Libertad vs Lanus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 81-65

27-14 13-13 22-23 19-15

Position#6

Record8-8

FormWWWLL

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game74.2

Libertad 🏆

Lanus

Position#15

Record3-13

FormLWLLL

Points / game69.4

Allowed / game73.8

Liga ARound 3

Other2013-14

Meetings · Libertad v Lanus

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lanus winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

81-75

H02/11

Liga A

La Union

#16

77-61

+16

H04/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

57-76

-19

A09/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

81-64

+17

H11/11

Liga A

Atenas

67-69

-2

A14/11

Liga A

Quimsa

95-86

A16/11

Liga A

Sionista

#12

83-66

+17

H21/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

83-81

H25/11

Liga A

Quimsa

74-82

-8

A30/11

Liga A

Atenas

73-88

-15

A02/12

Liga A

24-20

15-11

20-14

22-30

24-14

12-15

15-16

26-16

16-19

16-26

17-9

8-22

22-9

16-16

30-18

13-21

15-15

19-22

15-12

18-20

31-20

21-22

25-24

22-15

15-12

21-10

25-29

25-21

14-17

18-24

26-19

18-20

16-20

14-22

26-20

15-23

13-24

26-22

19-19

151.9Avg total

77.1Scored

74.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	75.7	74.2	149.9	+1.4	50%
Season at home (7)	82.4	69.4	151.9	+13.0	100%
Season away (9)	70.4	78.0	148.4	-7.6	11%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	74.8	151.9	+2.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	80.6	162.2	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	73.2	79.0	152.2	-5.8	25%
vs Similar (23)	74.6	74.8	149.4	-0.2	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	80.3	70.0	150.3	+10.3	67%

This opponent (Lanus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lanus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

69-76

-7

A02/11

Liga A

Argentino

71-55

+16

A04/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

63-73

-10

A09/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

51-56

-5

H10/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

78-80 OT

-2

A16/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

62-78

-16

A18/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

78-72

H23/11

Liga A

Quilmes

61-63

-2

H25/11

Liga A

Argentino

69-70

-1

H30/11

Liga A

Penarol

79-98

-19

H02/12

Liga A

21-17

14-16

18-23

16-20

13-13

18-17

13-15

27-10

15-23

13-16

10-17

25-17

17-13

15-9

13-21

6-13

23-16

11-16

20-25

17-14

23-18

12-17

14-20

13-23

15-15

14-12

25-21

24-24

10-16

11-12

20-20

20-15

19-21

15-16

21-15

14-18

18-26

17-20

19-25

25-27

140.2Avg total

68.1Scored

72.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	69.4	73.8	143.2	-4.3	19%
Season at home (9)	69.6	73.0	142.6	-3.4	22%
Season away (7)	69.3	74.7	144.0	-5.4	14%
Last 10 (10)	68.1	72.1	140.2	-4.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	69.8	76.2	146.0	-6.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	68.6	73.8	142.4	-5.2	14%
vs Similar (12)	69.1	72.8	141.8	-3.7	33%
vs Weaker (4)	75.0	68.0	143.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadLanus

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.2	16.8	38.0	+4.4	82%	-
Last 30 away (19)	16.8	20.4	37.2	-3.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	17.6	37.5	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.8	21.2	37.0	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (23)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.3	18.0	40.3	+4.3	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	17.9	35.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.0	17.6	34.6	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	18.2	35.6	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	17.8	35.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.5	17.9	35.4	-0.4	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.3	17.8	34.1	-1.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	17.7	34.5	-0.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	15.8	15.0	30.8	+0.8	45%	-
Last 30 away (19)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.3	35.0	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	17.5	33.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	16.9	17.7	34.6	-0.9	26%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	17.0	17.3	34.3	-0.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.2	16.5	30.7	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	14.3	15.6	29.9	-1.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.1	17.4	31.6	-3.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.0	15.1	29.1	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	15.4	29.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	13.8	17.7	31.5	-3.9	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	13.8	15.9	29.7	-2.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	13.8	31.0	+3.5	75%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

39-31

H02/11

Liga A

La Union

#16

36-29

H04/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

32-45

-13

A09/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

38-25

+13

H11/11

Liga A

Atenas

34-37

-3

A14/11

Liga A

Quimsa

49-40

A16/11

Liga A

Sionista

#12

37-27

+10

H21/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

39-38

H25/11

Liga A

Quimsa

34-40

-6

A30/11

Liga A

Atenas

28-47

-19

A02/12

Liga A

72.5Avg total

36.6Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	36.7	72.0	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	37.0	31.8	68.8	+5.2	82%	-
Last 30 away (19)	34.2	39.6	73.8	-5.4	16%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	35.9	72.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	38.4	75.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	32.0	38.8	70.8	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (23)	35.3	36.6	71.8	-1.3	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	39.3	35.3	74.7	+4.0	67%	-

This opponent (Lanus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LanusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

