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Liberecko vs Litomerice Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 81-80
Projected total 160.6
Final 64-67
15-15 15-19 13-11 21-22
Position#15
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game83.2
Vs
55%
45%
■ LIBE 55%■ LITO 45%
Pythia win probability
Position#12
Record2-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game84.3
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 7· Hala Kort
Other2026-27
Meetings · Liberecko v Litomerice
10 Nov 2026
LIBE64
LITO67
03 Oct 2025
LIBE90
LITO64
15 Nov 2024
LIBE73
LITO65
30 Oct 2023
LIBE68
LITO64
23 Sep 2022
LIBE52
LITO84
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Liberecko will host Litomerice in the 1. Liga on 10 November 2026, a matchup that feels almost even as neither side holds a clear edge. Both clubs have struggled this season, with Liberecko posting a 2-3 record and averaging 70.0 points while conceding 83.2, and Litomerice also at 2-4, scoring 80.7 and allowing 84.3, placing them 12th and 14th respectively. At home, Liberecko is 1-1, averaging 64.5 points and 81.5 allowed, whereas Litomerice is 1-1 on the road, with 86.5 points for and 89.0 against. Recent form shows Liberecko dropping 51-89 to Valecnici Decin, then winning 98-76 over Sokol Prazsky before a 48-86 loss to Jindrichuv Hradec, while Litomerice beat Radotin 89-83, then fell 78-88 to Valecnici Decin and 74-81 to USK Prague B. Their head-to-head record stands even at 4-4, the last meeting ending 87-86 for Liberecko. Pythia rates Liberecko as the favourite with a 55% chance of winning versus 45% for Litomerice, projecting an 81-80 score and 160.6 total points. The home team line is 2.0, with a 60% probability of covering, and the total line of 157.0 carries a 58% over probability, while the chance of overtime sits at 5%. The game will hinge on whether Liberecko can maintain its narrow edge in a tightly contested contest.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberecko winLost
55.0%fair 1.82
Best odds1.67
Implied59.0%
Edge-4.0pp
Litomerice winWon
45.0%fair 2.22
Best odds2.25
Implied41.0%
Edge+4.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibereckoCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiberecko
Date
Competition
Brno U23
#14
W
87-78
87
78
+9
92avg 73
H06/03
1. Liga
Opava 2
#16
W
74-55
74
55
+19
74avg 73
A13/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
L
78-101
78
101
-23
62avg 73
A20/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
78-79
78
79
-1
71avg 73
A27/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
86-96
86
96
-10
87avg 73
H29/03
1. Liga
Radotin
#18
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 73
H18/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#16
L
72-88
72
88
-16
67avg 73
A27/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
L
48-86
48
86
-38
36avg 73
H04/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
W
98-76
98
76
+22
96avg 73
A23/10
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#1
L
51-89
51
89
-38
no box
A06/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
27-17
22-18
16-24
20-14
21-18
11-13
22-10
17-19
24-31
15-28
22-23
29-21
6-22
23-26
20-10
16-26
24-24
24-22
22-24
21-27
26-14
21-23
13-13
14-27
20-17
22-28
16-16
10-23
10-20
20-14
8-29
14-24
27-16
29-15
28-21
16-24
14-16
11-36
10-13
157.8Avg total
75.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.083.2153.2-13.240%
Season at home (2)64.581.5146.0-17.050%
Season away (3)73.784.3158.0-10.733%
Last 10 (10)75.382.5157.8-7.240%
Last 5 (5)70.083.2153.2-13.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.884.9154.7-15.110%
vs Similar (17)82.477.3159.6+5.176%
vs Weaker (3)86.779.0165.7+7.767%
This opponent (Litomerice) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LitomericeCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLitomerice
Date
Competition
Pardubice 2
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
63avg 73
H12/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
64avg 73
A20/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
62-88
62
88
-26
49avg 73
A27/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
64-75
64
75
-11
59avg 73
H29/03
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
L
70-76
70
76
-6
50avg 73
H18/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#17
L
80-96
80
96
-16
65avg 73
A25/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
W
93-82
93
82
+11
81avg 73
A09/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
L
74-81 OT
74
81
-7
56avg 73
H16/10
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
66avg 73
H23/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#18
W
89-83
89
83
+6
no box
H06/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-31
24-12
17-15
23-22
22-29
21-15
20-30
13-15
13-18
27-30
7-18
15-22
22-26
7-14
19-18
16-17
21-17
15-17
17-20
17-22
20-24
22-20
20-29
18-23
24-21
19-18
27-21
23-22
22-16
18-23
17-14
13-17
13-17
27-25
18-23
20-23
25-9
19-22
21-20
24-32
160.1Avg total
76.3Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.784.3165.0-3.733%
