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Libertadores vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 84-93
15-28 21-28 29-14 19-23
Position#4
Record5-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game90.3
vs
Minas 🏆
Position#5
Record4-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeChampions League AmericasChampions League Americas - Quarter-finals
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertadores winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertadoresLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#1
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H01/10
LNBP
Abejas
#1
L
79-98
79
98
-19
H02/10
LNBP
Abejas
#1
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A06/10
LNBP
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
99-83
99
83
+16
H10/12
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
W
98-87
98
87
+11
H12/12
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
106-90
106
90
+16
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
W
101-90
101
90
+11
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
107-86
107
86
+21
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
78-98
78
98
-20
A04/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
23-28
23-19
14-15
18-22
25-19
12-33
24-24
21-21
22-26
19-18
15-22
26-13
21-21
24-20
28-29
26-16
32-23
22-22
18-26
18-20
17-24
19-27
30-27
30-27
28-15
22-25
26-23
30-21
24-29
23-19
24-21
25-14
21-22
24-28
37-22
13-28
21-20
17-23
27-27
181.2Avg total
91.3Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)96.190.3186.4+5.971%
Season at home (3)101.086.7187.7+14.3100%
Season away (4)92.593.0185.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)91.389.9181.2+1.460%
Last 5 (5)95.292.4187.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.491.8175.2-8.333%
vs Similar (10)87.585.8173.3+1.760%
vs Weaker (8)102.592.1194.6+10.488%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#4
L
90-105
90
105
-15
H23/01
Super 8
Sao Jose
#10
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A30/01
NBB
Bigua
#11
W
111-73
111
73
+38
A05/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A06/02
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#11
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A10/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A12/02
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
110-79
110
79
+31
H17/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A01/03
NBB
Libertadores
#4
W
98-78
98
78
+20
H04/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
17-25
20-27
27-29
21-19
26-31
29-18
20-21
21-17
38-17
23-20
29-19
17-27
22-14
17-23
16-19
16-15
13-31
12-15
22-19
25-17
22-19
16-18
19-24
39-17
24-17
20-16
16-20
32-15
28-21
19-24
31-19
23-19
14-23
20-20
21-17
28-13
20-21
23-17
27-27
171.3Avg total
89.9Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.178.7168.9+11.457%
Season at home (4)88.880.0168.8+8.850%
Season away (3)92.077.0169.0+15.067%
Last 10 (10)89.981.4171.3+8.560%
Last 5 (5)93.476.8170.2+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.086.5171.5-1.50%
vs Similar (5)75.077.4152.4-2.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.876.8167.6+14.082%
This opponent (Libertadores) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
LibertadoresMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibertadoresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H01/10
LNBP
Abejas
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H02/10
LNBP
Abejas
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A06/10
LNBP
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H10/12
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H12/12
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A04/03
Champions League Americas
89.4Avg total
46.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.786.9-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.944.492.3+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)39.143.182.2-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)46.542.989.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.444.089.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.345.884.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (10)42.242.184.3+0.150%-
vs Weaker (8)51.942.494.2+9.575%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H23/01
Super 8
Sao Jose
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A30/01
NBB
Bigua
#11
W
59-34
59
34
+25
A05/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A06/02
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#11
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A10/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A12/02
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
63-34
63
34
+29
H15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H17/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A01/03
NBB
Libertadores
#4
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H04/03
Champions League Americas
87.4Avg total
47.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.338.182.4+6.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.037.481.4+6.662%-
Last 30 away (14)44.638.983.5+5.657%-
Last 10 (10)47.240.287.4+7.050%-
Last 5 (5)51.036.487.4+14.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.542.084.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (5)36.637.474.0-0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.237.483.6+8.868%-
This opponent (Libertadores) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Libertadores wins
1
Minas wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23Minas v Libertadores98-78
Libertadoreslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23AMinas78-98
10/02/23ABrampton Honey Badgers107-86
09/02/23AReal Esteli101-90
18/01/23HBrampton Honey Badgers106-90
17/01/23AReal Esteli84-98
12/12/22HReal Esteli98-87
10/12/22HBrampton Honey Badgers99-83
06/10/22AAbejas77-87
02/10/22HAbejas79-98
01/10/22HAbejas84-82
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HLibertadores98-78
01/03/23AFlamengo78-79
17/02/23HBrasilia110-79
15/02/23HCerrado99-70
12/02/23AUniao Corinthians82-78
10/02/23ACaxias do Sul63-80
06/02/23AQuimsa72-83
05/02/23ABigua111-73
30/01/23ASao Jose96-89
23/01/23HCorinthians Paulista90-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertadores
Champions League Americas 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game96.1101.092.5
Allowed / game90.386.793.0
Point differential+5.9+14.3-0.5
Avg total186.4187.7185.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minas
Champions League Americas 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game90.188.892.0
Allowed / game78.780.077.0
Point differential+11.4+8.8+15.0
Avg total168.9168.8169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca770100%96.477.6+18.9
2 Flamengo76186%90.365.4+24.9
3 Quimsa76186%88.181.0+7.1
4 Libertadores75271%96.190.3+5.9
5 Minas74357%90.178.7+11.4
6 Real Esteli74357%94.792.1+2.6
7 Instituto de Cordoba62433%70.079.2-9.2
8 U. De Concepcion72529%80.689.3-8.7
9 Penarol72529%70.984.9-14.0
10 Obras Sanitarias61517%78.293.5-15.3
11 Bigua61517%75.292.2-17.0
12 Brampton Honey Badgers6060%87.8102.3-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Libertadores1521291984
Minas2828142393
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