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Leones De Ponce vs Osos de Manati Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 99-79
22-17 24-16 23-22 30-24
Position#5
Record17-16
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Position#12
Record8-25
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game96.0
Puerto RicoBSN· Auditorio Juan Pachín Vicéns
Other2025
Meetings · Leones De Ponce v Osos de Manati
29 Jun 2025
LEON99
OSOS79
18 Apr 2024
LEON86
OSOS67
29 May 2023
LEON109
OSOS88
28 Apr 2023
LEON108
OSOS106
07 Apr 2016
LEON70
OSOS78
05 May 2015
LEON78
OSOS67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leones De Ponce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osos de Manati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leones De PoncePuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPonce
Date
Competition
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
W
97-94
97
94
+3
90avg 80
H03/06
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
L
82-103
82
103
-21
74avg 80
A05/06
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
92-81
92
81
+11
98avg 80
A10/06
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
95-89
95
89
+6
93avg 80
H12/06
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
76-77
76
77
-1
68avg 80
A14/06
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
88-107
88
107
-19
81avg 80
A18/06
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
L
105-112
105
112
-7
107avg 80
A20/06
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
W
105-96 OT
105
96
+9
101avg 80
H22/06
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
93-83
93
83
+10
88avg 80
A25/06
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
113-84
113
84
+29
117avg 80
A27/06
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
29-18
25-26
17-27
23-19
19-23
22-30
18-31
23-20
23-14
16-29
30-18
23-17
26-21
22-29
24-22
30-12
16-23
16-22
14-20
18-31
19-19
28-28
23-29
26-20
24-19
24-35
31-38
15-25
21-22
32-31
25-15
30-28
26-16
23-26
14-13
31-18
23-25
23-22
36-19
187.2Avg total
94.6Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)87.988.2176.1-0.352%
Season at home (16)86.686.1172.8+0.562%
Season away (17)89.190.1179.2-1.141%
Last 10 (10)94.692.6187.2+2.060%
Last 5 (5)100.896.4197.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)96.5101.5198.0-5.050%
vs Similar (21)85.685.7171.3-0.052%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)93.488.7182.1+4.771%
This opponent (Osos de Manati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Osos de ManatiPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManati
Date
Competition
San German
#8
L
88-102
88
102
-14
80avg 88
H29/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
82-105
82
105
-23
71avg 88
A02/06
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
L
96-97
96
97
-1
96avg 88
H04/06
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
103-105
103
105
-2
96avg 88
H06/06
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
100-97
100
97
+3
95avg 88
H11/06
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
91-112
91
112
-21
87avg 88
H15/06
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 88
A18/06
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
W
98-96
98
96
+2
98avg 88
H24/06
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
100-87
100
87
+13
105avg 88
A26/06
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
101-94
101
94
+7
98avg 88
H28/06
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
14-25
30-24
19-31
17-26
21-21
24-23
20-35
25-27
26-18
25-29
20-23
25-31
17-24
36-29
25-21
28-24
23-20
26-25
23-28
23-31
22-17
21-31
25-33
22-27
20-14
14-32
17-15
31-27
21-31
20-24
26-14
29-21
27-17
24-22
20-27
31-28
19-17
31-23
20-26
191.5Avg total
93.2Scored
98.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)90.996.0187.0-5.124%
Season at home (17)93.698.0191.6-4.429%
Season away (16)88.193.9182.1-5.819%
Last 10 (10)93.298.3191.5-5.140%
Last 5 (5)92.695.4188.0-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)90.596.8187.3-6.39%
vs Similar (8)90.494.4184.8-4.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.8-3.8
Leones De PonceOsos de Manati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leones De PonceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H03/06
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A05/06
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A10/06
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H12/06
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A14/06
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A18/06
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A20/06
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H22/06
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A25/06
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A27/06
BSN
88.4Avg total
47.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.983.4+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.739.882.5+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)42.541.984.4+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)47.141.388.4+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.644.691.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.548.585.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (21)42.039.381.2+2.762%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.143.489.6+2.757%-
This opponent (Osos de Manati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Osos de ManatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San German
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H29/05
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A02/06
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H04/06
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H06/06
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H11/06
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H15/06
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/06
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H24/06
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A26/06
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H28/06
BSN
93.4Avg total
46.6Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.546.590.1-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.548.193.6-2.638%-
Last 30 away (14)41.344.886.1-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)46.646.893.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)49.046.095.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)43.846.490.2-2.541%-
vs Similar (8)42.847.089.8-4.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leones De Poncetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones De Ponce: 93.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.6
57.8%
53.8%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.3
37.1%
36.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.915.5
77.9%
75.6%15.5
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osos de Manatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osos de Manati: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.426.2
55.3%
53.8%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.2
35.0%
36.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
75.6%16.0
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leones De Ponce
WWWLLLWWLW
Osos de Manati
WWWLLWLLLL
#5
League position
#12
+2.0
Net rating
-5.0
117.9
Offensive rating
114.5
115.9
Defensive rating
119.5
56.9%
Effective FG%
54.4%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.1%
3-point %
35.0%
67.8%
Assist %
64.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 114.5Defence115.9 · 119.5Shooting56.9% · 54.4%3-point %37.1% · 35.0%Ball care13.9% · 15.0%Off. rebounds25.3% · 29.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Leones De Ponce   ■ Osos de Manati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/06/25AAguada Santeros113-84
25/06/25AGigantes de Carolina93-83
22/06/25HVaqueros de Bayamon105-96 OT
20/06/25AMets de Guaynabo105-112
18/06/25AVaqueros de Bayamon88-107
14/06/25AIndios de Mayaguez76-77
12/06/25HPiratas de Quebradillas95-89
10/06/25APiratas de Quebradillas92-81
05/06/25AAguada Santeros82-103
03/06/25HMets de Guaynabo97-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25HCriollos de Caguas101-94
26/06/25ACriollos de Caguas100-87
24/06/25HMets de Guaynabo98-96
18/06/25ACangrejeros73-88
15/06/25HGigantes de Carolina91-112
11/06/25HGigantes de Carolina100-97
06/06/25HCangrejeros103-105
04/06/25HCriollos de Caguas96-97
02/06/25AGigantes de Carolina82-105
29/05/25HSan German88-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leones De Ponce
BSN 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayLLLWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %52%62%41%
Points / game87.986.689.1
Allowed / game88.286.190.1
Point differential-0.3+0.5-1.1
Avg total176.1172.8179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)71% (7)33% (6)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Osos de Manati
BSN 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW24%
HomeLWLWW29%
AwayLLLLW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %24%29%19%
Points / game90.993.688.1
Allowed / game96.098.093.9
Point differential-5.1-4.4-5.8
Avg total187.0191.6182.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (15)44% (9)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vaqueros de Bayamon34241071%91.984.9+7.0
2 Cangrejeros33211264%90.287.5+2.7
3 Indios de Mayaguez33211264%89.486.7+2.7
4 Piratas de Quebradillas34201459%90.990.6+0.3
5 Criollos de Caguas34181653%91.491.4+0.1
6 Leones De Ponce33171652%87.988.2-0.3
7 Capitanes de Arecibo33171652%86.487.5-1.1
8 Gigantes de Carolina33161748%89.790.4-0.7
9 San German33151845%90.690.2+0.4
10 Mets de Guaynabo33122136%95.197.7-2.6
11 Aguada Santeros34112332%89.993.4-3.6
12 Osos de Manati3382524%90.996.0-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leones De Ponce2224233099
Osos de Manati1716222479
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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