Season at home (4)77.882.0159.8-4.225%
Season away (2)86.589.0175.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)76.383.8160.1-7.520%
Last 5 (5)82.886.0168.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.284.8162.0-7.525%
vs Similar (13)82.683.8166.4-1.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.479.4170.8+12.0100%
This opponent (Liberecko) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152Actual: Under 152
Over 152
69.5%
Under 152
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157 · main lineActual: Under 157
Over 157
57.9%
@ 1.83+7.9pp
Under 157
42.1%
@ 1.83-7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.83
1xBet
1.75
Under
SBO
1.83
1xBet
1.75
Over/Under 162Actual: Under 162
Over 162
45.6%
Under 162
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Liberecko total 74.5Actual: Liberecko under 74.5
Over 74.5
73.4%
@ 1.33+7.0pp
Under 74.5
26.6%
@ 2.63-7.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.33
Under
1xBet
2.63
Liberecko total 78.5 · main lineActual: Liberecko under 78.5
Over 78.5
59.3%
@ 1.85+7.7pp
Under 78.5
40.7%
@ 1.85-7.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.62
Under
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Liberecko total 82.5Actual: Liberecko under 82.5
Over 82.5
43.9%
@ 2.18+4.0pp
Under 82.5
56.1%
@ 1.45-4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.18
Under
1xBet
1.45
Litomerice total 73.5Actual: Litomerice under 73.5
Over 73.5
71.9%
@ 1.38+8.5pp
Under 73.5
28.1%
@ 2.39-8.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.39
Litomerice total 77.5 · main lineActual: Litomerice under 77.5
Over 77.5
57.6%
@ 1.88+8.7pp
Under 77.5
42.4%
@ 1.80-8.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.72
Under
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.72
Litomerice total 81.5Actual: Litomerice under 81.5
Over 81.5
42.3%
@ 2.38+5.6pp
Under 81.5
57.7%
@ 1.38-5.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.38
Under
1xBet
1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Liberecko -1Actual: Litomerice +1
LIBE -1
53.6%
LITO +1
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
LIBE
No market prices yet.
LITO
No market prices yet.
Spread Liberecko +2 · main lineActual: Litomerice -2
LIBE +2
60.3%
@ 1.83+10.1pp
LITO -2
39.7%
@ 1.83-10.1pp
Best 5 market prices
LIBE
SBO
1.83
Pinnacle
1.79
LITO
SBO
1.83
Pinnacle
1.81
Spread Liberecko +5Actual: Liberecko +5
LIBE +5
70.9%
LITO -5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
LIBE
No market prices yet.
LITO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
LibereckoLitomerice
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibereckoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brno U23
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H06/03
1. Liga
Opava 2
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A13/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A20/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A27/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H29/03
1. Liga
Radotin
#18
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H18/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#16
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A27/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
L
20-43
20
43
-23
H04/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A23/10
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A06/11
1. Liga
79.7Avg total
37.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78.5
Last 30 (30)40.540.380.8+0.153%60%
Last 30 at home (14)43.140.483.5+2.857%71%
Last 30 away (16)38.140.378.4-2.250%50%
Last 10 (10)37.841.979.7-4.140%50%
Last 5 (5)34.441.676.0-7.240%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.142.378.4-6.230%40%
vs Similar (17)43.139.182.2+4.171%71%
vs Weaker (3)40.041.081.0-1.033%67%
This opponent (Litomerice) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LitomericeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pardubice 2
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A27/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H29/03
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H18/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#17
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A25/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H16/10
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H23/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#18
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/11
1. Liga
79.8Avg total
39.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78.5
Last 30 (30)41.540.882.3+0.747%63%
Last 30 at home (16)40.639.479.9+1.250%56%
Last 30 away (14)42.542.484.9+0.143%71%
Last 10 (10)39.440.479.8-1.040%70%
Last 5 (5)41.839.080.8+2.860%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.841.881.5-2.042%67%
vs Similar (13)42.741.684.3+1.138%69%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.436.478.8+6.080%40%
This opponent (Liberecko) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Litomerice win
