84.3	87.0	81.1
Allowed / game	80.1	78.2	82.4
Point differential	+4.2	+8.8	-1.4
Avg total	164.4	165.1	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	38%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (20)	71% (7)	46% (13)
Overtime %	7%	3%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Capitanes de Arecibo	59	40	19	68%	84.3	80.1	+4.2
2	Cangrejeros	55	35	20	64%	79.9	76.1	+3.9
3	Leones De Ponce	60	36	24	60%	79.3	77.7	+1.6
4	Vaqueros de Bayamon	55	30	25	55%	77.8	77.1	+0.8
5	Osos de Manati	50	27	23	54%	78.5	76.8	+1.7
6	San German	49	25	24	51%	81.1	81.7	-0.6
7	Mets de Guaynabo	49	24	25	49%	85.2	84.0	+1.1
8	Brujos de Guayama	49	24	25	49%	81.4	81.2	+0.2
9	Maratonistas de Coamo	44	21	23	48%	81.9	82.2	-0.4
10	Indios de Mayaguez	44	21	23	48%	81.8	83.1	-1.3
11	Piratas de Quebradillas	44	16	28	36%	81.8	85.5	-3.7
12	Caciques de Humacao	44	2	42	5%	80.9	91.7	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Leones De Ponce	18	22	15	15	70
Capitanes de Arecibo	19	14	20	14	67

← all games of the day

Leones De Ponce vs Capitanes de Arecibo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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