Leones Quilpue host CD Puerto Varas on 8 November 2026 in the LNB, and the Pythia model names the Quilpue as the clear favourite, rating them 93% to win largely because of their 39-11 record, 82.9 points scored per game and 75.8 allowed, placing them third in the league, while Puerto Varas sit 7th with a 24-29 record, 78.2 points scored and 81.9 allowed; the Quilpue have also dominated the last ten meetings, winning eight of ten and most recently beating Puerto Varas 97-69 on 7 November, and they have won four of their last five games, including a 97-69 home win, a 89-68 away win and an 86-61 away win, whereas Puerto Varas have won only two of their last five, with losses to Quilpue on 7 November and 31 October and a win over Español Osorno at home; the model projects a 87-70 score for a 156.8 total, with a -18.5 spread that Quilpue cover 44% of the time, an over line of 154.5 with a 55% chance of exceeding it, and a 2% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (50) | 82.9 | 75.8 | 158.7 | +7.1 | 78% |
| Season at home (25) | 83.0 | 73.1 | 156.0 | +9.9 | 84% |
| Season away (25) | 82.8 | 78.5 | 161.3 | +4.3 | 72% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.6 | 70.8 | 156.4 | +14.8 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.4 | 73.6 | 159.0 | +11.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 77.4 | 81.5 | 158.9 | -4.1 | 50% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (20) | 85.8 | 69.4 | 155.2 | +16.4 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (53) | 78.2 | 81.9 | 160.2 | -3.7 | 45% |
| Season at home (26) | 80.8 | 79.2 | 160.0 | +1.6 | 65% |
| Season away (27) | 75.7 | 84.6 | 160.3 | -8.9 | 26% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.5 | 87.9 | 163.4 | -12.4 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 74.6 | 83.2 | 157.8 | -8.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 73.1 | 92.8 | 165.8 | -19.7 | 8% |
| vs Similar (15) | 76.6 | 77.3 | 153.9 | -0.7 | 47% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 89.5 | 68.0 | 157.5 | +21.5 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.1 | 34.9 | 78.0 | +8.2 | 83% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 44.2 | 33.1 | 77.4 | +11.1 | 94% | 56% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 41.8 | 36.9 | 78.7 | +4.9 | 71% | 43% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.6 | 31.0 | 74.6 | +12.6 | 90% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 34.0 | 76.0 | +8.0 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 40.1 | 41.3 | 81.4 | -1.2 | 60% | 70% |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (20) | 44.6 | 31.7 | 76.3 | +12.9 | 95% | 40% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.2 | 42.9 | 80.1 | -5.7 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 40.4 | 41.2 | 81.6 | -0.8 | 64% | 64% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 34.3 | 44.4 | 78.7 | -10.1 | 19% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.8 | 44.9 | 80.7 | -9.1 | 20% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.8 | 42.2 | 78.0 | -6.4 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 34.6 | 48.1 | 82.7 | -13.5 | 15% | 69% |
| vs Similar (15) | 39.5 | 39.9 | 79.4 | -0.5 | 53% | 60% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 36.5 | 31.5 | 68.0 | +5.0 | 100% | 0% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leones Quilpue win | 92.8% | 1.03 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.02 | 1.02 | +6.6pp | Won |
| Leones Quilpue (regulation) | 91.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Leones Quilpue over 81.5 | 70.6% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.7 | 18.2 | 52.2% | 36.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 33.1 | 11.6 | 31.9% | 34.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.6 | 11.8 | 71.0% | 11.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.1 | 20.9 | 52.2% | 41.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.7 | 6.0 | 31.9% | 18.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.9 | 14.0 | 71.0% | 14.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas | 97-69 |
| 31/10/26 | CD Puerto Varas v Leones Quilpue | 61-86 |
| 08/10/26 | Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas | 98-84 |
| 02/06/25 | CD Puerto Varas v Leones Quilpue | 64-67 |
| 21/05/25 | Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas | 73-70 |
| 20/05/25 | Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas | 66-63 |
| 14/03/25 | CD Puerto Varas v Leones Quilpue | 78-64 |
| 06/03/25 | Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas | 89-56 |
| 16/03/24 | CD Puerto Varas v Leones Quilpue | 90-81 |
| 09/03/24 | Leones Quilpue v CD Puerto Varas | 84-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | CD Puerto Varas | 97-69 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Puerto Montt | 89-68 |
| 31/10/26 | A | CD Puerto Varas | 86-61 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Ancud | 91-81 |
| 25/10/26 | A | U. De Concepcion | 64-89 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Puente Alto | 90-66 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Puerto Montt | 75-54 |
| 08/10/26 | H | CD Puerto Varas | 98-84 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Ancud | 85-75 |
| 01/10/26 | H | Espanol Osorno | 81-61 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Leones Quilpue | 69-97 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Espanol Osorno | 82-68 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Leones Quilpue | 61-86 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Espanol Osorno | 78-69 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Valdivia | 83-96 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Valdivia | 61-103 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Puente Alto | 70-75 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Leones Quilpue | 84-98 |
| 07/10/26 | A | Puente Alto | 76-89 |
| 03/10/26 | H | U. De Concepcion | 91-98 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 78% |
| Home | WWWWW | 84% |
| Away | WLWWW | 72% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 50 | 25 | 25 |
| Win % | 78% | 84% | 72% |
| Points / game | 82.9 | 83.0 | 82.8 |
| Allowed / game | 75.8 | 73.1 | 78.5 |
| Point differential | +7.1 | +9.9 | +4.3 |
| Avg total | 158.7 | 156.0 | 161.3 |
| Over 154.5 | 66% | 60% | 72% |
| Win by 10+ | 52% | 60% | 44% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (9) | 100% (3) | 100% (6) |
| Overtime % | 2% | 4% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 45% |
| Home | LLLLW | 65% |
| Away | LLLWL | 26% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 53 | 26 | 27 |
| Win % | 45% | 65% | 26% |
| Points / game | 78.2 | 80.8 | 75.7 |
| Allowed / game | 81.9 | 79.2 | 84.6 |
| Point differential | -3.7 | +1.6 | -8.9 |
| Avg total | 160.2 | 160.0 | 160.3 |
| Over 154.5 | 58% | 54% | 63% |
| Win by 10+ | 15% | 27% | 4% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (18) | 75% (12) | 50% (6) |
| Overtime % | 2% | 0% | 4% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 83% | 93.0 | 78.0 | +15.0 | |
| 2 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 78% | 86.8 | 75.2 | +11.7 | |
| 3 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 78% | 82.9 | 75.8 | +7.1 | |
| 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 53% | 81.3 | 80.3 | +1.0 | |
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 53% | 84.2 | 80.6 | +3.6 | |
| 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 50% | 78.4 | 78.4 | +0.0 | |
| 7 | 53 | 24 | 29 | 45% | 78.2 | 81.9 | -3.7 | |
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 44% | 82.3 | 93.7 | -11.4 | |
| 9 | 44 | 19 | 25 | 43% | 78.3 | 81.1 | -2.8 | |
| 10 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 35% | 80.3 | 83.7 | -3.3 | |
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 23 | 32% | 76.4 | 82.7 | -6.4 | |
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 24 | 29% | 78.1 | 88.1 | -10.0 | |
| 13 | 35 | 10 | 25 | 29% | 78.6 | 81.6 | -3.0 | |
| 14 | 32 | 5 | 27 | 16% | 76.1 | 89.6 | -13.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 8 | 19 | 19 | 74 | |
| 13 | 17 | 13 | 19 | 62 |
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