Libertad vs Lanus Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Nov 2012

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 63-76

16-17 14-19 10-19 23-21

Position#8

Record10-4

FormLWWWL

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game72.9

Libertad

Lanus 🏆

Position#3

Record11-5

FormWLWWL

Points / game77.3

Allowed / game73.3

Liga ARound 18

Other2012-13

Meetings · Libertad v Lanus

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lanus winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

69-92

-23

A11/10

Liga A

Quimsa

86-77

H15/10

Liga A

Olimpico

69-75

-6

A20/10

Liga A

Atenas

#11

60-78

-18

A22/10

Liga A

Sionista

82-76

H26/10

Liga A

Regatas

66-75

-9

H29/10

Liga A

Sao Jose

84-71

+13

A01/11

South American League

El Bosque

#15

95-67

+28

H02/11

South American League

Tiburones

#10

103-92

103

+11

A04/11

South American League

Regatas

74-81

-7

H08/11

Super 4

16-25

18-16

12-29

23-22

19-20

25-10

23-22

19-25

9-25

18-13

27-21

15-16

17-12

17-18

13-20

13-28

26-22

13-17

23-22

20-15

19-19

9-23

22-19

16-14

24-19

17-9

18-19

25-24

19-14

30-17

23-18

28-12

21-29

21-24

33-27

17-20

13-22

19-22

25-17

157.2Avg total

78.8Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	75.6	72.9	148.4	+2.7	71%
Season at home (7)	80.6	70.0	150.6	+10.6	86%
Season away (7)	70.6	75.7	146.3	-5.1	57%
Last 10 (10)	78.8	78.4	157.2	+0.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	77.2	161.6	+7.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	72.5	76.5	149.0	-4.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	77.5	77.4	154.8	+0.1	63%
vs Weaker (8)	79.0	71.9	150.9	+7.1	88%

This opponent (Lanus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lanus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

72-66

H07/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

75-57

+18

H13/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

88-94

-6

A14/10

Liga A

Argentino

85-72

+13

H19/10

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

79-74

H21/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

79-72

A27/10

Liga A

Penarol

65-84

-19

A29/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

80-70

+10

H03/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

77-65

+12

H04/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

67-69

-2

H09/11

Super 4

12-17

16-12

15-12

29-25

20-13

17-14

13-18

25-12

21-17

13-28

30-25

24-24

21-20

15-14

24-23

25-15

15-19

19-15

28-19

17-21

19-25

24-13

13-14

23-20

16-21

9-22

16-28

24-13

14-15

21-11

23-16

22-28

16-10

14-12

22-25

25-18

22-12

15-15

14-22

16-20

149.0Avg total

76.7Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	77.3	73.3	150.6	+4.0	69%
Season at home (9)	79.8	71.4	151.2	+8.3	89%
Season away (7)	74.1	75.7	149.9	-1.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	72.3	149.0	+4.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	72.0	145.6	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (25)	77.8	75.2	153.1	+2.6	60%
vs Weaker (4)	77.8	72.8	150.5	+5.0	100%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadLanus

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.1	37.5	-0.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.8	38.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.6	19.8	39.5	-0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.2	14.9	34.1	+4.4	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	17.5	36.4	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	16.9	34.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	16.6	34.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (25)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	48%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	17.3	35.4	+0.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	16.3	33.5	+1.0	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	17.4	35.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.5	17.5	30.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.8	16.9	35.8	+1.9	68%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.1	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	16.7	34.7	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	14.4	34.0	+5.2	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.8	19.7	35.5	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	15.6	31.9	+0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	14.6	31.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (25)	17.8	16.9	34.7	+0.9	52%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	15.8	35.5	+4.0	100%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

34-41

-7

A11/10

Liga A

Quimsa

44-30

+14

H15/10

Liga A

Olimpico

27-38

-11

A20/10

Liga A

Atenas

#11

34-30

A22/10

Liga A

Sionista

39-39

H26/10

Liga A

Regatas

28-42

-14

H29/10

Liga A

Sao Jose

41-28

+13

A01/11

South American League

El Bosque

#15

49-31

+18

H02/11

South American League

Tiburones

#10

49-41

A04/11

South American League

Regatas

30-42

-12

H08/11

Super 4

73.7Avg total

37.5Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	35.9	73.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	36.5	75.5	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	35.3	71.1	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	36.2	73.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	36.8	76.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.5	39.0	68.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	38.5	36.8	75.3	+1.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	37.8	32.2	70.0	+5.5	75%	-

This opponent (Lanus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LanusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