LIBE win
no forecast
@ 1.67
LITO win
no forecast
@ 2.19
1st half Spread Liberecko -1 · main lineActual: Litomerice +1
LIBE -1
no forecast
@ 1.81
LITO +1
no forecast
@ 1.79
1st half Over/Under 78.5 · main lineActual: Under 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Liberecko 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Liberecko under 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
Litomerice 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Litomerice under 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Liberecko -2Actual: Litomerice +2
LIBE -2
no forecast
@ 1.78
LITO +2
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Spread Liberecko +0.5Actual: Litomerice -0.5
LIBE +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
LITO -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Litomerice (regulation)
LIBE
no forecast
@ 1.70
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
LITO
no forecast
@ 2.20

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
LIBE win + total 157.5
🔒 Pro
LITO win + total 157.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LIBE leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Liberecko +5.571.9%1.41
1xBet
1.41
----+9.0ppWon
Litomerice over 73.571.9%1.38
1xBet
1.38
----+8.5ppLost
Litomerice over 72.575.1%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+8.4ppLost
Litomerice over 71.578.1%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+8.3ppLost
Liberecko over 74.573.4%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+7.0ppLost
Liberecko over 73.576.5%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+7.0ppLost
Liberecko over 75.570.1%1.38
1xBet
1.38
----+6.8ppLost
Overtime: no94.6%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+3.3ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Libereckotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liberecko: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.4
54.0%
51.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.8
28.6%
27.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.712.6
60.9%
61.8%12.6
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Litomericetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Litomerice: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.6
50.1%
51.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.56.6
22.4%
27.8%19.8
🏀 Free throws25.116.7
66.5%
61.8%16.7
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liberecko
LWLLWLLLWW
Litomerice
WLLWLLLLLL
#15
League position
#12
-2.4
Net rating
-4.8
83.1
Offensive rating
80.8
85.5
Defensive rating
85.6
49.5%
Effective FG%
43.0%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
20.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.6%
3-point %
22.4%
62.7%
Assist %
43.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence83.1 · 80.8Defence85.5 · 85.6Shooting49.5% · 43.0%3-point %28.6% · 22.4%Ball care20.2% · 15.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Liberecko   ■ Litomerice
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Liberecko wins
4
Litomerice wins
Libereckolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AValecnici Decin51-89
23/10/26ASokol Prazsky98-76
04/10/26HJindrichuv Hradec48-86
27/09/26APolabi72-88
18/09/26HRadotin81-77
29/03/26HNovy Jicin86-96
27/03/26ANovy Jicin78-79
20/03/26ASvitavy78-101
13/03/26AOpava 274-55
06/03/26HBrno U2387-78
Litomericelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HRadotin89-83
23/10/26HValecnici Decin78-88
16/10/26HUSK Prague B74-81 OT
09/10/26ASokol Prazsky93-82
25/09/26ASlavia Prague Tygri80-96
18/09/26HJindrichuv Hradec70-76
29/03/26HZlin64-75
27/03/26AZlin62-88
20/03/26AZlin76-89
12/03/26HPardubice 277-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberecko
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game70.064.573.7
Allowed / game83.281.584.3
Point differential-13.2-17.0-10.7
Avg total153.2146.0158.0
Over 15760%50%67%
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Litomerice
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%25%50%
Points / game80.777.886.5
Allowed / game84.382.089.0
Point differential-3.7-4.2-2.5
Avg total165.0159.8175.5
Over 15767%50%100%
Win by 10+17%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valecnici Decin660100%84.271.5+12.7
2 Jindrichuv Hradec87188%84.670.0+14.6
3 Novy Jicin87188%86.874.8+12.0
4 Zlin86275%87.168.2+18.9
5 Svitavy86275%92.585.8+6.8
6 USK Prague B75271%80.976.3+4.6
7 CZ.ACADEMY53260%85.077.2+7.8
8 Brno U2384450%85.180.2+4.9
9 Sokol Prazsky84450%84.986.0-1.1
10 Vysoka84450%72.173.6-1.5
11 SK Zabovresky84450%73.176.8-3.6
12 Liberecko52340%70.083.2-13.2
13 Opava 283538%75.176.4-1.2
14 Litomerice62433%80.784.3-3.7
15 Pardubice 272529%74.781.7-7.0
16 Polabi82625%82.884.4-1.6
17 MS Academy82625%76.587.4-10.9
18 Radotin82625%73.186.1-13.0
19 Slavia Prague Tygri71614%78.485.6-7.1
20 Basketbal Olomouc71614%65.187.0-21.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liberecko1515132164
Litomerice1519112267
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