Libertad vs Progresista Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Feb 2013

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 81-69

24-14 15-23 23-20 19-12

Position#8

Record19-15

FormLLLLW

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game78.2

Libertad 🏆

Progresista

Position#16

Record10-25

FormLLLLL

Points / game73.6

Allowed / game80.2

Liga ARound 38

Other2012-13

Meetings · Libertad v Progresista

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Progresista winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#13

84-73

+11

H22/12

Liga A

La Union

#15

81-87

-6

A10/01

Liga A

Sionista

91-68

+23

H17/01

Liga A

Regatas

95-83

+12

H19/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

87-83

H26/01

Liga A

Penarol

65-76

-11

H28/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

84-86

-2

A31/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

79-99

-20

A02/02

Liga A

Penarol

71-87

-16

A06/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

91-69

+22

H09/02

Liga A

20-24

11-11

29-12

24-26

25-25

18-19

20-24

20-13

26-18

25-27

20-10

29-15

22-22

19-33

25-13

19-19

17-22

26-15

25-27

19-21

9-14

20-19

17-22

32-27

20-24

12-12

20-23

20-24

18-14

23-28

18-33

14-29

7-22

26-11

24-25

20-17

27-13

14-21

30-18

163.9Avg total

82.8Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	79.0	78.2	157.2	+0.7	56%
Season at home (19)	81.3	73.2	154.5	+8.1	79%
Season away (15)	76.1	84.6	160.7	-8.5	27%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	81.1	163.9	+1.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	83.4	161.4	-5.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	81.0	83.2	164.2	-2.2	25%
vs Similar (19)	77.4	79.1	156.5	-1.7	53%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	91.5	84.3	175.8	+7.2	50%

This opponent (Progresista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Progresista Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#15

82-76 OT

H17/12

Liga A

Regatas

67-79

-12

A20/12

Liga A

Sionista

68-101

101

-33

A22/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

71-97

-26

H17/01

Liga A

Olimpico

78-68

+10

H19/01

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

98-105

105

-7

A28/01

Liga A

Argentino

56-77

-21

A30/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

82-102

102

-20

H02/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

76-84

-8

H04/02

Liga A

Quimsa

76-95

-19

A09/02

Liga A

14-15

17-15

23-19

14-19

17-26

19-19

11-16

20-18

16-27

21-17

13-27

18-30

24-18

9-23

17-30

21-26

10-14

24-11

13-15

31-28

26-37

20-27

18-21

34-20

11-14

14-15

15-23

16-25

19-27

22-26

18-27

23-22

25-28

10-16

24-23

17-17

22-23

20-23

19-25

15-24

163.8Avg total

75.4Scored

88.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	73.6	80.2	153.8	-6.6	29%
Season at home (18)	76.8	78.6	155.4	-1.8	44%
Season away (17)	70.2	81.8	152.0	-11.6	12%
Last 10 (10)	75.4	88.4	163.8	-13.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	92.6	170.2	-15.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	72.6	82.6	155.2	-10.0	25%
vs Similar (6)	81.0	76.3	157.3	+4.7	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadProgresista

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.9	18.8	38.7	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	22.5	41.7	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.6	44.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.7	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	21.0	38.1	-3.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	18.9	36.6	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	23.4	39.7	-7.0	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	22.9	41.3	-4.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	25.8	46.4	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.8	20.8	37.6	-3.9	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.7	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.7	17.2	35.9	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	17.9	35.4	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.4	33.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.5	37%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	24.0	19.2	43.2	+4.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	17.8	34.7	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.6	17.1	33.7	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	18.7	35.8	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.4	38.6	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.9	17.8	34.8	-0.9	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.5	17.8	34.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#13

31-35

-4

H22/12

Liga A

La Union

#15

43-44

-1

A10/01

Liga A

Sionista

46-31

+15

H17/01

Liga A

Regatas

51-37

+14

H19/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

36-41

-5

H26/01

Liga A

Penarol

28-35

-7

H28/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

52-51

A31/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

38-38

A02/02

Liga A

Penarol

21-51

-30

A06/02

Liga A

La Union

#15

47-30

+17

H09/02

Liga A

78.6Avg total

39.3Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	38.8	76.8	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.6	35.9	74.6	+2.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.2	42.5	79.8	-5.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	39.3	78.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	41.0	78.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.5	39.0	77.5	-0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	36.2	38.4	74.6	-2.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	44.8	39.3	84.2	+5.5	67%	-

This opponent (Progresista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ProgresistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#15

