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Poznan vs Leszno Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-72
25-17 15-17 23-21 20-17
Position#15
Record8-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game80.0
Poznan 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#12
Record9-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game81.2
Poland1 LigaRound 20· Cityzen hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Poznan v Leszno
20 Feb 2027
POZN v LESZ
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
POZN83
LESZ72
16 Oct 2019
POZN104
LESZ101
22 Dec 2018
POZN78
LESZ65
18 Oct 2017
POZN71
LESZ68
25 Mar 2017
POZN67
LESZ68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leszno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
71avg 71
H15/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
81-94
81
94
-13
70avg 71
A21/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
88avg 71
H29/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
80-66
80
66
+14
77avg 71
A07/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
60avg 71
A13/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
100-96
100
96
+4
95avg 71
H21/12
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
84-78
84
78
+6
80avg 71
A28/12
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
63-70
63
70
-7
46avg 71
H04/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
82-71
82
71
+11
73avg 71
H10/01
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
A18/01
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
22-21
24-16
14-26
21-14
20-20
12-30
28-30
21-12
22-27
17-19
14-16
27-20
10-9
19-15
24-22
19-16
21-27
18-18
17-24
20-26
32-15
19-28
29-27
27-21
18-18
20-15
19-24
14-14
23-24
14-15
12-17
14-16
24-17
22-20
22-18
14-23
15-22
25-19
23-26
166.6Avg total
82.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.580.0160.5+0.544%
Season at home (9)83.280.4163.7+2.856%
Season away (9)77.879.6157.3-1.833%
Last 10 (10)82.983.7166.6-0.850%
Last 5 (5)81.281.0162.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.282.7164.8-0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (20)78.983.2162.2-4.335%
vs Weaker (4)85.582.8168.2+2.850%
This opponent (Leszno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
Pelplin
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
92avg 71
H09/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
83-57
83
57
+26
76avg 71
H15/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
91-101
91
101
-10
78avg 71
A22/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
64-74
64
74
-10
51avg 71
H30/11
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
88-87
88
87
+1
79avg 71
H13/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
70-67
70
67
+3
56avg 71
A20/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
86-73
86
73
+13
87avg 71
H28/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
83-76
83
76
+7
75avg 71
A04/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
101-107
101
107
-6
98avg 71
A11/01
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
67-66
67
66
+1
no box
H16/01
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
27-22
27-23
22-18
29-9
11-21
20-16
23-11
28-24
21-31
21-21
21-25
17-21
17-14
16-19
14-20
15-15
26-21
27-23
20-28
12-15
16-21
19-16
23-15
26-18
16-23
19-14
25-18
24-15
20-23
19-16
20-22
22-22
32-28
22-23
25-34
20-19
13-9
22-19
12-19
162.2Avg total
82.8Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.681.2159.8-2.750%
Season at home (10)75.275.9151.1-0.760%
Season away (8)82.887.9170.6-5.138%
Last 10 (10)82.879.4162.2+3.470%
Last 5 (5)81.477.8159.2+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.681.0164.6+2.658%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.182.8158.9-6.733%
vs Weaker (3)83.781.3165.0+2.367%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
PoznanLeszno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H15/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A07/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A13/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H21/12
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A28/12
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H04/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H10/01
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A18/01
1 Liga
79.8Avg total
40.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.780.9-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.840.281.0+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)39.741.280.9-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.979.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.279.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.040.783.7+2.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.540.680.2-1.140%-
vs Weaker (4)39.241.580.8-2.225%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelplin
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H09/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H15/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A22/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H30/11
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H13/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H28/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A04/01
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A11/01
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H16/01
1 Liga
80.5Avg total
41.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.280.9+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.239.177.3-0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)43.141.384.5+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.480.5+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)43.241.184.2+2.175%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.741.880.5-3.133%-
vs Weaker (3)40.329.069.3+11.3100%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.2
49.4%
52.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.1
30.6%
31.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws25.319.1
75.5%
70.0%19.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.9
51.2%
52.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.4
31.1%
31.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.516.9
71.9%
70.0%16.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
LWLWWLWWLL
Leszno
WLWWWWLLWW
#15
League position
#12
-1.9
Net rating
+1.5
103.7
Offensive rating
103.5
105.6
Defensive rating
102.0
48.1%
Effective FG%
49.3%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.6%
3-point %
31.1%
50.9%
Assist %
56.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 103.5Defence105.6 · 102.0Shooting48.1% · 49.3%3-point %30.6% · 31.1%Ball care16.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds28.7% · 28.4%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Poznan   ■ Leszno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Poznan wins
3
Leszno wins
DateGameScore
01/10/25Leszno v Poznan64-90
22/01/20Leszno v Poznan68-88
16/10/19Poznan v Leszno104-101
31/03/19Leszno v Poznan86-96
22/12/18Poznan v Leszno78-65
31/01/18Leszno v Poznan82-63
18/10/17Poznan v Leszno71-68
25/03/17Poznan v Leszno67-68
10/12/16Leszno v Poznan82-69
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26ALancut77-90
10/01/26HGKS Tychy82-71
04/01/26HStarogard Gdanski63-70
28/12/25AMiners Katowice84-78
21/12/25HR. Rzeszow100-96
13/12/25APelplin75-85
07/12/25AZubry Bialystok80-66
29/11/25HBydgoszcz102-97 OT
21/11/25APoli. Opolska81-94
15/11/25HLKS Lodz85-90
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26HZubry Bialystok67-66
11/01/26ABydgoszcz101-107
04/01/26APoli. Opolska83-76
28/12/25HLKS Lodz86-73
20/12/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg70-67
13/12/25HSpojnia Stargard88-87
30/11/25HWKK Wroclaw64-74
22/11/25AInowroclaw91-101
15/11/25HPolonia Warszawa83-57
09/11/25HPelplin95-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeLWWLW56%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%56%33%
Points / game80.583.277.8
Allowed / game80.080.479.6
Point differential+0.5+2.8-1.8
Avg total160.5163.7157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%22%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Leszno
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeWLWWW60%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%60%38%
Points / game78.675.282.8
Allowed / game81.275.987.9
Point differential-2.7-0.7-5.1
Avg total159.8151.1170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%30%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz1815383%90.177.4+12.6
2 LKS Lodz1814478%87.477.4+10.1
3 Starogard Gdanski1914574%84.979.8+5.1
4 Pelplin1913668%87.782.4+5.4
5 Spojnia Stargard1811761%82.982.1+0.8
6 Lancut1811761%85.386.3-0.9
7 GKS Tychy1911858%82.883.7-0.8
8 Leszno189950%78.681.2-2.7
9 Polonia Warszawa189950%80.484.4-4.1
10 WKK Wroclaw1991047%80.781.7-1.0
11 Poznan1881044%80.580.0+0.5
12 R. Rzeszow1881044%82.882.7+0.1
13 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1871139%79.277.2+2.0
14 Inowroclaw1861233%79.785.7-6.0
15 Poli. Opolska1961332%81.484.0-2.6
16 Miners Katowice1941521%79.786.2-6.5
17 Zubry Bialystok181176%76.488.2-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poznan2515232083
Leszno1717211772
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