Libertad vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Jan 2013

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 65-76

19-21 9-14 20-19 17-22

Position#8

Record18-11

FormWLWWW

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game77.3

Libertad

Penarol 🏆

Position#2

Record20-10

FormWWLWL

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game77.5

Liga ARound 34

Other2012-13

Meetings · Libertad v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

de Julio de Morteros

#14

85-93

-8

A08/12

Liga A

Argentino

92-94

-2

A10/12

Liga A

Quimsa

79-70

H15/12

Liga A

Quimsa

61-95

-34

A17/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

91-97 OT

-6

H19/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

84-73

+11

H22/12

Liga A

La Union

#15

81-87

-6

A10/01

Liga A

Sionista

91-68

+23

H17/01

Liga A

Regatas

95-83

+12

H19/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

87-83

H26/01

Liga A

13-29

26-21

19-16

27-27

15-24

21-32

33-24

23-14

25-19

21-13

17-20

16-18

14-32

10-15

20-31

17-17

20-22

18-17

20-23

23-19

20-24

11-11

29-12

24-26

25-25

18-19

20-24

20-13

26-18

25-27

20-10

29-15

22-22

19-33

25-13

19-19

17-22

26-15

25-27

168.9Avg total

84.6Scored

84.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	79.1	77.3	156.5	+1.8	62%
Season at home (17)	81.6	73.3	154.9	+8.4	82%
Season away (12)	75.6	83.1	158.7	-7.5	33%
Last 10 (10)	84.6	84.3	168.9	+0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	78.8	166.4	+8.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	81.0	83.2	164.2	-2.2	25%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	77.5	77.7	155.2	-0.2	61%
vs Weaker (7)	85.1	81.0	166.1	+4.1	57%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

74-78

-4

A10/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

87-106

106

-19

A12/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

91-78

+13

A15/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

82-76

H17/12

Liga A

Argentino

70-75

-5

H20/12

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

107-83

107

+24

H22/12

Liga A

Lanus

84-82 OT

A09/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

86-87

-1

H17/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

97-78

+19

H19/01

Liga A

Quimsa

60-94

-34

A26/01

Liga A

14-20

24-17

20-23

16-18

20-29

21-20

19-32

27-25

22-17

23-23

21-25

25-13

18-28

18-15

23-14

23-19

21-16

24-18

12-28

13-13

28-20

27-18

29-12

23-33

23-10

20-26

22-15

9-23

27-18

12-18

19-27

28-24

29-20

17-19

27-17

24-22

13-18

9-32

21-25

17-19

167.5Avg total

83.8Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	81.9	77.5	159.4	+4.4	67%
Season at home (15)	84.3	75.6	159.9	+8.7	67%
Season away (15)	79.5	79.5	158.9	+0.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	83.7	167.5	+0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	84.8	171.6	+2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	75.6	77.6	153.2	-2.0	40%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	78.4	76.1	154.6	+2.3	62%
vs Weaker (8)	86.8	78.1	164.9	+8.6	62%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	18.8	38.8	+1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	20.5	37.6	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.9	20.2	38.1	-2.3	39%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.0	39.7	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	17.4	41.1	+6.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.6	38.3	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	17.2	41.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.3	17.4	37.8	+2.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.2	18.5	42.8	+5.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	17.2	36.4	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.4	16.7	35.1	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	16.7	35.3	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	15.6	34.1	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.6	39.6	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.2	16.8	33.0	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.1	62%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

de Julio de Morteros

#14

39-50

-11

A08/12

Liga A

Argentino

36-56

-20

A10/12

Liga A

Quimsa

46-32

+14

H15/12

Liga A

Quimsa

24-47

-23

A17/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

38-39

-1

H19/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

31-35

-4

H22/12

Liga A

La Union

#15

43-44

-1

A10/01

Liga A

Sionista

46-31

+15

H17/01

Liga A

Regatas

51-37

+14

H19/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

36-41

-5

H26/01

Liga A

80.2Avg total

39.0Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	37.4	74.8	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	36.0	75.1	+3.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.4	39.0	74.4	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	41.2	80.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	37.6	79.0	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.5	39.0	77.5	-0.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.3	36.9	73.2	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.6	37.1	77.7	+3.4	57%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