28-29

-1

H07/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

37-27

+10

H13/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

34-45

-11

A14/10

Liga A

Argentino

36-34

H19/10

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

34-34

H21/10

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

43-38

A27/10

Liga A

Penarol

25-43

-18

A29/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

35-26

H03/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

30-22

H04/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

37-27

+10

H09/11

Super 4

66.4Avg total

33.9Scored

32.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	34.7	71.3	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.4	31.9	70.4	+6.5	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.2	38.4	72.5	-4.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.9	32.5	66.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	31.2	65.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (25)	36.0	35.5	71.6	+0.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.8	31.8	71.5	+8.0	75%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.3	40.6	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.7	38.6	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.6	41.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.6	20.7	39.4	-2.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.3	38.4	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (25)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.6	52%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	21.8	41.2	-2.2	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.1	38.1	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	20.0	44.4	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	13.0	31.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.5	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.7	42.4	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.0	21.1	43.1	+0.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	19.6	42.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (25)	22.5	21.0	43.4	+1.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	19.2	37.8	-0.8	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.8	79.5	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	38.5	78.7	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.2	41.1	80.3	-1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	42.2	83.5	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	40.4	85.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.0	33.0	71.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	39.0	40.6	79.6	-1.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.2	39.6	80.9	+1.6	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	40.0	80.9	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.4	40.0	81.4	+1.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.3	39.9	80.2	+0.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	39.8	82.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	40.8	80.4	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (25)	41.8	39.7	81.5	+2.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.0	41.0	79.0	-3.0	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Lanus wins

Date	Game	Score
10/02/12	Lanus v Libertad	64-55
02/12/11	Libertad v Lanus	86-52
08/05/11	Libertad v Lanus	75-73
05/05/11	Lanus v Libertad	62-66
03/05/11	Lanus v Libertad	84-61
28/04/11	Libertad v Lanus	74-68
26/04/11	Libertad v Lanus	57-77
28/03/11	Libertad v Lanus	87-78
30/01/11	Lanus v Libertad	87-68

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/12	H	Regatas	74-81
04/11/12	A	Tiburones	103-92
02/11/12	H	El Bosque	95-67
01/11/12	A	Sao Jose	84-71
29/10/12	H	Regatas	66-75
26/10/12	H	Sionista	82-76
22/10/12	A	Atenas	60-78
20/10/12	A	Olimpico	69-75
15/10/12	H	Quimsa	86-77
11/10/12	A	Quimsa	69-92

Lanuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/12	H	Boca Juniors	67-69
04/11/12	H	Boca Juniors	77-65
03/11/12	H	Obras Sanitarias	80-70
29/10/12	A	Penarol	65-84
27/10/12	A	Weber Bahia	79-72
21/10/12	H	de Julio de Morteros	79-74
19/10/12	H	Argentino	85-72
14/10/12	A	Gimnasia	88-94
13/10/12	H	Gimnasia	75-57
07/10/12	H	Boca Juniors	72-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	71%
Home	WWWWL	86%
Away	WWLLL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	71%	86%	57%
Points / game	75.6	80.6	70.6
Allowed / game	72.9	70.0	75.7
Point differential	+2.7	+10.6	-5.1
Avg total	148.4	150.6	146.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	43%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	-	100% (4)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

Lanus

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	69%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WLLWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	69%	89%	43%
Points / game	77.3	79.8	74.1
Allowed / game	73.3	71.4	75.7
Point differential	+4.0	+8.3	-1.6
Avg total	150.6	151.2	149.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	56%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Penarol	15	12	3	80%	80.3	74.0	+6.3
2	Libertad	14	10	4	71%	75.6	72.9	+2.7
3	Regatas	17	12	5	71%	76.5	71.1	+5.4
4	Lanus	16	11	5	69%	77.3	73.3	+4.0
5	Olimpico	16	11	5	69%	74.3	72.9	+1.4
6	Quimsa	16	9	7	56%	76.3	73.2	+3.1
7	Argentino	16	9	7	56%	75.8	75.2	+0.6
8	Gimnasia	16	8	8	50%	79.6	81.0	-1.4
9	Boca Juniors	16	7	9	44%	77.2	75.9	+1.3
10	Weber Bahia	16	7	9	44%	81.7	81.9	-0.2
11	Sionista	16	7	9	44%	77.9	80.4	-2.5
12	Atenas	16	7	9	44%	73.4	77.1	-3.6
13	Progresista	16	5	11	31%	72.2	73.9	-1.8
14	La Union	16	4	12	25%	72.0	75.2	-3.2
15	Obras Sanitarias	16	4	12	25%	79.1	82.8	-3.6
16	de Julio de Morteros	16	4	12	25%	74.4	82.7	-8.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	16	14	10	23	63
Lanus	17	19	19	21	76

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Lanus Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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