Leones Quilpue host CD Puerto Varas on 7 November 2026 in the LNB, and the Pythia model names Leones Quilpue as the clear favourite, rating them 93% to win largely because of their 38-11 record, 82.6 points per game and only 75.9 allowed, placing them third in the league, while CD Puerto Varas sit 24-28 with 78.4 points per game and 81.7 allowed, seventh in the standings. Leones Quilpue have gone 20-4 at home, averaging 82.4 points and conceding 73.2, and are 4-1 in their last five games, including a 89-68 win over Puerto Montt, a 86-61 win over CD Puerto Varas and a 91-81 win over Ancud; CD Puerto Varas are 7-19 on the road, 76.0 points per game, 84.1 allowed, 2-3 in their last five, with a recent 82-68 win over Espanol Osorno and a 78-69 win away. In their ten meetings Leones Quilpue have won eight, most recently defeating CD Puerto Varas 86-61 on 31 October. The Pythia model projects a 87-70 score, 157 total points, a 93% chance for Leones Quilpue to win and a 7% chance for CD Puerto Varas, a home line of -18.5 with a 43% probability of covering, and a 2% chance of overtime. The game will likely see Leones Quilpue extend their home dominance.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (49) | 82.6 | 75.9 | 158.5 | +6.7 | 78% |
| Season at home (24) | 82.4 | 73.2 | 155.6 | +9.1 | 83% |
| Season away (25) | 82.8 | 78.5 | 161.3 | +4.3 | 72% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.7 | 70.4 | 154.1 | +13.3 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.0 | 73.0 | 157.0 | +11.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 78.7 | 82.1 | 160.8 | -3.4 | 55% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 85.2 | 69.4 | 154.6 | +15.8 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (52) | 78.4 | 81.7 | 160.0 | -3.3 | 46% |
| Season at home (26) | 80.8 | 79.2 | 160.0 | +1.6 | 65% |
| Season away (26) | 76.0 | 84.1 | 160.1 | -8.1 | 27% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.9 | 85.4 | 161.3 | -9.5 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.0 | 84.4 | 157.4 | -11.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 73.4 | 92.4 | 165.8 | -19.0 | 8% |
| vs Similar (16) | 75.6 | 76.4 | 152.0 | -0.8 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 89.5 | 68.0 | 157.5 | +21.5 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.1 | 35.3 | 78.4 | +7.8 | 80% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 44.3 | 32.9 | 77.2 | +11.3 | 93% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.9 | 37.7 | 79.5 | +4.2 | 67% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.7 | 31.6 | 75.3 | +12.1 | 90% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.0 | 31.4 | 74.4 | +11.6 | 80% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 40.4 | 41.9 | 82.3 | -1.5 | 55% | 73% |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 44.6 | 31.5 | 76.1 | +13.2 | 95% | 37% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.2 | 42.8 | 80.0 | -5.6 | 40% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.3 | 41.2 | 81.5 | -0.9 | 60% | 73% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 34.2 | 44.4 | 78.6 | -10.2 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.4 | 44.1 | 80.5 | -7.7 | 30% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.6 | 44.0 | 78.6 | -9.4 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 34.5 | 48.4 | 82.9 | -13.9 | 17% | 75% |
| vs Similar (16) | 39.4 | 40.0 | 79.4 | -0.6 | 50% | 69% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 36.5 | 31.5 | 68.0 | +5.0 | 100% | 0% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leones Quilpue win | 92.5% | 1.04 | 1.08 | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.02 | +7.2pp | Won |
| CD Puerto Varas over 64.5 | 71.1% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Leones Quilpue (regulation) | 91.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Leones Quilpue over 81.5 | 70.7% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.7 | 18.2 | 52.2% | 36.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 33.1 | 11.6 | 31.9% | 34.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.6 | 11.8 | 71.0% | 11.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.1 | 20.9 | 52.2% | 41.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.7 | 6.0 | 31.9% | 18.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.9 | 14.0 | 71.0% | 14.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | CD Puerto Varas v Leones Quilpue | 61-86 |