38-37

A10/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

41-49

-8

A12/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

45-40

A15/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

36-43

-7

H17/12

Liga A

Argentino

45-34

+11

H20/12

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

55-38

+17

H22/12

Liga A

Lanus

43-36

A09/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

39-36

H17/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

46-39

H19/01

Liga A

Quimsa

22-50

-28

A26/01

Liga A

81.2Avg total

41.0Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	34.7	75.0	+5.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	33.0	75.2	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	36.4	74.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	40.2	81.2	+0.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	39.8	80.8	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.8	36.8	75.6	+2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.0	34.4	73.4	+4.6	75%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.6	35.8	79.4	+7.9	75%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	24.5	43.8	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	39%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.1	41.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	21.1	42.5	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.8	43.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.2	42.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.1	21.1	41.1	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.2	20.5	42.8	+1.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	22.6	44.6	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	15.8	36.5	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.1	24.1	48.3	+0.0	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	22.1	42.1	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.5	37.4	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	24.2	44.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.8	20.2	38.9	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	41.4	83.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	38.6	80.6	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.9	44.6	86.4	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	41.5	86.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	41.2	87.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.0	40.2	80.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	41.2	40.8	82.0	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.6	43.9	88.4	+0.7	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	41.9	81.0	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	43.3	84.6	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	40.5	77.5	-3.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	42.7	84.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	43.4	87.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.8	40.8	77.6	-4.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.8	41.2	80.1	-2.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.1	42.4	85.5	+0.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
21/11/12	Libertad v Penarol	80-78
05/05/12	Libertad v Penarol	85-88
03/05/12	Libertad v Penarol	76-90
28/04/12	Penarol v Libertad	85-59
26/04/12	Penarol v Libertad	83-86
18/02/12	Libertad v Penarol	80-75
10/12/11	Penarol v Libertad	82-73
19/05/11	Libertad v Penarol	86-95
15/05/11	Penarol v Libertad	103-101 OT
13/05/11	Penarol v Libertad	78-66

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/13	H	Weber Bahia	87-83
19/01/13	H	Regatas	95-83
17/01/13	H	Sionista	91-68
10/01/13	A	La Union	81-87
22/12/12	H	Obras Sanitarias	84-73
19/12/12	H	Boca Juniors	91-97 OT
17/12/12	A	Quimsa	61-95
15/12/12	H	Quimsa	79-70
10/12/12	A	Argentino	92-94
08/12/12	A	de Julio de Morteros	85-93

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/13	A	Quimsa	60-94
19/01/13	H	Boca Juniors	97-78
17/01/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	86-87
09/01/13	A	Lanus	84-82 OT
22/12/12	H	de Julio de Morteros	107-83
20/12/12	H	Argentino	70-75
17/12/12	H	Weber Bahia	82-76
15/12/12	A	Weber Bahia	91-78
12/12/12	A	Atenas	87-106
10/12/12	A	Olimpico	74-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	62%
Home	LWWWW	82%
Away	LLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	17	12
Win %	62%	82%	33%
Points / game	79.1	81.6	75.6
Allowed / game	77.3	73.3	83.1
Point differential	+1.8	+8.4	-7.5
Avg total	156.5	154.9	158.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	41%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	78% (9)	100% (3)	67% (6)
Overtime %	7%	6%	8%

Penarol

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	67%
Home	WLWLW	67%
Away	LLWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	67%	67%	67%
Points / game	81.9	84.3	79.5
Allowed / game	77.5	75.6	79.5
Point differential	+4.4	+8.7	+0.0
Avg total	159.4	159.9	158.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	47%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	25% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	31	23	8	74%	78.5	72.7	+5.8
2	Lanus	32	22	10	69%	77.3	74.2	+3.2
3	Penarol	30	20	10	67%	81.9	77.5	+4.4
4	Libertad	29	18	11	62%	79.1	77.3	+1.8
5	Olimpico	31	18	13	58%	76.6	75.5	+1.1
6	Boca Juniors	32	18	14	56%	79.3	75.3	+3.9
7	Quimsa	31	17	14	55%	79.2	75.7	+3.5
8	Argentino	30	16	14	53%	78.9	78.8	+0.1
9	Sionista	31	15	16	48%	78.9	80.5	-1.5
10	Atenas	31	15	16	48%	77.3	80.5	-3.2
11	Gimnasia	32	14	18	44%	79.5	81.0	-1.5
12	Weber Bahia	30	12	18	40%	81.0	81.7	-0.7
13	de Julio de Morteros	31	11	20	35%	79.7	84.0	-4.2
14	Progresista	30	10	20	33%	72.9	78.1	-5.2
15	Obras Sanitarias	32	10	22	31%	78.9	81.7	-2.8
16	La Union	31	8	23	26%	72.8	77.5	-4.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	19	9	20	17	65
Penarol	21	14	19	22	76

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature