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Leones De Ponce vs Capitanes de Arecibo Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 May 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-91
15-33 20-21 25-14 20-23
Position#7
Record6-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game87.6
vs
Position#1
Record14-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game87.9
Puerto RicoBSN· Auditorio Juan Pachín Vicéns
Other2024
Meetings · Leones De Ponce v Capitanes de Arecibo
30 Apr 2025
LEON93
CAPI71
23 Apr 2025
LEON82
CAPI99
10 Jun 2024
LEON89
CAPI100
19 May 2024
LEON80
CAPI91
10 Jun 2023
LEON103
CAPI92
23 Mar 2023
LEON103
CAPI101
18 Jun 2022
LEON84
CAPI87
10 Jun 2022
LEON92
CAPI88
18 Aug 2021
LEON79
CAPI86
24 Jul 2021
LEON89
CAPI95
09 Jun 2020
LEON v CAPI
upcoming
20 Mar 2020
LEON v CAPI
upcoming
08 May 2019
LEON104
CAPI102
24 Mar 2019
LEON110
CAPI86
31 Aug 2018
LEON91
CAPI72
28 Aug 2018
LEON74
CAPI78
24 Aug 2018
LEON103
CAPI95
09 Aug 2018
LEON103
CAPI91
05 Jul 2018
LEON76
CAPI71
16 Jun 2018
LEON81
CAPI85
17 May 2018
LEON78
CAPI81
10 Jul 2017
LEON103
CAPI104
06 Jul 2017
LEON103
CAPI97
03 Jul 2017
LEON70
CAPI68
24 May 2017
LEON90
CAPI70
15 Apr 2017
LEON88
CAPI86
17 May 2016
LEON114
CAPI115
14 May 2016
LEON86
CAPI96
23 Apr 2016
LEON86
CAPI74
13 Mar 2016
LEON77
CAPI86
23 Jul 2015
LEON70
CAPI67
19 Jul 2015
LEON79
CAPI69
15 Jul 2015
LEON85
CAPI83
29 Apr 2015
LEON73
CAPI62
06 Apr 2015
LEON85
CAPI90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leones De Ponce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capitanes de Arecibo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leones De PoncePuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPonce
Date
Competition
Cangrejeros
#6
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 70
A24/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
77-87
77
87
-10
69avg 70
A27/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
67avg 70
H28/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
L
85-103
85
103
-18
76avg 70
A02/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
L
66-76
66
76
-10
59avg 70
H04/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
L
71-113
71
113
-42
56avg 70
A05/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
L
74-94
74
94
-20
68avg 70
A08/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#5
W
104-100
104
100
+4
98avg 70
A11/05
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
97-101
97
101
-4
90avg 70
A15/05
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#8
W
77-69
77
69
+8
68avg 70
H17/05
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
12-21
26-15
20-25
24-32
19-16
24-15
10-24
17-18
19-25
18-15
21-16
19-30
20-17
28-23
18-33
16-15
21-19
13-25
16-17
19-36
21-28
15-21
16-28
16-28
13-19
20-19
25-28
16-31
32-27
28-29
28-13
23-26
22-27
25-27
27-21
29-18
19-11
4-26
25-14
170.6Avg total
81.0Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.987.6166.5-8.740%
Season at home (6)76.374.5150.8+1.867%
Season away (9)80.796.3177.0-15.722%
Last 10 (10)81.089.6170.6-8.640%
Last 5 (5)84.695.4180.0-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)89.087.0176.0+2.075%
vs Similar ◀ (23)80.487.4167.8-7.039%
vs Weaker (3)111.790.3202.0+21.3100%
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capitanes de AreciboPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArecibo
Date
Competition
Leones De Ponce
#7
W
87-77
87
77
+10
79avg 89
H27/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
99-77
99
77
+22
105avg 89
A29/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#8
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 89
H01/05
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
W
94-86
94
86
+8
94avg 89
A03/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
L
95-104
95
104
-9
82avg 89
H06/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 89
A08/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
W
107-98
107
98
+9
100avg 89
H10/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
94avg 89
A12/05
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
W
101-97
101
97
+4
91avg 89
H15/05
BSN
Cangrejeros
#6
W
104-102
104
102
+2
99avg 89
H18/05
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
16-19
15-24
24-10
16-19
25-15
30-21
28-22
31-26
22-22
19-17
18-16
22-23
20-16
33-29
19-18
21-20
25-24
20-28
29-32
17-19
22-13
20-22
17-24
23-29
21-26
33-29
30-14
20-27
16-18
26-26
27-18
26-23
27-22
27-25
21-27
23-17
26-23
25-32
30-30
185.9Avg total
95.7Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)94.487.9182.2+6.582%
Season at home (9)96.790.7187.3+6.089%
Season away (8)91.884.8176.5+7.075%
Last 10 (10)95.790.2185.9+5.580%
Last 5 (5)98.495.4193.8+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)91.590.4181.8+1.152%
vs Weaker (5)99.688.6188.2+11.080%
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.2+3.2
Leones De PonceCapitanes de Arecibo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leones De PonceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cangrejeros
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A27/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H28/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A02/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
L
40-64
40
64
-24
A05/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A08/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#5
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A11/05
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A15/05
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#8
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H17/05
BSN
86.5Avg total
40.3Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.184.2-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.838.979.7+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)41.346.888.1-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)40.346.286.5-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)42.050.292.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.846.286.0-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)39.442.882.3-3.435%-
vs Weaker (3)55.341.096.3+14.3100%-
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capitanes de AreciboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones De Ponce
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H27/04
BSN
San German
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A29/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#8
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H01/05
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A03/05
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A08/05
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#10
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H10/05
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A12/05
BSN
Leones De Ponce
#7
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H15/05
BSN
Cangrejeros
#6
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H18/05
BSN
87.6Avg total
45.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.941.886.7+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.742.389.0+4.373%-
Last 30 away (15)43.141.384.4+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)45.142.587.6+2.680%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.487.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)44.042.186.1+1.964%-
vs Weaker (5)49.440.489.8+9.080%-
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leones De Poncetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones De Ponce: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.0
50.3%
53.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.7
33.6%
35.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.316.5
77.5%
74.6%16.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capitanes de Arecibotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capitanes de Arecibo: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
53.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.713.0
41.0%
35.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws17.313.1
75.7%
74.6%13.1
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leones De Ponce
WLWLLLLWLW
Capitanes de Arecibo
WWWWLLWWWW
#7
League position
#1
-12.3
Net rating
+7.9
103.9
Offensive rating
119.5
116.1
Defensive rating
111.6
50.3%
Effective FG%
61.1%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.6%
3-point %
41.0%
52.3%
Assist %
59.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 119.5Defence116.1 · 111.6Shooting50.3% · 61.1%3-point %33.6% · 41.0%Ball care17.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds24.4% · 22.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Leones De Ponce   ■ Capitanes de Arecibo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/24HAguada Santeros77-69
15/05/24ACapitanes de Arecibo97-101
11/05/24AGigantes de Carolina104-100
08/05/24APiratas de Quebradillas74-94
05/05/24ACriollos de Caguas71-113
04/05/24HIndios de Mayaguez66-76
02/05/24AMets de Guaynabo85-103
28/04/24HAguada Santeros75-74
27/04/24ACapitanes de Arecibo77-87
24/04/24ACangrejeros84-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24HCangrejeros104-102
15/05/24HLeones De Ponce101-97
12/05/24ACriollos de Caguas104-102 OT
10/05/24HIndios de Mayaguez107-98
08/05/24AIndios de Mayaguez76-78
06/05/24HPiratas de Quebradillas95-104
03/05/24AVaqueros de Bayamon94-86
01/05/24HAguada Santeros90-81
29/04/24ASan German99-77
27/04/24HLeones De Ponce87-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leones De Ponce
BSN 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %40%67%22%
Points / game78.976.380.7
Allowed / game87.674.596.3
Point differential-8.7+1.8-15.7
Avg total166.5150.8177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Capitanes de Arecibo
BSN 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %82%89%75%
Points / game94.496.791.8
Allowed / game87.990.784.8
Point differential+6.5+6.0+7.0
Avg total182.2187.3176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%22%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Capitanes de Arecibo1714382%94.487.9+6.5
2 Criollos de Caguas1611569%94.089.5+4.5
3 Indios de Mayaguez1912763%87.585.3+2.2
4 Mets de Guaynabo1810856%88.289.2-1.1
5 Cangrejeros147750%90.890.1+0.7
6 Osos de Manati189950%91.293.4-2.3
7 Piratas de Quebradillas2091145%85.085.3-0.3
8 Gigantes de Carolina1881044%95.493.4+2.0
9 Leones De Ponce156940%78.987.6-8.7
10 Vaqueros de Bayamon1971237%85.787.7-2.0
11 Aguada Santeros2281436%82.282.3-0.1
12 San German2071335%86.588.2-1.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leones De Ponce1520252080
Capitanes de Arecibo3321142391
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