35-33

A02/11

Liga A

Argentino

31-30

A04/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

28-39

-11

A09/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

32-22

+10

H10/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

34-32

A16/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

35-35

A18/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

29-27

H23/11

Liga A

Quilmes

21-28

-7

H25/11

Liga A

Argentino

34-37

-3

H30/11

Liga A

Penarol

35-46

-11

H02/12

Liga A

64.3Avg total

31.4Scored

32.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.4	34.3	65.8	-2.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	31.3	33.2	64.5	-1.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	31.6	35.6	67.2	-4.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.4	32.9	64.3	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	34.6	65.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	31.3	35.6	66.9	-4.3	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	30.1	33.7	63.8	-3.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.0	32.0	68.0	+4.0	100%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.0	38.0	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.6	17.8	39.5	+3.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (19)	19.2	18.1	37.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.9	36.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.2	15.5	36.8	+5.8	100%	-
vs Similar (23)	20.0	18.3	38.4	+1.7	52%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.3	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.8	36.7	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	19.5	35.9	-3.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.2	37.5	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.1	43%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.2	15.8	34.0	+2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.7	19.7	41.5	+2.0	45%	-
Last 30 away (19)	17.8	20.1	37.9	-2.3	26%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.2	46.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	24.8	44.8	-4.8	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.3	16.3	38.7	+6.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	17.6	37.8	+2.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.1	36.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.7	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.3	17.5	37.8	+2.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	37.9	77.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	43.4	37.5	80.9	+5.8	91%	-
Last 30 away (19)	36.9	38.2	75.1	-1.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	38.9	79.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	42.2	86.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.2	40.2	81.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	38.7	38.0	76.7	+0.8	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	41.0	34.7	75.7	+6.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	37.2	74.5	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.9	37.4	75.2	+0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	37.1	73.7	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	38.3	74.3	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	41.6	80.6	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	36.8	37.6	74.4	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.3	37.2	74.6	+0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.0	36.0	75.0	+3.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Lanus wins

Date	Game	Score
07/03/13	Lanus v Libertad	72-61
15/11/12	Libertad v Lanus	63-76
10/02/12	Lanus v Libertad	64-55
02/12/11	Libertad v Lanus	86-52
08/05/11	Libertad v Lanus	75-73
05/05/11	Lanus v Libertad	62-66
03/05/11	Lanus v Libertad	84-61
28/04/11	Libertad v Lanus	74-68
26/04/11	Libertad v Lanus	57-77
28/03/11	Libertad v Lanus	87-78

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/13	A	Atenas	73-88
30/11/13	A	Quimsa	74-82
25/11/13	H	Estudiantes	83-81
21/11/13	H	Sionista	83-66
16/11/13	A	Quimsa	95-86
14/11/13	A	Atenas	67-69
11/11/13	H	Olimpico	81-64
09/11/13	A	Olimpico	57-76
04/11/13	H	La Union	77-61
02/11/13	H	Regatas	81-75

Lanuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/13	H	Penarol	79-98
30/11/13	H	Argentino	69-70
25/11/13	H	Quilmes	61-63
23/11/13	H	Weber Bahia	78-72
18/11/13	A	Obras Sanitarias	62-78
16/11/13	A	Boca Juniors	78-80 OT
10/11/13	H	Gimnasia	51-56
09/11/13	A	Gimnasia	63-73
04/11/13	A	Argentino	71-55
02/11/13	A	Penarol	69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	50%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLWLL	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	50%	100%	11%
Points / game	75.7	82.4	70.4
Allowed / game	74.2	69.4	78.0
Point differential	+1.4	+13.0	-7.6
Avg total	149.9	151.9	148.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	71%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	100% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Lanus

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	19%
Home	LWLLL	22%
Away	LWLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	19%	22%	14%
Points / game	69.4	69.6	69.3
Allowed / game	73.8	73.0	74.7
Point differential	-4.3	-3.4	-5.4
Avg total	143.2	142.6	144.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	11%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (6)	0% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	16	14	2	88%	82.1	71.1	+11.0
2	Gimnasia	16	12	4	75%	74.8	71.5	+3.2
3	Penarol	16	11	5	69%	79.4	73.9	+5.5
4	Atenas	16	11	5	69%	77.9	77.4	+0.6
5	Obras Sanitarias	17	10	7	59%	71.8	71.2	+0.5
6	Quilmes	17	10	7	59%	75.8	75.4	+0.5
7	Boca Juniors	16	8	8	50%	76.1	71.6	+4.4
8	Libertad	16	8	8	50%	75.7	74.2	+1.4
9	Quimsa	16	8	8	50%	78.7	79.9	-1.2
10	Sionista	16	7	9	44%	72.8	72.7	+0.1
11	Argentino	17	7	10	41%	69.9	75.4	-5.5
12	Estudiantes	16	6	10	38%	73.2	74.2	-0.9
13	La Union	16	6	10	38%	73.9	79.4	-5.6
14	Weber Bahia	17	5	12	29%	72.7	77.6	-4.9
15	Olimpico	16	4	12	25%	73.9	78.3	-4.4
16	Lanus	16	3	13	19%	69.4	73.8	-4.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	27	13	22	19	81
Lanus	14	13	23	15	65

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Lanus Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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