31-30

H17/12

Liga A

Regatas

36-45

-9

A20/12

Liga A

Sionista

37-44

-7

A22/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

33-41

-8

H17/01

Liga A

Olimpico

34-25

H19/01

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

46-64

-18

A28/01

Liga A

Argentino

25-29

-4

A30/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

41-53

-12

H02/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

35-44

-9

H04/02

Liga A

Quimsa

42-46

-4

A09/02

Liga A

78.1Avg total

36.0Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.9	38.8	72.7	-4.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	34.4	35.9	70.3	-1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.4	42.1	75.5	-8.6	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	42.1	78.1	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	47.2	85.0	-9.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	33.8	38.6	72.3	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.7	39.7	74.3	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	20.8	40.5	-1.0	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	24.5	43.8	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	37%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.4	39.9	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	19.1	36.2	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	22.6	39.7	-5.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.8	42.6	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.9	42%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.1	43.4	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.0	24.8	47.8	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.1	44.4	+0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.2	46.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	15.8	36.5	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	27.5	25.0	52.5	+2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.9	42.3	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	22.1	41.6	-2.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.9	43.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.7	23.0	42.6	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.0	17.8	40.8	+5.2	83%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	41.4	83.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.8	38.3	80.1	+3.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.8	45.5	88.3	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	41.8	85.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	42.4	83.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.0	40.2	80.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	41.2	40.7	81.8	+0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	46.7	45.0	91.7	+1.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	42.3	82.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	43.2	86.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.5	41.3	77.8	-4.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	45.5	83.5	-7.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	45.4	85.2	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	38.9	44.0	82.9	-5.2	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.0	35.3	79.3	+8.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Progresista wins

Date	Game	Score
26/11/12	Progresista v Libertad	98-94
08/10/12	Progresista v Libertad	65-68
01/10/12	Libertad v Progresista	79-58

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/02/13	H	La Union	91-69
06/02/13	A	Penarol	71-87
02/02/13	A	Gimnasia	79-99
31/01/13	A	Weber Bahia	84-86
28/01/13	H	Penarol	65-76
26/01/13	H	Weber Bahia	87-83
19/01/13	H	Regatas	95-83
17/01/13	H	Sionista	91-68
10/01/13	A	La Union	81-87
22/12/12	H	Obras Sanitarias	84-73

Progresistalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/02/13	A	Quimsa	76-95
04/02/13	H	Boca Juniors	76-84
02/02/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	82-102
30/01/13	A	Argentino	56-77
28/01/13	A	de Julio de Morteros	98-105
19/01/13	H	Olimpico	78-68
17/01/13	H	Atenas	71-97
22/12/12	A	Sionista	68-101
20/12/12	A	Regatas	67-79
17/12/12	H	La Union	82-76 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	56%
Home	WWWLW	79%
Away	LLLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	19	15
Win %	56%	79%	27%
Points / game	79.0	81.3	76.1
Allowed / game	78.2	73.2	84.6
Point differential	+0.7	+8.1	-8.5
Avg total	157.2	154.5	160.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	42%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	100% (3)	57% (7)
Overtime %	6%	5%	7%

Progresista

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	29%
Home	WLWLL	44%
Away	LLLLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	18	17
Win %	29%	44%	12%
Points / game	73.6	76.8	70.2
Allowed / game	80.2	78.6	81.8
Point differential	-6.6	-1.8	-11.6
Avg total	153.8	155.4	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	45% (11)	43% (7)	50% (4)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	35	25	10	71%	78.5	72.8	+5.7
2	Penarol	35	24	11	69%	81.4	76.6	+4.8
3	Lanus	33	22	11	67%	76.8	74.3	+2.6
4	Boca Juniors	36	22	14	61%	80.4	74.9	+5.5
5	Quimsa	34	19	15	56%	79.7	76.8	+3.0
6	Libertad	34	19	15	56%	79.0	78.2	+0.7
7	Olimpico	36	20	16	56%	75.6	76.2	-0.6
8	Argentino	35	18	17	51%	78.5	78.4	+0.1
9	Sionista	35	18	17	51%	79.2	79.9	-0.7
10	Gimnasia	35	17	18	49%	80.7	80.6	+0.1
11	Atenas	36	17	19	47%	76.9	80.1	-3.2
12	Weber Bahia	35	15	20	43%	81.3	81.4	-0.1
13	Obras Sanitarias	36	14	22	39%	79.9	80.6	-0.7
14	de Julio de Morteros	35	12	23	34%	80.2	84.6	-4.4
15	Progresista	35	10	25	29%	73.6	80.2	-6.6
16	La Union	35	8	27	23%	72.8	78.8	-5.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	24	15	23	19	81
Progresista	14	23	20	12	69

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Progresista Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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