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LePy W vs Lappeenranta W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 56-55
9-17 18-11 15-16 14-11
Position#6
Record7-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game65.1
Allowed / game61.3
LePy W 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#11
Record6-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game65.9
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Leppavaara Sports hall
Women2024-25
Meetings · LePy W v Lappeenranta W
02 Feb 2025
LEPY56
LAPP55
25 Feb 2024
LEPY33
LAPP42
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LePy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lappeenranta W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
49avg 54
H10/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
57-67
57
67
-10
47avg 54
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
L
45-71
45
71
-26
33avg 54
A24/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
W
81-44
81
44
+37
83avg 54
A01/12
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
L
58-67
58
67
-9
45avg 54
H08/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#10
L
55-58
55
58
-3
48avg 54
A15/12
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#12
W
91-58
91
58
+33
88avg 54
H19/12
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#13
W
75-58
75
58
+17
67avg 54
A12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#8
W
70-69
70
69
+1
63avg 54
H19/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#4
W
64-52
64
52
+12
58avg 54
A24/01
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
10-15
17-15
15-23
17-16
13-16
12-20
15-15
13-20
8-19
15-10
9-22
23-8
28-13
17-19
13-4
12-14
17-19
15-19
14-15
18-17
13-15
12-12
12-14
29-20
21-14
19-16
22-8
27-21
17-13
22-14
9-10
17-20
15-19
15-18
23-12
7-17
20-11
20-6
17-18
127.4Avg total
65.6Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)65.161.3126.4+3.854%
Season at home (5)69.064.4133.4+4.660%
Season away (8)62.659.4122.0+3.250%
Last 10 (10)65.661.8127.4+3.850%
Last 5 (5)71.059.0130.0+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)55.164.1119.2-9.022%
vs Similar (10)58.960.6119.5-1.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)72.159.2131.3+12.973%
This opponent (Lappeenranta W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lappeenranta WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Pantterit W
#10
W
67-63
67
63
+4
56avg 50
H03/11
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
W
68-65
68
65
+3
51avg 50
H10/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
64avg 50
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#12
W
64-60
64
60
+4
54avg 50
H24/11
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
L
51-59
51
59
-8
34avg 50
H01/12
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
51-58
51
58
-7
44avg 50
A22/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
60-63
60
63
-3
51avg 50
H05/01
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
43-93
43
93
-50
29avg 50
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
L
69-74 OT
69
74
-5
62avg 50
A19/01
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
68-56
68
56
+12
57avg 50
H26/01
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
19-16
15-22
13-10
16-14
20-15
14-21
18-15
16-13
22-33
19-22
19-10
18-13
16-13
16-15
14-19
11-15
17-15
18-15
5-14
21-16
8-20
11-13
11-9
18-16
17-13
14-14
11-20
13-29
9-26
16-16
5-22
10-22
20-13
17-17
17-12
28-13
11-10
14-22
15-11
128.6Avg total
61.7Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)64.565.9130.5-1.446%
Season at home (8)60.966.1127.0-5.250%
Season away (5)70.465.6136.0+4.840%
Last 10 (10)61.766.9128.6-5.240%
Last 5 (5)58.268.8127.0-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)60.672.0132.6-11.412%
vs Similar (14)59.956.9116.9+3.064%
vs Weaker (8)63.055.0118.0+8.062%
This opponent (LePy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
LePy WLappeenranta W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H10/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A24/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A01/12
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H08/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#10
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A15/12
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#12
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H19/12
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#13
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H19/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#4
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A24/01
I Divisioona Women
67.1Avg total
34.3Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.865.1-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.331.162.4+0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)33.334.567.7-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)34.332.867.1+1.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.470.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.135.164.2-6.022%-
vs Similar (10)29.031.460.4-2.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)37.832.270.0+5.664%-
This opponent (Lappeenranta W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lappeenranta WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pantterit W
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H03/11
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H10/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#12
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H24/11
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H01/12
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A22/12
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H05/01
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
22-55
22
55
-33
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A19/01
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H26/01
I Divisioona Women
67.0Avg total
33.0Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.630.662.2+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.329.561.8+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)31.031.762.7-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)33.034.067.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)31.035.666.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)31.037.968.9-6.925%-
vs Similar (14)31.628.159.8+3.557%-
vs Weaker (8)32.227.659.9+4.662%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 65.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.515.2
40.5%
42.5%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.9
28.5%
25.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.511.3
68.5%
65.4%11.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lappeenranta Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lappeenranta W: 61.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.814.5
36.4%
42.5%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.57.5
27.3%
25.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.29.9
61.1%
65.4%9.9
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LePy W
WWWWLLWLLL
Lappeenranta W
WLLLLLWLWW
#6
League position
#11
+4.9
Net rating
-5.3
85.1
Offensive rating
77.0
80.1
Defensive rating
82.2
41.5%
Effective FG%
38.3%
40.5%
Opp. effective FG%
40.1%
27.7%
Turnover %
29.3%
39.0%
Off. rebound %
37.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.5%
3-point %
27.3%
67.1%
Assist %
62.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence85.1 · 77.0Defence80.1 · 82.2Shooting41.5% · 38.3%3-point %28.5% · 27.3%Ball care27.7% · 29.3%Off. rebounds39.0% · 37.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ LePy W   ■ Lappeenranta W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
LePy W wins
2
Lappeenranta W wins
DateGameScore
25/02/24LePy W v Lappeenranta W33-42
29/10/23Lappeenranta W v LePy W46-45
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25APuhuttaret W64-52
19/01/25HTurun NMKY W70-69
12/01/25AFeeniks Basket W75-58
19/12/24HPeKa II W91-58
15/12/24APantterit W55-58
08/12/24HJyvaskyla BA W58-67
01/12/24AEspoo Team II W81-44
24/11/24ATapiolan Honka II W45-71
17/11/24APyrinto II W57-67
10/11/24HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W60-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HHyPo W68-56
19/01/25ATapiolan Honka II W69-74 OT
12/01/25HLahti Basketball W43-93
05/01/25HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W60-63
22/12/24APyrinto II W51-58
01/12/24HOulun NMKY W51-59
24/11/24HPeKa II W64-60
17/11/24AEspoo Team II W76-78
10/11/24HJyvaskyla BA W68-65
03/11/24HPantterit W67-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW54%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %54%60%50%
Points / game65.169.062.6
Allowed / game61.364.459.4
Point differential+3.8+4.6+3.2
Avg total126.4133.4122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lappeenranta W
I Divisioona Women 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW46%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %46%50%40%
Points / game64.560.970.4
Allowed / game65.966.165.6
Point differential-1.4-5.2+4.8
Avg total130.5127.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tapiolan Honka II W1412286%81.065.9+15.1
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W1412286%77.663.0+14.6
3 Espoo Team II W1410471%76.064.7+11.3
4 Pyrinto II W1510567%70.361.3+9.0
5 Puhuttaret W149564%74.165.9+8.2
6 Jyvaskyla BA W159660%70.167.2+2.9
7 Lahti Basketball W137654%71.663.2+8.4
8 LePy W137654%65.161.3+3.8
9 Turun NMKY W158753%79.872.5+7.3
10 Lappeenranta W136746%64.565.9-1.4
11 Pantterit W135838%65.065.6-0.6
12 PeKa II W1441029%66.173.7-7.6
13 Oulun NMKY W1441029%70.281.9-11.6
14 Feeniks Basket W1421214%58.979.1-20.1
15 HyPo W140140%54.988.5-33.6
16 Kataja W1010%18.0105.0-87.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LePy W918151456
Lappeenranta W1711161155
← all games of the day
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