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LePy W vs Korihait W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 87-49
22-15 21-15 23-9 21-10
Position#11
Record10-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game58.8
Allowed / game62.4
LePy W 🏆
Finland
vs
Korihait W
Finland
Position#15
Record7-17
FormWLLLW
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game73.6
FinlandI Divisioona WomenI Divisioona Women - Semi-finals· Leppavaara Sports hall
Women2023-24
Meetings · LePy W v Korihait W
27 Mar 2024
LEPY87
KORI49
21 Mar 2024
LEPY81
KORI51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LePy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Korihait W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
57-70
57
70
-13
52avg 48
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
64-62
64
62
+2
53avg 48
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
47-63
47
63
-16
28avg 48
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
54-69
54
69
-15
45avg 48
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
16avg 48
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
35avg 48
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
62-85
62
85
-23
46avg 48
A10/03
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
W
82-49
82
49
+33
77avg 48
H17/03
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
81-51
81
51
+30
72avg 48
H21/03
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
L
56-61
56
61
-5
46avg 48
A24/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-13
15-27
17-10
13-20
19-17
19-20
16-10
10-15
6-20
14-11
16-15
11-17
12-21
17-20
14-17
11-11
7-18
11-2
11-9
4-13
12-14
9-6
7-12
17-6
20-23
13-20
18-15
11-27
18-7
20-12
23-15
21-15
25-10
13-16
18-10
25-15
15-9
16-15
9-15
16-22
117.1Avg total
58.1Scored
59.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)58.862.4121.1-3.642%
Season at home (12)57.560.5118.0-3.042%
Season away (12)60.064.2124.2-4.242%
Last 10 (10)58.159.0117.1-0.940%
Last 5 (5)65.256.8122.0+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)54.766.6121.2-11.933%
vs Similar (10)57.359.7117.0-2.430%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)69.060.2129.2+8.880%
This opponent (Korihait W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Korihait WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
68-73
68
73
-5
59avg 51
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
66-93
66
93
-27
54avg 51
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
53-93
53
93
-40
40avg 51
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
66-99
66
99
-33
53avg 51
A24/02
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
53-67
53
67
-14
41avg 51
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
62-59
62
59
+3
51avg 51
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
60-74
60
74
-14
47avg 51
A10/03
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
55avg 51
H17/03
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
L
51-81
51
81
-30
45avg 51
A21/03
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
W
61-56
61
56
+5
51avg 51
H24/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
13-14
19-14
14-27
17-29
22-14
12-24
15-26
8-28
17-24
18-27
10-14
18-35
15-23
19-19
14-22
12-11
19-19
7-18
15-19
13-18
16-22
15-8
18-11
19-20
14-22
17-18
10-14
22-23
14-27
17-15
10-12
10-25
16-13
10-18
15-25
9-15
15-16
15-9
22-16
137.5Avg total
60.3Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)62.873.6136.3-10.829%
Season at home (12)64.069.2133.2-5.233%
Season away (12)61.577.9139.4-16.425%
Last 10 (10)60.377.2137.5-16.920%
Last 5 (5)59.469.4128.8-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)62.474.4136.8-12.026%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)70.055.0125.0+15.0100%
This opponent (LePy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
LePy WKorihait W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
20-31
20
31
-11
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
18-20
18
20
-2
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
21-20
21
20
+1
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A10/03
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H17/03
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H21/03
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A24/03
I Divisioona Women
59.4Avg total
29.3Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)30.333.563.8-3.138%-
Last 30 at home (12)28.931.460.3-2.542%-
Last 30 away (12)31.835.567.2-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)29.330.159.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.226.458.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)28.437.465.9-9.022%-
vs Similar (10)28.930.459.3-1.530%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)36.632.469.0+4.280%-
This opponent (Korihait W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Korihait WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A24/02
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#4
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/03
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H17/03
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A21/03
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#11
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H24/03
I Divisioona Women
72.7Avg total
31.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)32.338.871.1-6.525%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.637.169.7-4.525%-
Last 30 away (12)32.040.572.5-8.525%-
Last 10 (10)31.141.672.7-10.520%-
Last 5 (5)29.640.269.8-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)31.939.371.2-7.522%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)42.026.068.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 58.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.916.0
38.2%
40.2%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.35.4
22.2%
24.5%16.2
🏀 Free throws15.610.3
66.0%
63.2%10.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Korihait Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Korihait W: 59.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.413.8
41.3%
40.2%27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.46.6
23.2%
24.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws17.211.9
69.2%
63.2%11.9
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LePy W
LWWLWLLLWL
Korihait W
WLLLWLLLLL
#11
League position
#15
+0.4
Net rating
-22.0
75.8
Offensive rating
73.4
75.4
Defensive rating
95.4
36.4%
Effective FG%
38.3%
41.4%
Opp. effective FG%
41.5%
28.7%
Turnover %
27.9%
37.8%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
22.2%
3-point %
23.2%
70.6%
Assist %
61.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence75.8 · 73.4Defence75.4 · 95.4Shooting36.4% · 38.3%3-point %22.2% · 23.2%Ball care28.7% · 27.9%Off. rebounds37.8% · 27.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ LePy W   ■ Korihait W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
LePy W wins
1
Korihait W wins
DateGameScore
24/03/24Korihait W v LePy W61-56
21/03/24LePy W v Korihait W81-51
07/01/24Korihait W v LePy W72-83
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24AKorihait W56-61
21/03/24HKorihait W81-51
17/03/24HHBA W82-49
10/03/24ABC Nokia W62-85
03/03/24HLahti Basketball W45-38
25/02/24HLappeenranta W33-42
18/02/24APyrinto II W54-69
11/02/24HJyvaskyla BA W47-63
04/02/24AKataja W64-62
28/01/24HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W57-70
Korihait Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HLePy W61-56
21/03/24ALePy W51-81
17/03/24HPuhuttaret W63-77
10/03/24AHyPo W60-74
03/03/24HEspoo Team II W62-59
25/02/24HTurun NMKY W53-67
24/02/24APuhuttaret W66-99
18/02/24ATapiolan Honka II W53-93
11/02/24HPantterit W66-93
04/02/24ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W68-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL42%
HomeLLWWW42%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%42%42%
Points / game58.857.560.0
Allowed / game62.460.564.2
Point differential-3.6-3.0-4.2
Avg total121.1118.0124.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Korihait W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game62.864.061.5
Allowed / game73.669.277.9
Point differential-10.8-5.2-16.4
Avg total136.3133.2139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Nokia W2422292%79.060.8+18.2
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W2417771%71.764.5+7.2
3 Puhuttaret W2516964%71.265.9+5.4
4 Turun NMKY W2415962%61.962.4-0.5
5 Pyrinto II W24141058%67.563.1+4.4
6 Lappeenranta W25141156%58.957.0+2.0
7 Lahti Basketball W24131154%63.660.1+3.5
8 Tapiolan Honka II W24121250%72.667.5+5.0
9 HBA W22111150%69.368.5+0.8
10 Jyvaskyla BA W22101245%64.668.3-3.6
11 LePy W24101442%58.862.4-3.6
12 Espoo Team II W2291341%66.167.6-1.5
13 HyPo W2291341%63.066.6-3.6
14 Pantterit W2481633%62.568.5-6.0
15 Korihait W2471729%62.873.6-10.8
16 Kataja W242228%50.468.1-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LePy W2221232187
Korihait W151591049
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