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Minas vs Cerrado Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 99-70
39-17 24-17 20-16 16-20
Position#4
Record15-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game78.0
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#17
Record4-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game91.9
BrazilNBB
Other2022-23
Meetings · Minas v Cerrado
06 Dec 2023
MINA67
CERR68
15 Feb 2023
MINA99
CERR70
09 Mar 2022
MINA74
CERR66
06 Dec 2020
MINA97
CERR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#7
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H10/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H12/01
NBB
Quimsa
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H16/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#11
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#4
L
90-105
90
105
-15
H23/01
Super 8
Sao Jose
#10
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A30/01
NBB
Bigua
#11
W
111-73
111
73
+38
A05/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A06/02
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#11
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A10/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A12/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-21
20-11
21-9
12-17
12-19
22-19
22-17
18-12
13-23
21-24
24-17
16-22
24-17
23-14
21-14
22-16
26-24
17-25
20-27
27-29
21-19
26-31
29-18
20-21
21-17
38-17
23-20
29-19
17-27
22-14
17-23
16-19
16-15
13-31
12-15
22-19
25-17
22-19
16-18
19-24
159.5Avg total
81.5Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.378.0162.2+6.371%
Season at home (10)83.173.2156.3+9.980%
Season away (11)85.482.3167.6+3.164%
Last 10 (10)81.578.0159.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)84.880.6165.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.086.8163.8-9.80%
vs Similar (6)74.578.0152.5-3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.077.0166.0+12.079%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A20/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A22/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H03/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
109-110
109
110
-1
H05/01
NBB
Cearense
#14
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H13/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
65-95
65
95
-30
A16/01
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
73-97
73
97
-24
A18/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
L
91-98
91
98
-7
H30/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
99-107 OT
99
107
-8
H02/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
18-27
26-24
11-20
25-25
19-26
29-21
17-21
15-23
27-14
20-29
27-13
27-22
36-27
22-32
24-29
22-21
13-21
25-16
28-10
19-24
17-15
25-19
12-25
21-24
17-23
15-20
12-28
16-18
28-24
13-24
16-31
24-26
31-25
16-26
20-21
25-26
22-20
19-17
22-25
178.1Avg total
85.3Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.591.9176.3-7.418%
Season at home (12)90.292.9183.1-2.825%
Season away (10)77.690.6168.2-13.010%
Last 10 (10)85.392.8178.1-7.520%
Last 5 (5)80.296.0176.2-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)82.090.5172.6-8.513%
vs Similar (7)84.083.0167.0+1.043%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.4-3.4
MinasCerrado
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#7
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H10/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H12/01
NBB
Quimsa
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H16/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#11
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H23/01
Super 8
Sao Jose
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A30/01
NBB
Bigua
#11
W
59-34
59
34
+25
A05/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A06/02
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#11
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A10/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A12/02
NBB
81.3Avg total
40.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.580.7+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.238.378.5+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)44.538.883.3+5.757%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.481.3+0.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.485.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.540.279.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (6)36.537.874.3-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.537.882.4+6.763%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A20/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A22/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H03/01
NBB
Pato
#12
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H05/01
NBB
Cearense
#14
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H13/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A16/01
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H30/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H02/02
NBB
90.1Avg total
44.3Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.784.8-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.542.084.5+0.559%-
Last 30 away (13)39.246.085.2-6.823%-
Last 10 (10)44.345.890.1-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.045.089.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)40.344.384.7-4.035%-
vs Similar (7)43.441.785.1+1.771%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Minas wins
0
Cerrado wins
DateGameScore
17/11/22Cerrado v Minas102-112 OT
09/03/22Minas v Cerrado74-66
07/12/21Cerrado v Minas74-90
26/01/21Cerrado v Minas80-93
06/12/20Minas v Cerrado97-77
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23AUniao Corinthians82-78
10/02/23ACaxias do Sul63-80
06/02/23AQuimsa72-83
05/02/23ABigua111-73
30/01/23ASao Jose96-89
23/01/23HCorinthians Paulista90-105
18/01/23HBigua90-61
16/01/23HQuimsa74-86
12/01/23HPinheiros74-67
10/01/23HBauru63-58
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23HUniao Corinthians99-107 OT
30/01/23HCaxias do Sul91-98
18/01/23ABauru73-97
16/01/23APinheiros65-95
13/01/23HUnifacisa73-83
11/01/23HCearense88-68
05/01/23HPato109-110
03/01/23HCorinthians Paulista89-79
22/12/22ARio Claro90-93
20/12/22AFranca76-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWLWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%80%64%
Points / game84.383.185.4
Allowed / game78.073.282.3
Point differential+6.3+9.9+3.1
Avg total162.2156.3167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Cerrado
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %18%25%10%
Points / game84.590.277.6
Allowed / game91.992.990.6
Point differential-7.4-2.8-13.0
Avg total176.3183.1168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca23230100%90.077.1+13.0
2 Flamengo2220291%83.267.8+15.4
3 Sao Paulo2217577%88.279.0+9.2
4 Minas2115671%84.378.0+6.3
5 Paulistano2415962%76.072.7+3.3
6 Bauru2213959%78.070.5+7.5
7 Corinthians Paulista2213959%81.980.1+1.8
8 Pinheiros23131057%80.378.0+2.2
9 Sao Jose24111346%80.582.2-1.7
10 Caxias do Sul22101245%75.276.5-1.3
11 Unifacisa23101343%78.581.7-3.2
12 Brasilia2261627%78.584.8-6.4
13 Pato2361726%77.486.3-8.9
14 Uniao Corinthians2051525%78.683.0-4.4
15 Cearense2351822%71.783.3-11.5
16 Cerrado2241818%84.591.9-7.4
17 Rio Claro2241818%74.588.4-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas3924201699
Cerrado1717162070
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