Valecnici Decin face Liberecko on 6 November 2026 in the 1. Liga, and the Pythia model names Valecnici Decin the clear favourite, rating them 80% to win because they are undefeated 5-0, averaging 83.2 points per game while holding opponents to 75.6, and sit at league position 1; Liberecko, 2-2 and 74.8 points per game, 81.8 allowed, sit at position 10. Valecnici Decin have not lost any of their 5 games, scoring 86.7 at home and allowing 78.7, and have won all 3 home contests, including 97-90 over Sokol Prazsky and 79-71 over Slavia Prague Tygri; they finished their last five with 5-0, with a recent 88-78 win over Litomerice. Liberecko have 1-1 on the road, scoring 85.0 and allowing 82.0, and finished their last five 2-3, with a recent 98-76 win over Sokol Prazsky but losses to Jindrichuv Hradec and Polabi. In the two meetings between the clubs, Valecnici Decin have won both, most recently 75-69 on 23 January 2026. Pythia projects an 84-74 score, 158.2 total points, and gives Valecnici Decin an 80% chance to win, 20% for Liberecko; the home line is -12.5 with a 40% chance to cover, the total line is 156.5 with a 54% chance of the over, and there is a 4% chance of overtime. The game ends with Valecnici Decin's decisive victory.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 83.2 | 75.6 | 158.8 | +7.6 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 86.7 | 78.7 | 165.3 | +8.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 78.0 | 71.0 | 149.0 | +7.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.9 | 79.1 | 163.0 | +4.8 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.2 | 75.6 | 158.8 | +7.6 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 74.2 | 84.5 | 158.8 | -10.2 | 25% |
| vs Similar (11) | 81.7 | 75.9 | 157.6 | +5.8 | 64% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 85.7 | 75.7 | 161.4 | +9.9 | 87% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 74.8 | 81.8 | 156.5 | -7.0 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 64.5 | 81.5 | 146.0 | -17.0 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 85.0 | 82.0 | 167.0 | +3.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.9 | 80.8 | 159.7 | -1.9 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.0 | 84.6 | 161.6 | -7.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 71.9 | 84.4 | 156.3 | -12.6 | 11% |
| vs Similar (17) | 82.4 | 77.3 | 159.6 | +5.1 | 76% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 83.5 | 83.5 | 167.0 | +0.0 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.1 | 39.7 | 78.8 | -0.5 | 43% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.5 | 38.7 | 77.1 | -0.2 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 39.8 | 40.7 | 80.5 | -0.9 | 47% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.0 | 41.1 | 82.1 | -0.1 | 50% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.6 | 37.6 | 79.2 | +4.0 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 37.5 | 44.8 | 82.2 | -7.2 | 25% | 75% |
| vs Similar (11) | 38.6 | 38.0 | 76.6 | +0.6 | 45% | 45% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 39.9 | 39.5 | 79.5 | +0.4 | 47% | 53% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.7 | 40.6 | 81.3 | +0.1 | 53% | 70% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 42.8 | 40.9 | 83.7 | +1.9 | 53% | 73% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.7 | 40.3 | 79.0 | -1.7 | 53% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.0 | 42.0 | 81.0 | -3.0 | 50% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.4 | 43.6 | 80.0 | -7.2 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 36.8 | 42.6 | 79.3 | -5.8 | 33% | 67% |
| vs Similar (17) | 43.1 | 39.1 | 82.2 | +4.1 | 71% | 71% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 39.5 | 42.8 | 82.2 | -3.2 | 25% | 75% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberecko +17.5 | 76.0% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Lost |
| Liberecko +18.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Lost |
| Liberecko over 68.5 | 71.1% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Lost |
| Liberecko over 67.5 | 74.4% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Lost |
| Liberecko over 66.5 | 77.5% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Lost |
| Valecnici Decin under 90.5 | 74.6% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Liberecko +15.5 | 70.3% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Lost |
| Liberecko +16.5 | 73.3% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 96.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | - |
| Valecnici Decin over 78.5 | 70.5% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Valecnici Decin (regulation) | 77.9% | 1.15 | 1.17 | 1.14 | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Valecnici Decin under 89.5 | 71.3% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Valecnici Decin win | 80.1% | 1.12 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.13 | 1.11 | -2.3pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 44.7 | 24.9 | 51.5% | 49.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.4 | 6.0 | 27.7% | 18.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 26.0 | 16.1 | 61.5% | 16.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.6 | 21.4 | 51.5% | 42.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.3 | 7.8 | 27.7% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.7 | 12.6 | 61.5% | 12.6 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23/01/26 | Valecnici Decin v Liberecko | 75-69 |
| 13/11/25 | Liberecko v Valecnici Decin | 69-89 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/26 | A | Litomerice | 88-78 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Sokol Prazsky | 97-90 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Slavia Prague Tygri | 79-71 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Jindrichuv Hradec | 68-64 OT |
| 18/09/26 | H | Polabi | 84-75 |
| 11/04/26 | H | Zlin | 80-86 |
| 08/04/26 | A | Zlin | 78-93 |
| 29/03/26 | H | Pardubice 2 | 85-65 |
| 27/03/26 | A | Pardubice 2 | 94-74 |
| 20/03/26 | A | Novy Jicin | 86-95 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/26 | A | Sokol Prazsky | 98-76 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Jindrichuv Hradec | 48-86 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Polabi | 72-88 |
| 18/09/26 | H | Radotin | 81-77 |
| 29/03/26 | H | Novy Jicin | 86-96 |
| 27/03/26 | A | Novy Jicin | 78-79 |
| 20/03/26 | A | Svitavy | 78-101 |
| 13/03/26 | A | Opava 2 | 74-55 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Brno U23 | 87-78 |
| 27/02/26 | H | Svitavy | 87-72 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 83.2 | 86.7 | 78.0 |
| Allowed / game | 75.6 | 78.7 | 71.0 |
| Point differential | +7.6 | +8.0 | +7.0 |
| Avg total | 158.8 | 165.3 | 149.0 |
| Over 156.25 | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLW | 50% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 74.8 | 64.5 | 85.0 |
| Allowed / game | 81.8 | 81.5 | 82.0 |
| Point differential | -7.0 | -17.0 | +3.0 |
| Avg total | 156.5 | 146.0 | 167.0 |
| Over 156.25 | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 83.2 | 75.6 | +7.6 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 84.6 | 70.0 | +14.6 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 87.1 | 75.6 | +11.6 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 87.1 | 68.2 | +18.9 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 92.3 | 86.1 | +6.1 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 79.5 | 75.5 | +4.0 | |
| 7 | CZ.ACADEMY | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 85.0 | 77.2 | +7.8 |
| 8 | SK Zabovresky | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 73.7 | 75.7 | -2.0 |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 84.9 | 86.0 | -1.1 | |
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 72.1 | 73.6 | -1.5 | |
| 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 74.8 | 81.8 | -7.0 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 84.3 | 82.7 | +1.6 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 75.1 | 76.4 | -1.2 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 80.7 | 84.3 | -3.7 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 73.3 | 79.7 | -6.3 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 82.8 | 84.4 | -1.6 | |
| 17 | MS Academy | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 76.5 | 87.4 | -10.9 |
| 18 | Radotin | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 73.1 | 86.1 | -13.0 |
| 19 | Slavia Prague Tygri | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 78.0 | 85.0 | -7.0 |
| 20 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 65.5 | 86.3 | -20.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 16 | 36 | 13 | 89 | |
| 16 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 51 |
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