| 08/10/26 | Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas | 98-84 |
| 02/06/25 | CD Puerto Varas v Leones Quilpue | 64-67 |
| 21/05/25 | Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas | 73-70 |
| 20/05/25 | Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas | 66-63 |
| 14/03/25 | CD Puerto Varas v Leones Quilpue | 78-64 |
| 06/03/25 | Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas | 89-56 |
| 16/03/24 | CD Puerto Varas v Leones Quilpue | 90-81 |
| 09/03/24 | Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas | 84-71 |
| 08/04/23 | Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas | 92-51 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | A | Puerto Montt | 89-68 |
| 31/10/26 | A | CD Puerto Varas | 86-61 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Ancud | 91-81 |
| 25/10/26 | A | U. De Concepcion | 64-89 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Puente Alto | 90-66 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Puerto Montt | 75-54 |
| 08/10/26 | H | CD Puerto Varas | 98-84 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Ancud | 85-75 |
| 01/10/26 | H | Espanol Osorno | 81-61 |
| 01/10/26 | H | Valdivia | 78-65 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | Espanol Osorno | 82-68 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Leones Quilpue | 61-86 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Espanol Osorno | 78-69 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Valdivia | 83-96 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Valdivia | 61-103 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Puente Alto | 70-75 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Leones Quilpue | 84-98 |
| 07/10/26 | A | Puente Alto | 76-89 |
| 03/10/26 | H | U. De Concepcion | 91-98 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Ancud | 73-72 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 78% |
| Home | WWWWW | 83% |
| Away | WLWWW | 72% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 49 | 24 | 25 |
| Win % | 78% | 83% | 72% |
| Points / game | 82.6 | 82.4 | 82.8 |
| Allowed / game | 75.9 | 73.2 | 78.5 |
| Point differential | +6.7 | +9.1 | +4.3 |
| Avg total | 158.5 | 155.6 | 161.3 |
| Over 155.25 | 61% | 54% | 68% |
| Win by 10+ | 51% | 58% | 44% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (9) | 100% (3) | 100% (6) |
| Overtime % | 2% | 4% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLW | 46% |
| Home | LLLLW | 65% |
| Away | LLLLW | 27% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 52 | 26 | 26 |
| Win % | 46% | 65% | 27% |
| Points / game | 78.4 | 80.8 | 76.0 |
| Allowed / game | 81.7 | 79.2 | 84.1 |
| Point differential | -3.3 | +1.6 | -8.1 |
| Avg total | 160.0 | 160.0 | 160.1 |
| Over 155.25 | 56% | 50% | 62% |
| Win by 10+ | 15% | 27% | 4% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (18) | 75% (12) | 50% (6) |
| Overtime % | 2% | 0% | 4% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 83% | 93.0 | 78.0 | +15.0 | |
| 2 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 78% | 86.8 | 75.2 | +11.7 | |
| 3 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 78% | 82.6 | 75.9 | +6.7 | |
| 4 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 55% | 81.6 | 80.1 | +1.5 | |
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 53% | 84.2 | 80.6 | +3.6 | |
| 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 50% | 78.4 | 78.4 | +0.0 | |
| 7 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 46% | 78.4 | 81.7 | -3.3 | |
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 44% | 82.3 | 93.7 | -11.4 | |
| 9 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 42% | 78.0 | 81.4 | -3.4 | |
| 10 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 35% | 80.3 | 83.7 | -3.3 | |
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 23 | 32% | 76.4 | 82.7 | -6.4 | |
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 24 | 29% | 78.1 | 88.1 | -10.0 | |
| 13 | 35 | 10 | 25 | 29% | 78.6 | 81.6 | -3.0 | |
| 14 | 32 | 5 | 27 | 16% | 76.1 | 89.6 | -13.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 15 | 24 | 29 | 97 | |
| 25 | 11 | 19 | 14 | 69 |
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